(H)
Dagenham & Redbridge
Jeff Hawker
Watford
James Tucker
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE WATFORD Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Kaies Ghodhbane 15 0 15 Gk Riccardo Di matteo 15 2 17 Sw Corey Patel 13 1 14 Sw Saul Aquino 9 2 11 Df Glen Dowson 12 1 13 Df Alain Fauché 15 2 17 Df Cristóbal Sanchez 10 2 12 Df Felipe Pérez 14 2 16 Mf Erik Schlotterbeck 15 1 16 Df Victor Bach 9 2 11 Mf Geoffrey Brakspear 13 2 15 Mf Hirving Borgetti 15 2 17 Fw Yoo Young-pyo 15 0 15 Mf Oribe Arellano 15 0 15 Fw Jürg Spycher 14 1 15 Fw Matty Begum 16 2 18 Fw Lincoln Roberts 13 0 13 Fw Julien De Boeck 15 2 17 Fw Mattia Borghetti 12 1 13 Fw Jimmy Wells 13 1 14 Fw Dag Hansen 13 1 14 Fw Edgar Jimenez 9 2 11 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 15 14 25 31 70 ROSTER TOTALS 17 11 44 32 60 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 14 34 31 79 T O T A L S 17 11 44 32 60 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Kaies Ghodhbane: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.81 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.43 (no red card) Sw Corey Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.48 (no red card) Df Glen Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.48 (no red card) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.22 (no red card) Mf Erik Schlotterbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.73 (no red card) Mf Geoffrey Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.98 (no red card) Fw Yoo Young-pyo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.65 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.49 (no red card) Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.69 (no red card) Fw Lincoln Roberts: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.58 (no red card) Fw Mattia Borghetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.88 (no red card) Fw Dag Hansen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.73 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.9 (no second yellow) ******* WATFORD YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.19 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.31 (no red card) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.99 (no red card) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.42 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.27 (no second yellow) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.29 (no red card) Df Victor Bach: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.25 (no red card) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.19 (no red card) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.27 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.95 (no red card) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.61 (no red card) Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.44 (no red card) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.0 (no red card) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.48 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Kaies Ghodhbane: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.49 (no injury) Sw Corey Patel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.57 (no injury) Df Glen Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.64 (no injury) Df Cristóbal Sanchez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 70.7 (no injury) Mf Erik Schlotterbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no injury) Mf Geoffrey Brakspear: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.75 (no injury) Fw Yoo Young-pyo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 42.73 (no injury) Fw Jürg Spycher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.62 (no injury) Fw Lincoln Roberts: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.71 (no injury) Fw Mattia Borghetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.04 (no injury) Fw Dag Hansen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.01 (no injury) ******* WATFORD CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Watford Team Hardness = 0 - Dagenham & Redbridge Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Riccardo Di matteo: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 24.47 (no injury) Sw Saul Aquino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.17 (no injury) Df Alain Fauché: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.83 (no injury) Df Felipe Pérez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 99.58 (no injury) Df Victor Bach: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.52 (no injury) Mf Hirving Borgetti: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no injury) Mf Oribe Arellano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.55 (no injury) Fw Matty Begum: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.46 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Matty Begum is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Matty Begum new match skill level = 8 Matty Begum new match total level = 10 Fw Julien De Boeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.1 (no injury) Fw Jimmy Wells: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.87 (no injury) Fw Edgar Jimenez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.74 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WATFORD CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Erik Schlotterbeck SL 15 - Defending Gk: Riccardo Di matteo SL 15 intRndPk = 98 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 98 (no penalty kick) ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alain Fauché SL 15 - Defending Gk: Kaies Ghodhbane SL 15 intRndPk = 9 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Dagenham & Redbridge 15 14 34 31 79 Watford 17 11 44 32 52 Dagenham & Redbridge Fw Attacks = 35 (79 - 44); result rounded up Dagenham & Redbridge Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 32) / 2; rounded up) Dagenham & Redbridge Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 52) / 3; rounded up) Dagenham & Redbridge Total Attacks = 35 1: Attack for Fw Mattia Borghetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 49.55 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 18.12 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Mattia Borghetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 44.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 15: Attack for Fw Mattia Borghetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 4.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Mattia Borghetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Jürg Spycher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Mattia Borghetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 74.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 63.43 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.52 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 29: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 31: Attack for Fw Dag Hansen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 32: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Lincoln Roberts Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 34: Attack for Fw Mattia Borghetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 91.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 35: Attack for Fw Yoo Young-pyo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) ******* WATFORD ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Watford 17 11 44 32 52 Dagenham & Redbridge 15 14 34 31 79 Watford Fw Attacks = 18 (52 - 34); result rounded up Watford Mf Attacks = 1 ((32 - 31) / 2) ; result rounded up Watford Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 79) / 3; rounded up) Watford Total Attacks = 19 1: Attack for Mf Hirving Borgetti Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Matty Begum Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 32.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 13.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 86.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 33.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 17: Attack for Fw Jimmy Wells Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Julien De Boeck Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Edgar Jimenez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E DAGENHAM & REDBRIDGE 2 - WATFORD 1
Match Notes
A win would almost confirm promotion for Watford, a Dagenham win would keep them in the race for 3rd...
John (Port Vale FC) 03/23 - 11:35 PM
Now here's John Holdem dispensing legal advice...
Phil (Chesterfield FC) 03/26 - 8:15 PM