(H)
Carlisle United
Dave Gittins
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
League Round 1
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
CARLISLE UNITED NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Dara Hays 13 0 13 Gk Giles Kelly 10 1 11
Sw Lewis Russell 11 0 11 Sw Frank Barnes 8 0 8
Df Owen Sansom 12 0 12 Df Juan-Carlos Pique 10 1 11
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck 11 0 11 Df Lewis Welbeck 8 1 9
Df Shay Finnan 9 1 10 Df Daley Hiddink 2 2 4
Mf Ben Ince 13 0 13 Mf Jack Maclaren 15 0 15
Mf Julius Sæther 9 0 9 Mf Shigeo Makino 5 2 7
Fw Noah Zimmermann 15 0 15 Fw Alex Dean 11 0 11
Fw Ellis Dury 11 0 11 Fw Imed Boumnijel 9 1 10
Fw Salem Bejaoui 10 0 10 Fw Jose Alvarez 5 2 7
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi 5 2 7 Fw Greg Rashford 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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13 11 33 22 43 ROSTER TOTALS 11 8 24 22 35
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 3 6 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
13 11 33 25 49 T O T A L S 11 8 24 22 35
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* CARLISLE UNITED YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 68.3 (no red card)
Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.4 (no red card)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.83 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.48 (no red card)
Df Shay Finnan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.27 (no red card)
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.75 (no red card)
Mf Julius Sæther: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.89 (no red card)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.61 (no red card)
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.11 (no red card)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.12 (no red card)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.26 (no red card)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.14 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.92 (no red card)
Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.86 (no red card)
Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 66.55 (no red card)
Df Lewis Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.44 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.97 (no red card)
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.78 (no red card)
Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.31 (no red card)
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.28 (no red card)
Fw Alex Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.15 (no red card)
Fw Imed Boumnijel: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.98 (no red card)
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.21 (no red card)
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.99 (no red card)
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============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Dara Hays: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 68.19 (no injury)
Sw Lewis Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.85 (no injury)
Df Owen Sansom: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.09 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Lagerbäck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.09 (no injury)
Df Shay Finnan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.68 (no injury)
Mf Ben Ince: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.19 (no injury)
Mf Julius Sæther: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no injury)
Fw Noah Zimmermann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.53 (no injury)
Fw Ellis Dury: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.31 (no injury)
Fw Salem Bejaoui: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.74 (no injury)
Fw Takeshi Fukunishi: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 82.4 (no injury)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Carlisle United Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Giles Kelly: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.81 (no injury)
Sw Frank Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.65 (no injury)
Df Juan-Carlos Pique: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.87 (no injury)
Df Lewis Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.36 (no injury)
Df Daley Hiddink: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.25 (no injury)
Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.7 (no injury)
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.08 (no injury)
Fw Alex Dean: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.47 (no injury)
Fw Imed Boumnijel: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.4 (no injury)
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.49 (no injury)
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.76 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Noah Zimmermann SL 15
- Defending Gk: Giles Kelly SL 10
intRndPk = 74
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
******* CARLISLE UNITED CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Jack Maclaren SL 15
- Defending Gk: Dara Hays SL 13
intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* CARLISLE UNITED ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Carlisle United 13 11 33 25 49
Northampton Town FC 11 8 24 22 35
Carlisle United Fw Attacks = 25 (49 - 24); result rounded up
Carlisle United Mf Attacks = 2 ((25 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlisle United Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 35) / 3; rounded up)
Carlisle United Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Mf Julius Sæther
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Julius Sæther
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 78.36 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 12.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 4.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 50 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 66.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 51 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target)
16: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 54.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 86.72 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
20: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 58.92 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Salem Bejaoui
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Takeshi Fukunishi
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
26: Attack for Fw Noah Zimmermann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target)
27: Attack for Fw Ellis Dury
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack)
******* NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Northampton Town FC 11 8 24 22 35
Carlisle United 13 11 33 25 49
Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 2 (35 - 33); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 2
1: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Fw Alex Dean
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
CARLISLE UNITED 4 - NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 1
Match Notes
Good luck Dave
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 01/31 - 11:46 PM
Just too good
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/04 - 12:45 AM
You were just unlucky to come up against us in our most determined mood of season so far.
Dave (Carlisle United) 02/04 - 1:26 AM