(H)
Derby County
Martyn Hathaway
Nottingham Forest
Steve Turner
FA Cup Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S DERBY COUNTY NOTTINGHAM FOREST Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Dave Collins 11 0 11 Gk Charlie Cockayne 12 0 12 Sw Artur Boniek 10 0 10 Sw Édouard Gning 9 0 9 Df Nathan Edwards 10 0 10 Df Laurence Clarke 13 0 13 Df Carrington Phillips 10 0 10 Df Pathé Sané 14 0 14 Fw Peder Petersen 13 0 13 Df Harley Mason 10 0 10 Mf Ike Azeez 10 0 10 Mf Freddie Cockham 13 0 13 Mf Glen Fortune-West 7 0 7 Mf Derek Holmes 10 0 10 Fw Jay Mitchell 13 0 13 Fw Kian Clarke 13 0 13 Fw Mohamed Torres 11 0 11 Fw Josh Watson 13 0 13 Fw Reimundo Almada 10 0 10 Fw Jon Dahl Lund 11 0 11 Fw Yahia El mostafa 5 2 7 Fw William Duffy 9 0 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 11 10 20 17 54 ROSTER TOTALS 12 9 37 23 46 0 0 1 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 11 10 21 20 60 T O T A L S 12 9 37 23 46 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* DERBY COUNTY YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Dave Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.03 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.23 (no red card) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.9 (no red card) Df Nathan Edwards: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 12.06 (no red card) Df Carrington Phillips: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.28 (no red card) Fw Peder Petersen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.6 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.76 (no red card) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.86 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 87.91 (no second yellow) Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.39 (no red card) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.07 (no red card) Fw Mohamed Torres: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.95 (no red card) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.3 (no red card) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 99.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.7 (no red card) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.87 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.82 (no red card) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.14 (no red card) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.09 (no red card) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.73 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.24 (no red card) Df Harley Mason: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.21 (no red card) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.16 (no red card) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.72 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.29 (no red card) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.23 (no red card) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.45 (no red card) Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.24 (no red card) Fw William Duffy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.22 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Derby County Team Hardness = 1 - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Dave Collins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 51.88 (no injury) Sw Artur Boniek: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 78.88 (no injury) Df Nathan Edwards: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 47.69 (no injury) Df Carrington Phillips: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 1.17 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Carrington Phillips is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Peder Petersen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.31 (no injury) Mf Ike Azeez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.41 (no injury) Mf Glen Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.43 (no injury) Fw Jay Mitchell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.49 (no injury) Fw Mohamed Torres: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 68.64 (no injury) Fw Reimundo Almada: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.3 (no injury) Fw Yahia El mostafa: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 58.02 (no injury) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Nottingham Forest Team Hardness = 0 - Derby County Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Charlie Cockayne: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 70.27 (no injury) Sw Édouard Gning: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 17.25 (no injury) Df Laurence Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 74.84 (no injury) Df Pathé Sané: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 76.48 (no injury) Df Harley Mason: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 69.65 (no injury) Mf Freddie Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.76 (no injury) Mf Derek Holmes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.29 (no injury) Fw Kian Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.61 (no injury) Fw Josh Watson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 6.97 (no injury) Fw Jon Dahl Lund: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 87.43 (no injury) Fw William Duffy: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.56 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Peder Petersen SL 13 - Defending Gk: Charlie Cockayne SL 12 intRndPk = 9 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick) ******* DERBY COUNTY CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Pathé Sané SL 14 - Defending Gk: Dave Collins SL 11 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* DERBY COUNTY ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Derby County 11 10 21 20 60 Nottingham Forest 12 9 37 23 46 Derby County Fw Attacks = 23 (60 - 37); result rounded up Derby County Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 23) / 2; rounded up) Derby County Df Attacks = 0 ((21 - 46) / 3; rounded up) Derby County Total Attacks = 23 1: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 72.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 10: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 97.21 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 11: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 44.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 60.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Yahia El mostafa Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Jay Mitchell Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 16.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Peder Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Reimundo Almada Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 5.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 22: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Mohamed Torres Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) ******* NOTTINGHAM FOREST ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Nottingham Forest 12 9 37 23 46 Derby County 11 10 21 20 60 Nottingham Forest Fw Attacks = 25 (46 - 21); result rounded up Nottingham Forest Mf Attacks = 2 ((23 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Nottingham Forest Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 60) / 3; rounded up) Nottingham Forest Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Mf Freddie Cockham Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 52.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Derek Holmes Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 85.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw William Duffy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 54.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 38.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 37.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw William Duffy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 18: Attack for Fw William Duffy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 46.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw William Duffy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Jon Dahl Lund Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 0.9 (Shot Saved by Gk) 24: Attack for Fw William Duffy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 25: Attack for Fw William Duffy Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 82.38 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 26: Attack for Fw Josh Watson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 63.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 27: Attack for Fw Kian Clarke Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E DERBY COUNTY 2 - NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2
Match Notes
Local derby - Forest don't play Derby very often in the real world any more but this was a fierce rivalry amongst fans. Ilkeston is pretty much mid way between the two cities and on the county border so a lot of Ilkestonians supported one or the other. Br
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/27 - 12:18 PM
Brian Clough was manager of both teams winning the then First Division with both teams. The A52 which runs between the cities was named after him relatively recently.
Steve (Nottingham Forest) 01/27 - 12:19 PM