(H)
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
Plymouth Argyle FC
Rob Peterson
League Round 5
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Giles Kelly 10 2 12 Gk Finlay Palmer 15 2 17 Df Paul Muir 13 2 15 Sw Bryn Gough 7 2 9 Df Juan-Carlos Pique 10 2 12 Df Leonardo Marino 13 0 13 Df Erik Richter 6 2 8 Df John MacDonald 13 0 13 Mf Jochem Pasveer 10 2 12 Df Nestor Omlin 7 2 9 Mf Paulo Varao 10 2 12 Mf Daniel Kelly 13 0 13 Mf Jack Maclaren 15 0 15 Mf Jorge Perez 7 -1 6 Mf Shigeo Makino 6 1 7 Fw Charles Sweeney 13 0 13 Fw Jose Alvarez 6 2 8 Fw Luis Calvo 16 0 16 Fw Greg Rashford 6 1 7 Fw Nenad Kovtun 12 2 14 Fw Christian Egli 3 2 5 Fw Si-Won Min-woo 7 2 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 0 35 46 20 ROSTER TOTALS 17 9 35 19 52 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 15 0 35 55 20 T O T A L S 17 9 35 19 52 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.53 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.29 (no red card) Df Paul Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.57 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.57 (no red card) Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.17 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.63 (no second yellow) Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.16 (no red card) Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.26 (no red card) Mf Paulo Varao: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.16 (no red card) Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 2.7 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.55 (no second yellow) Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.29 (no red card) Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.44 (no red card) Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.18 (no red card) Fw Christian Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.16 (no red card) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.77 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 51.33 (no red card) Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.31 (no red card) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.84 (no red card) Df John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.19 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.36 (no red card) Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.66 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.12 (no red card) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.9 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.48 (no second yellow) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.76 (no red card) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.0 (no red card) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.01 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.14 (no second yellow) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.19 (no red card) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.17 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.42 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 85.2 (no injury) Df Paul Muir: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.73 (no injury) Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.49 (no injury) Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.28 (no injury) Mf Jochem Pasveer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.09 (no injury) Mf Paulo Varao: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.1 (no injury) Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.8 (no injury) Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.06 (no injury) Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.26 (no injury) Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.43 (no injury) Fw Christian Egli: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.14 (no injury) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Plymouth Argyle FC Team Hardness = 0 - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Finlay Palmer: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 74.56 (no injury) Sw Bryn Gough: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.04 (no injury) Df Leonardo Marino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.09 (no injury) Df John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.12 (no injury) Df Nestor Omlin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.78 (no injury) Mf Daniel Kelly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 88.85 (no injury) Mf Jorge Perez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.82 (no injury) Fw Charles Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.61 (no injury) Fw Luis Calvo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.28 (no injury) Fw Nenad Kovtun: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.5 (no injury) Fw Si-Won Min-woo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.7 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Jack Maclaren SL 15 - Defending Gk: Finlay Palmer SL 15 intRndPk = 58 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick) ******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Luis Calvo SL 16 - Defending Gk: Giles Kelly SL 10 intRndPk = 85 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 85 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Northampton Town FC 15 0 35 55 20 Plymouth Argyle FC 17 9 35 19 52 Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (20 - 35) Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 18 ((55 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 5; rounded up) Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 18 1: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 5.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 46.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 82.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 8: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 99.94 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 9: Attack for Mf Paulo Varao Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 6.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Paulo Varao Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 94.43 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Mf Paulo Varao Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 88.58 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 15: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 39 (Shot Off Target) 16: Attack for Mf Jack Maclaren Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Mf Jochem Pasveer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Mf Paulo Varao Chance of Sw stopping attack = 48% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) ******* PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Plymouth Argyle FC 17 9 35 19 52 Northampton Town FC 15 0 35 55 20 Northampton Town FC is using Offside Trap! Plymouth Argyle FC Fw Attacks = 9 (52 - 35) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 55) / 2; rounded up) Plymouth Argyle FC Df Attacks = 5 ((35 - 20) / 3); result rounded up Plymouth Argyle FC Total Attacks = 14 1: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Nestor Omlin Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Df John MacDonald Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 52.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 4.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Df Leonardo Marino Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 6: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 18.06 (Shot Saved by Gk) 7: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 14 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 3.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Nenad Kovtun Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 12: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 63.26 (Shot Saved by Gk) 13: Attack for Fw Luis Calvo Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Charles Sweeney Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Northampton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 4 - PLYMOUTH ARGYLE FC 0
Match Notes
Compo. Compo. Compo. I wish you were higher in the standings my friend... but let's keep you down there for one more match okay?
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/17 - 2:46 AM
That’s very likely
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/17 - 8:07 PM
We hope Rob that we can improve as our investors are worried
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/17 - 8:07 PM
Tough pill to swallow. The numbers would suggest either a draw, or possibly even a Plymouth win... to get trounced is tough to see.
Rob (Plymouth Argyle FC) 02/23 - 7:57 PM