(H)
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Isa Etim 16 2 18 Gk Reuben Lennon 16 -2 14
Sw Rafael Corona 15 2 17 Sw Théo Billard 16 2 18
Df Paul Muir 13 2 15 Df Michael Addo 13 2 15
Df Erik Richter 9 2 11 Df Óscar Cespedes 9 2 11
Mf Jochem Pasveer 12 2 14 Df Eric Aidoo 9 2 11
Mf Jack Maclaren 15 1 16 Df Ibrahim Yusuf 11 2 13
Fw Oscar Peña 14 2 16 Mf Raouf Salem 9 2 11
Fw Jonas Weber 13 2 15 Mf Rigobert Mahamat 9 2 11
Fw Greg Rashford 9 2 11 Fw Elliot Wilkins 18 1 19
Fw Jose Alvarez 8 2 10 Fw Hideaki Endo 14 2 16
Fw Christian Egli 4 2 6 Fw Khalilou Konaté 14 2 16
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 17 26 30 58 ROSTER TOTALS 14 18 50 22 51
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 1 1 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 17 26 30 74 T O T A L S 17 20 51 22 51
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Isa Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 3.7 (no red card)
Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.01 (no red card)
Df Paul Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.22 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.45 (no red card)
Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.83 (no red card)
Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.64 (no red card)
Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.61 (no red card)
Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.54 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.56 (no red card)
Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.39 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.39 (no red card)
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.28 (no red card)
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.23 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.62 (no second yellow)
Fw Christian Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.23 (no red card)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 2
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.44 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.5 (no red card)
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.09 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 73.21 (no red card)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.77 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.43 (no second yellow)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.33 (no red card)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 94.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 74.69 (no red card)
Df Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 26.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.25 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Ibrahim Yusuf new match skill level = 6
Ibrahim Yusuf new match total level = 8
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.6 (no red card)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.07 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 52.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.18 (no red card)
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 72.2 (no red card)
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.62 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.23 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Isa Etim: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 81.57 (no injury)
Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 94.58 (no injury)
Df Paul Muir: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.33 (no injury)
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.24 (no injury)
Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 19.18 (no injury)
Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 14.17 (no injury)
Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.21 (no injury)
Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 92.44 (no injury)
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.86 (no injury)
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 23.27 (no injury)
Fw Christian Egli: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.34 (no injury)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 2
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 74.46 (no injury)
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 22.6 (no injury)
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 96.21 (no injury)
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 20.38 (no injury)
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.02 (no injury)
Df Ibrahim Yusuf: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 94.07 (no injury)
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 7.05 (no injury)
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 59.93 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.24 (no injury)
Fw Hideaki Endo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 1.71 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 4
Hideaki Endo is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Hideaki Endo new match skill level = 7
Hideaki Endo new match total level = 9
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.43 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Jack Maclaren SL 15
- Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 18
- Defending Gk: Isa Etim SL 16
intRndPk = 32
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Northampton Town FC 18 17 26 30 74
Brighton & Hove Albion 17 20 46 22 44
Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 28 (74 - 46); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((30 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 44) / 3; rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 32
1: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 71.45 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Christian Egli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Christian Egli
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 54.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 62.47 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
28: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
29: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
30: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
31: Attack for Fw Jose Alvarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack)
32: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
******* BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Brighton & Hove Albion 17 20 46 22 44
Northampton Town FC 18 17 26 30 74
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 18 (44 - 26); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 74) / 3; rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 18
1: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.46 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.7 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 29.37 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 49.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Hideaki Endo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0 - BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 0
Match Notes
10 hardness here why not
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/23 - 8:21 PM
Should be a good game
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/23 - 8:50 PM
One wonders if Brian has been saving his 9 GPP for just this match...
Allan (Brentford FC) 03/23 - 10:33 PM
Simon - Let's both go 10 hardness and see what happens.
Al - You know me too well.
Al - You know me too well.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/24 - 5:51 PM
I think the prediction pundits have it right.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/30 - 4:12 PM
While we stay in D2, it always feels good to stop Compo from winning. Cheers sir!
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 03/30 - 6:55 PM
Sorry to see you’re not bouncing back to D1 next season Brian. Even more shocked to see where Compo is heading…
Roger (Bristol City FC) 03/30 - 11:01 PM
Always a good game here
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/31 - 12:57 AM
A bore draw with all those shots
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/31 - 12:58 AM
Is it div 3 for us given the tight table
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 03/31 - 12:58 AM
Close match. Olmec did not favor Compo today who should have won. (occasionally I agree with you Compo!)
😎
😎
Allan (Brentford FC) 04/01 - 12:38 AM
Théo Billard with a ~85% success rate in this one. Safe to say he was the difference. But will he receive a New Year's card from Northampton manager Simon Compton? Time will tell.
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 04/03 - 7:56 PM