(H)
Crewe Alexandra FC
Carl Oakes
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CARLISLE UNITED
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Joshua Samed 15 2 17 Gk Dara Hays 15 2 17
Sw John Taylor 11 2 13 Sw Cristhian Dybala 14 2 16
Df Santiago Castillo 15 2 17 Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 15 1 16
Df Gabriel Lind 13 2 15 Df Owen Sansom 12 1 13
Df Michaël Van der Heyden 5 2 7 Df Toshihiro Nakamura 9 2 11
Mf Ian Tejeda 15 2 17 Mf Peter Bengtsson 15 2 17
Mf Jaromir Tokar 13 2 15 Mf Jacek Frankowski 9 2 11
Mf Stefan Boniek 9 2 11 Fw Salem Bejaoui 14 2 16
Fw Ryu Haraguchi 15 2 17 Fw Noah Zimmermann 16 2 18
Fw Damien Sanchez 15 2 17 Fw Giorgian Fagundez 11 1 12
Fw Joel Zamora 9 2 11 Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 13 39 43 45 ROSTER TOTALS 17 16 40 28 57
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 2 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 6 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
17 13 45 45 52 T O T A L S 17 16 40 28 57
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.04 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 29.07 (no red card)
Sw John Taylor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.65 (no red card)
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.19 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.95 (no red card)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.13 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.97 (no red card)
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.62 (no red card)
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.36 (no red card)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.84 (no red card)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.73 (no red card)
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.03 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.13 (no second yellow)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.74 (no red card)
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.02 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 21.13 (no red card)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.42 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.74 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no red card)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.71 (no red card)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.7 (no red card)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.41 (no red card)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.66 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.07 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.45 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.21 (no red card)
Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.74 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.68 (no second yellow)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Joshua Samed: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.05 (no injury)
Sw John Taylor: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.59 (no injury)
Df Santiago Castillo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.1 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Lind: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 46.76 (no injury)
Df Michaël Van der Heyden: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.0 (no injury)
Mf Ian Tejeda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.39 (no injury)
Mf Jaromir Tokar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 65.2 (no injury)
Mf Stefan Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.05 (no injury)
Fw Ryu Haraguchi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.99 (no injury)
Fw Damien Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.96 (no injury)
Fw Joel Zamora: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.2 (no injury)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Crewe Alexandra FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 16.92 (no injury)
Sw Cristhian Dybala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.44 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.81 (no injury)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.66 (no injury)
Df Toshihiro Nakamura: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.26 (no injury)
Mf Peter Bengtsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.18 (no injury)
Mf Jacek Frankowski: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.36 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Jacek Frankowski is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Jacek Frankowski new match skill level = 5
Jacek Frankowski new match total level = 7
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.6 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Salem Bejaoui is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.34 (no injury)
Fw Giorgian Fagundez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.4 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.38 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Santiago Castillo SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 15
intRndPk = 10
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 16
- Defending Gk: Joshua Samed SL 15
intRndPk = 79
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 79 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CREWE ALEXANDRA FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Crewe Alexandra FC 17 13 45 45 52
Carlisle United 17 16 40 24 57
Crewe Alexandra FC Fw Attacks = 12 (52 - 40); result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((45 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Crewe Alexandra FC Df Attacks = 0 ((45 - 57) / 3; rounded up)
Crewe Alexandra FC Total Attacks = 23
1: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 19.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Ian Tejeda
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Mf Jaromir Tokar
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Mf Stefan Boniek
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.94 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 45.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
14: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 8.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
17: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 13.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
20: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Ryu Haraguchi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Damien Sanchez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Joel Zamora
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 17 16 40 24 57
Crewe Alexandra FC 17 13 45 45 52
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 12 (57 - 45); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 45) / 2; rounded up)
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 12
1: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.0 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Fw Giorgian Fagundez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 75.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 95.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 52.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Giorgian Fagundez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 38.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 2.43 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CREWE ALEXANDRA FC 1 - CARLISLE UNITED 2
Match Notes
Oh dear. Desperate for points and Carlisle come to town
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/24 - 11:14 AM
It seems that most people don't share your concerns, Carl.
Dave (Carlisle United) 03/30 - 10:49 AM
Carlisle’s SW played a blinder
Carl (Crewe Alexandra FC) 03/30 - 8:01 PM