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Weston-super-Mare AFC
Vick Hall
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 3
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC                      NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Wayne Carroll          15    2   17     Gk Hélder Queiroz         13    1   14
Sw Filip Gustafsson        9    2   11     Df Juan-Carlos Pique      10    2   12
Df Freddie Harris         13    2   15     Df Noh Jin-chuel           9    1   10
Df Hugo Simons            11    2   13     Df Erik Richter            6    2    8
Mf Melvin Carmona         13    2   15     Mf Jochem Pasveer         10    2   12
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski      6    2    8     Mf Paulo Varao            10    2   12
Fw Nii Mingle             14    2   16     Mf Shigeo Makino           6    1    7
Fw Kenneth Milligan       17    2   19     Mf Clint Smith             3    2    5
Fw Krystian Zewlakow      10    2   12     Mf Jonas Weber            11    2   13
Fw José Sánchez           10    2   12     Fw Jose Alvarez            6    2    8
Fw Dafydd Chapman          6    2    8     Fw Greg Rashford           6    1    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 28 23 67        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 30 49 15    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  2    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 11 28 27 72         T O T A L S       14  0 30 49 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 15.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 86.47 (no red card)

Sw Filip Gustafsson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.32 (no red card)

Df Freddie Harris: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.7 (no red card)

Df Hugo Simons: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 68.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.67 (no red card)

Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 63.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.32 (no red card)

Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.45 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.43 (no red card)

Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 29.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.39 (no red card)

Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.48 (no red card)

Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.2 (no red card)

Fw José Sánchez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.03 (no red card)

Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.15 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hélder Queiroz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 49.34 (no red card)

Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.19 (no red card)

Df Noh Jin-chuel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.73 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 17.06 (no red card)

Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 27.0 (no red card)

Mf Paulo Varao: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 98.92 (no red card)

Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.52 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.83 (no second yellow)

Mf Clint Smith: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 79.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.75 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Weber: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.13 (no red card)

Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 8.64 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 36.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Wayne Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 89.28 (no injury) 
Sw Filip Gustafsson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 63.67 (no injury) 
Df Freddie Harris: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 99.26 (no injury) 
Df Hugo Simons: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 36.89 (no injury) 
Mf Melvin Carmona: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 23.19 (no injury) 
Mf Tomasz Lewandowski: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 23.12 (no injury) 
Fw Nii Mingle: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 4.97 (no injury) 
Fw Kenneth Milligan: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 5.65 (no injury) 
Fw Krystian Zewlakow: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 7.96 (no injury) 
Fw José Sánchez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 49.36 (no injury) 
Fw Dafydd Chapman: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 80.9 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Weston-super-Mare AFC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Hélder Queiroz: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 0.09 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Hélder Queiroz loses 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Hélder Queiroz new match skill level =  7
      Hélder Queiroz new match total level =  8
Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 97.55 (no injury) 
Df Noh Jin-chuel: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 94.36 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 90.14 (no injury) 
Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 44.46 (no injury) 
Mf Paulo Varao: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 71.23 (no injury) 
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 35.75 (no injury) 
Mf Clint Smith: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 80.79 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Weber: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 99.34 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 51.93 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 84.48 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Kenneth Milligan SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Hélder Queiroz SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jonas Weber SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Wayne Carroll SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18  11  28  27  72
  Northampton Town FC      8   0  30  49  17

Northampton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Weston-super-Mare AFC Fw Attacks = 21 (72 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((27 - 49) / 2;  rounded up)
Weston-super-Mare AFC Df Attacks = 4 ((28 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Weston-super-Mare AFC Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Hugo Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 93.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Hugo Simons
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 43.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Freddie Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Freddie Harris
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 75.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw José Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 14.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 28.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 57.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw José Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw José Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 89.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
16: Attack for Fw Nii Mingle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 15.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 11.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Dafydd Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 38.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw José Sánchez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 58.0% | Random number = 66.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
24: Attack for Fw Kenneth Milligan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Krystian Zewlakow
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 49 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      8   0  30  49  17
  Weston-super-Mare AFC    18  11  28  27  72

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 28)
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 11 ((49 - 27) / 2) ; result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 72) / 5;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Shigeo Makino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Paulo Varao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 54.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Paulo Varao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 64.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Paulo Varao
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WESTON-SUPER-MARE AFC 4  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Oh my Vick go easy on us 🥳
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/07 - 10:46 PM
we can promise not to play hard if that helps?
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/10 - 3:15 PM
Northampton got their tactics right. certainly helped.
Vick (Weston-super-Mare AFC) 02/10 - 9:11 PM
Let’s hope so
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/10 - 10:11 PM
Wrong 😂
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/10 - 10:12 PM
So hoepful
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/10 - 10:12 PM
 
 
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