(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLISLE UNITED BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dara Hays 13 2 15 Gk Ko Endo 2 2 4 Sw Cristhian Dybala 14 2 16 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 15 1 16 Df Michael Addo 13 2 15 Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13 Df Niklas Köhler 12 2 14 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 8 2 10 Df Óscar Cespedes 8 2 10 Mf Peter Bengtsson 14 2 16 Df Eric Aidoo 8 2 10 Mf Ben Ince 13 1 14 Df Jaap De wit 4 2 6 Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 1 15 Mf Raouf Salem 8 2 10 Fw Noah Zimmermann 15 2 17 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 8 2 10 Fw Ellis Dury 11 0 11 Mf Yuriy Taran 4 2 6 Fw Giorgian Fagundez 11 0 11 Fw Elliot Wilkins 17 2 19 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 16 39 30 54 ROSTER TOTALS 4 18 55 26 19 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 8 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 16 40 30 62 T O T A L S 4 21 62 26 19 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.64 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 87.2 (no red card) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.7 (no red card) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.31 (no red card) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.88 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.54 (no red card) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.12 (no red card) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.11 (no red card) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.63 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.08 (no red card) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.27 (no red card) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.76 (no red card) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.48 (no red card) Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.78 (no red card) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 3 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Ko Endo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.34 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.1 (no red card) Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 47.41 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.91 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Théo Billard new match skill level = 8 Théo Billard new match total level = 10 Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 71.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 45.37 (no red card) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 43.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 59.78 (no red card) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 85.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 75.68 (no red card) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 46.92 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 53.19 (no red card) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 8.75 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 6.82 (no second yellow) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 58.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 55.29 (no red card) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 75.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 52.71 (no red card) Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 62.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 42.67 (no red card) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 16.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 37.29 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75% - Gk chance of injury = 2.37% Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 5.25 (no injury) Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 53.44 (no injury) Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 65.03 (no injury) Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 76.61 (no injury) Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 10.79 (no injury) Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 98.04 (no injury) Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.05 (no injury) Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 24.22 (no injury) Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 42.59 (no injury) Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 7.12 (no injury) Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 79.74 (no injury) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 3 - Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Ko Endo: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 0.05 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 3 Ko Endo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Ko Endo new match skill level = 1 Ko Endo new match total level = 3 Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.45 (no injury) Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.63 (no injury) Df Niklas Köhler: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 81.35 (no injury) Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.66 (no injury) Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.41 (no injury) Df Jaap De wit: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 25.52 (no injury) Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.21 (no injury) Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.06 (no injury) Mf Yuriy Taran: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.26 (no injury) Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.06 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Elliot Wilkins is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Elliot Wilkins new match skill level = 9 Elliot Wilkins new match total level = 11 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Kristoffer Lagerbäck SL 15 - Defending Gk: Ko Endo SL 1 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 42 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Michael Addo SL 13 - Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13 intRndPk = 58 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlisle United 15 16 40 30 62 Brighton & Hove Albion 3 13 62 26 11 Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 0 (62 - 62) Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlisle United Df Attacks = 10 ((40 - 11) / 3); result rounded up Carlisle United Total Attacks = 12 1: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 46.75% | Random number = 40.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Owen Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Owen Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Df Owen Sansom Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Df Toshihiro Nakamura Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 46.75% | Random number = 14.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf Peter Bengtsson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) ******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Brighton & Hove Albion 3 13 62 26 11 Carlisle United 15 16 40 30 62 Brighton & Hove Albion is Playing For A Draw! Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 0 (11 - 40) Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 30) / 2; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((62 - 62) / 3; rounded up) Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLISLE UNITED 0 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
Match Notes
Time to bring the heat.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/15 - 7:45 PM
…and no wins on the road.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/16 - 10:14 PM
But I should consider myself lucky that our SL2 GK stopped both SOT.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/16 - 10:15 PM
Disappointing result - should have been getting more shots on target with the rookie keeper there.
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/17 - 12:05 AM