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Lincoln City FC
Mike Cabral
 
Brentford FC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LINCOLN CITY FC                            BRENTFORD FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Mousa Boffin           14    2   16     Gk Sion Watkins           17    2   19
Sw Bryan Wilkins          12    2   14     Sw Anton Jurman           13    1   14
Df William Baker          15   -1   14     Df Dragan Jedjav          17    2   19
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug    16    2   18     Df Tobias Damish          15    2   17
Df Goran Butina           12    2   14     Df Martyn Owen             9    2   11
Mf Weston Williamson      14    2   16     Mf Cédric Kamga           15    2   17
Mf Seo Tae-uk             12    2   14     Mf Simon Shaw             12    2   14
Mf Mustapha Kettani       10    2   12     Fw Michael Lagerbäck      15    2   17
Fw Jay Hanny              16    2   18     Fw Jack Williams          14    2   16
Fw Sérgio da Rocha        14    2   16     Fw Róger Issahaku         17    2   19
Fw Marcel M'Boma          14    2   16     Fw Lilian Cazenave         9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 14 46 42 50        ROSTER TOTALS      19 14 47 31 63    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 14 46 42 59         T O T A L S       19 14 47 31 63    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 15.78 (no red card)

Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 7.2 (no red card)

Df William Baker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.69 (no second yellow)

Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.67 (no red card)

Df Goran Butina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.12 (no red card)

Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.63 (no red card)

Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.04 (no red card)

Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.67 (no red card)

Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.35 (no red card)

Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.94 (no red card)

Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.11 (no red card)

*******  BRENTFORD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 53.72 (no red card)

Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.41 (no red card)

Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.35 (no red card)

Df Tobias Damish: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.7 (no red card)

Df Martyn Owen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.27 (no red card)

Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.66 (no red card)

Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.8 (no red card)

Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.49 (no red card)

Fw Jack Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 79.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.16 (no red card)

Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.63 (no red card)

Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Mousa Boffin: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.32 (no injury) 
Sw Bryan Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.42 (no injury) 
Df William Baker: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.81 (no injury) 
Df Jun-Yeong Chong-gug: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.35 (no injury) 
Df Goran Butina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.87 (no injury) 
Mf Weston Williamson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.65 (no injury) 
Mf Seo Tae-uk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.91 (no injury) 
Mf Mustapha Kettani: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 11.48 (no injury) 
Fw Sérgio da Rocha: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 45.51 (no injury) 
Fw Marcel M'Boma: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.07 (no injury) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brentford FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Lincoln City FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Sion Watkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 54.64 (no injury) 
Sw Anton Jurman: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.27 (no injury) 
Df Dragan Jedjav: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 41.91 (no injury) 
Df Tobias Damish: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.97 (no injury) 
Df Martyn Owen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.18 (no injury) 
Mf Cédric Kamga: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.88 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Shaw: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.88 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.3 (no injury) 
Fw Jack Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.16 (no injury) 
Fw Róger Issahaku: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.29 (no injury) 
Fw Lilian Cazenave: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.31 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BRENTFORD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jun-Yeong Chong-gug SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Sion Watkins SL 17

     intRndPk = 24
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 24 (no penalty kick)

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Dragan Jedjav SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Mousa Boffin SL 14

     intRndPk = 1
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 23 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LINCOLN CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Lincoln City FC          16  14  46  42  59
  Brentford FC             19  14  47  31  63

Lincoln City FC Fw Attacks = 12 (59 - 47); result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Mf Attacks = 6 ((42 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up
Lincoln City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Lincoln City FC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Mustapha Kettani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Seo Tae-uk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Weston Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Mustapha Kettani
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 29.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 18.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 50.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Sérgio da Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Jay Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Marcel M'Boma
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  BRENTFORD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brentford FC             19  14  47  31  63
  Lincoln City FC          16  14  46  42  59

Brentford FC Fw Attacks = 17 (63 - 46); result rounded up
Brentford FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Df Attacks = 0 ((47 - 59) / 3;  rounded up)
Brentford FC Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 99.05 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Michael Lagerbäck
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 96.26 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Lilian Cazenave
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Róger Issahaku
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Jack Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LINCOLN CITY FC 0  -  BRENTFORD FC 3
 
Match Notes
We were lucky to get a result like this against the tough C-Ball!
Allan (Brentford FC) 04/01 - 12:09 AM
 
 
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