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Chesterfield FC
Phil McIntosh
 
Southend United
Colin Scott
 
 
FA Cup Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHESTERFIELD FC                            SOUTHEND UNITED

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Niklas Herrmann        15    2   17     Gk Alonso Lopez           12    2   14
Sw Éder Astorga           10    0   10     Sw Glen Clarke            13    2   15
Df Robert Harrison        13    0   13     Df Kenzie Fraser          12    2   14
Df Jeff Stewart           10    0   10     Df Manuel Ortiz           10    1   11
Mf Erik Weber             13    0   13     Df Archie Rowe            13    2   15
Mf Connor Patel           12    0   12     Df Vincent Hamidou         6    0    6
Mf Jonatan López          10    0   10     Mf Troy Juric             12    2   14
Fw Gabriel Bacca          19    1   20     Mf Nico Schär             10    2   12
Fw Liam Cleverley         12    0   12     Fw Seny Sonko             11    2   13
Fw Francisco Viana        10    0   10     Fw Cássio Lemos           11    0   11
Fw Alfonso Mesén          10    1   11     Fw Roman Radomski          6    1    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 10 23 35 53        ROSTER TOTALS      14 15 46 26 31    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 10 32 35 53         T O T A L S       17 15 46 26 31    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.54 (no red card)

Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.28 (no red card)

Df Robert Harrison: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.3 (no red card)

Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.67 (no red card)

Mf Erik Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.63 (no red card)

Mf Connor Patel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.17 (no red card)

Mf Jonatan López: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.03 (no red card)

Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.8 (no red card)

Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.59 (no red card)

Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.0 (no red card)

Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.88 (no red card)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 95.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 5.71 (no red card)

Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 84.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.13 (no red card)

Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 55.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.21 (no red card)

Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.51 (no red card)

Df Archie Rowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.06 (no red card)

Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 27.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.04 (no red card)

Mf Troy Juric: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.19 (no red card)

Mf Nico Schär: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.87 (no red card)

Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.36 (no red card)

Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 64.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 88.72 (no red card)

Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.37 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Niklas Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 12.68 (no injury) 
Sw Éder Astorga: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.91 (no injury) 
Df Robert Harrison: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.72 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.1 (no injury) 
Mf Erik Weber: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 78.14 (no injury) 
Mf Connor Patel: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 98.89 (no injury) 
Mf Jonatan López: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.99 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jonatan López is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Gabriel Bacca: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 48.1 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Cleverley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 84.37 (no injury) 
Fw Francisco Viana: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.32 (no injury) 
Fw Alfonso Mesén: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.12 (no injury) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Southend United Team Hardness = 1
   - Chesterfield FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Alonso Lopez: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 69.08 (no injury) 
Sw Glen Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.33 (no injury) 
Df Kenzie Fraser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.76 (no injury) 
Df Manuel Ortiz: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.56 (no injury) 
Df Archie Rowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 69.56 (no injury) 
Df Vincent Hamidou: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 28.76 (no injury) 
Mf Troy Juric: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 60.48 (no injury) 
Mf Nico Schär: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 16.31 (no injury) 
Fw Seny Sonko: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 77.03 (no injury) 
Fw Cássio Lemos: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.15 (no injury) 
Fw Roman Radomski: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 48.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gabriel Bacca SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Alonso Lopez SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Archie Rowe SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Niklas Herrmann SL 15

     intRndPk = 76
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHESTERFIELD FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chesterfield FC          17  10  32  35  53
  Southend United          17  15  46  26  31

Chesterfield FC Fw Attacks = 7 (53 - 46); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((35 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Df Attacks = 1 ((32 - 31) / 3); result rounded up
Chesterfield FC Total Attacks = 13

1: Attack for Df Robert Harrison
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Erik Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jonatan López
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 20.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Connor Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Connor Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Connor Patel
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 24.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Liam Cleverley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 92.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Francisco Viana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  SOUTHEND UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Southend United          17  15  46  26  31
  Chesterfield FC          17  10  32  35  53

Southend United Fw Attacks = 0 (31 - 32)
Southend United Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
Southend United Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
Southend United Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHESTERFIELD FC 2  -  SOUTHEND UNITED 0
 
Match Notes
Thought I could have sneaked another Cup draw but not to be. Well done Phil.
Colin (Southend United) 02/13 - 12:07 AM
 
 
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