(N)
Southend United
Colin Scott
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
AP Cup Group (3)
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
SOUTHEND UNITED PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Alonso Lopez 11 2 13 Gk Finlay Palmer 13 1 14
Sw Glen Clarke 13 1 14 Sw Bryn Gough 6 2 8
Df Kenzie Fraser 12 1 13 Df Leonardo Marino 13 0 13
Df Archie Rowe 13 1 14 Df John MacDonald 13 0 13
Df Eliecer Mojica 8 0 8 Df Nestor Omlin 6 2 8
Mf Troy Juric 12 1 13 Mf Daniel Kelly 13 0 13
Mf Nico Schär 10 1 11 Mf Jorge Perez 6 2 8
Fw Kenzie McDonald 13 1 14 Fw Charles Sweeney 13 0 13
Fw Seny Sonko 10 1 11 Fw Luis Calvo 16 0 16
Fw Callum Brudenell 7 1 8 Fw Nenad Kovtun 11 1 12
Fw Valon Fassnacht 7 1 8 Fw Syam Arfaoui 11 0 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
13 14 35 24 41 ROSTER TOTALS 14 8 34 21 52
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
16 14 35 24 41 T O T A L S 14 8 34 21 52
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 31.37 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 83.52 (no red card)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.78 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.75 (no red card)
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.27 (no red card)
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.72 (no red card)
Df Eliecer Mojica: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.8 (no red card)
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.04 (no red card)
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.66 (no red card)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.95 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.61 (no second yellow)
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 17.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.32 (no red card)
Fw Callum Brudenell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 60.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.8 (no red card)
Fw Valon Fassnacht: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.45 (no red card)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.05 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 76.43 (no red card)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.37 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.4 (no red card)
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.64 (no red card)
Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.98 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.15 (no red card)
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.95 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.81 (no red card)
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.24 (no red card)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.38 (no red card)
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.76 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.79 (no red card)
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.97 (no red card)
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 37.83 (no red card)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.49 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 80.47 (no injury)
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.85 (no injury)
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 8.49 (no injury)
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 65.8 (no injury)
Df Eliecer Mojica: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.92 (no injury)
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.51 (no injury)
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.25 (no injury)
Fw Kenzie McDonald: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.49 (no injury)
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 35.59 (no injury)
Fw Callum Brudenell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 15.1 (no injury)
Fw Valon Fassnacht: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 89.15 (no injury)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0
- Southend United Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 78.2 (no injury)
Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.69 (no injury)
Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 33.68 (no injury)
Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.63 (no injury)
Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.72 (no injury)
Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.69 (no injury)
Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.02 (no injury)
Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 26.29 (no injury)
Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.69 (no injury)
Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.61 (no injury)
Fw Syam Arfaoui: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.69 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Archie Rowe SL 13
- Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 13
intRndPk = 44
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
******* SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16
- Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Southend United 16 14 35 24 41
Plymouth Argyle FC 14 8 34 21 52
Southend United Fw Attacks = 7 (41 - 34); result rounded up
Southend United Mf Attacks = 2 ((24 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 9
1: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Troy Juric
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Callum Brudenell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.3 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Callum Brudenell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 80.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Callum Brudenell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Callum Brudenell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Valon Fassnacht
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 18.18 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Kenzie McDonald
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Plymouth Argyle FC 14 8 34 21 52
Southend United 16 14 35 24 41
Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 17 (52 - 35); result rounded up
Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 24) / 2; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 41) / 3; rounded up)
Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 87.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Syam Arfaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 53.2 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
12: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 0.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 11.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 73.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
17: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
SOUTHEND UNITED 1 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 1
Match Notes
Southend need just a point to advance. Plymouth are through with a win. Or a draw and an Oldham loss. This game could get interesting!
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/03 - 2:02 AM
Should I be playing the T11?
Colin (Southend United) 02/03 - 3:05 AM
Riding my luck here - for sure. Unlucky Rob.
Colin (Southend United) 02/03 - 8:39 PM
UGH. We couldn't get ONE more in? Fiddle sticks.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/10 - 4:44 PM