(H)
Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Wayne Carroll 16 2 18 Gk Finlay Palmer 16 2 18 Sw Toni Meyer 9 2 11 Sw Clifton Compton 7 2 9 Df Freddie Harris 16 2 18 Df Bassirou Mbaye 14 2 16 Df Waly Ka 10 2 12 Df Leonardo Marino 13 0 13 Df Radoslaw Kaminski 9 2 11 Df John MacDonald 13 0 13 Mf Yahia El idrissi 13 2 15 Mf Tatsuo Itakura 14 1 15 Mf Tomasz Lewandowski 9 2 11 Mf Dominic Robinson 12 2 14 Fw Nii Mingle 15 2 17 Fw Syam Arfaoui 15 2 17 Fw Krystian Zewlakow 14 2 16 Fw Nenad Kovtun 14 2 16 Fw Kenneth Milligan 17 2 19 Fw Charles Sweeney 14 1 15 Fw José Sánchez 10 2 12 Fw Si-Won Min-woo 9 0 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 11 41 26 64 ROSTER TOTALS 18 9 42 29 57 1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 19 11 41 26 73 T O T A L S 18 9 42 29 57 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 90.53 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 79.32 (no red card) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.42 (no red card) Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 49.85 (no red card) Df Waly Ka: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.15 (no red card) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.0 (no red card) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.68 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.48 (no red card) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.79 (no red card) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.31 (no red card) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.36 (no red card) Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.67 (no red card) Fw José Sánchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.51 (no red card) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.06 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.37 (no red card) Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.03 (no red card) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.71 (no red card) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.17 (no red card) Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.25 (no red card) Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.42 (no red card) Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.85 (no red card) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.52 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.82 (no red card) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.41 (no red card) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.18 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 83.13 (no injury) Sw Toni Meyer: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 2.37 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 3 Toni Meyer is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Toni Meyer new match skill level = 5 Toni Meyer new match total level = 7 Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.93 (no injury) Df Waly Ka: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.58 (no injury) Df Radoslaw Kaminski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.81 (no injury) Mf Yahia El idrissi: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 3.89 (no injury) Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.94 (no injury) Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 51.9 (no injury) Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.32 (no injury) Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.3 (no injury) Fw José Sánchez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.6 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 José Sánchez is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. José Sánchez new match skill level = 5 José Sánchez new match total level = 7 ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 10.42 (no injury) Sw Clifton Compton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.08 (no injury) Df Bassirou Mbaye: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.13 (no injury) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.55 (no injury) Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.47 (no injury) Mf Tatsuo Itakura: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 4.35 (no injury) Mf Dominic Robinson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 21.11 (no injury) Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 62.75 (no injury) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 19.19 (no injury) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 8.67 (no injury) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 42.28 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Kenneth Milligan SL 17 - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 16 intRndPk = 86 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 86 (no penalty kick) ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Syam Arfaoui SL 15 - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Weston-super-Mare AFC 19 7 41 26 68 Plymouth Argyle FC 18 9 42 29 57 Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 26 (68 - 42); result rounded up Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 29) / 2; rounded up) Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 26 1: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 6.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 22: Attack for Fw José Sánchez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 11.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 23: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 71.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 62.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 18 9 42 29 57 Weston-super-Mare AFC 19 7 41 26 68 Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 16 (57 - 41); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((29 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 68) / 3; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 18 1: Attack for Mf Tatsuo Itakura Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 36.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Dominic Robinson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 35.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 72.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 80.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 53.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 53.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 84.54 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 17: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 61.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Si-Won Min-woo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 70.1 (Shot Saved by Gk) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 0 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
Match Notes
Now is not the time to start increasing your win rate in our head to heads!
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/21 - 12:52 PM
This is a BIG match. One of us could jump into the promotion zone with a win here.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/23 - 1:43 PM
could not have been any worse
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 03/23 - 10:43 PM
Wow, a couple of untimely injuries for Weston, allowed Plymouth to steal a couple of points!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 03/25 - 4:26 PM