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Brighton & Hove Albion
Brian Beerman
 
Northampton Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION                     NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Reuben Lennon          16    1   17     Gk Isa Etim               13    1   14
Sw Théo Billard           14    2   16     Sw Rafael Corona          11    0   11
Df Michael Addo           11    2   13     Df Paul Muir              13    2   15
Df Ogenyi Hamisu          10    2   12     Df Erik Richter            7    2    9
Df Óscar Cespedes          7    2    9     Mf Jack Maclaren          15    0   15
Df Eric Aidoo              7    2    9     Mf Shigeo Makino           7    1    8
Mf Ryan Brady             12    2   14     Fw Jonas Weber            13    2   15
Mf Raouf Salem             7    2    9     Fw Oscar Peña             11    2   13
Mf Rigobert Mahamat        7    2    9     Fw Jose Alvarez            7    2    9
Fw Elliot Wilkins         17    2   19     Fw Greg Rashford           7    1    8
Fw Khalilou Konaté        11    2   13     Fw Christian Egli          3    2    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 16 43 32 32        ROSTER TOTALS      14 11 24 23 50    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  2  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      17 18 43 32 41         T O T A L S       14 11 24 23 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.2 (no red card)

Sw Théo Billard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.93 (no red card)

Df Michael Addo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.73 (no red card)

Df Ogenyi Hamisu: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.97 (no red card)

Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.08 (no red card)

Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.73 (no red card)

Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.34 (no red card)

Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.68 (no red card)

Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.21 (no red card)

Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.27 (no red card)

Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.33 (no red card)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Isa Etim: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 78.09 (no red card)

Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.61 (no red card)

Df Paul Muir: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.11 (no red card)

Df Erik Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.19 (no red card)

Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.19 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.43 (no second yellow)

Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.98 (no red card)

Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 37.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.45 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.93 (no red card)

Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.42 (no red card)

Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.8 (no red card)

Fw Christian Egli: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.53 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Reuben Lennon: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.39 (no injury) 
Sw Théo Billard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.01 (no injury) 
Df Michael Addo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.0 (no injury) 
Df Ogenyi Hamisu: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.87 (no injury) 
Df Óscar Cespedes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.64 (no injury) 
Df Eric Aidoo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.11 (no injury) 
Mf Ryan Brady: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.55 (no injury) 
Mf Raouf Salem: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 71.57 (no injury) 
Mf Rigobert Mahamat: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.34 (no injury) 
Fw Elliot Wilkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.89 (no injury) 
Fw Khalilou Konaté: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.99 (no injury) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Northampton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Brighton & Hove Albion Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Isa Etim: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 13.44 (no injury) 
Sw Rafael Corona: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.15 (no injury) 
Df Paul Muir: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 94.51 (no injury) 
Df Erik Richter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.54 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Maclaren: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.93 (no injury) 
Mf Shigeo Makino: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.72 (no injury) 
Fw Jonas Weber: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 55.15 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Peña: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.38 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Alvarez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.28 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Rashford: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.78 (no injury) 
Fw Christian Egli: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.94 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Christian Egli loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Christian Egli new match skill level =  2
      Christian Egli new match total level =  4
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Elliot Wilkins SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Isa Etim SL 13

     intRndPk = 96
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 96 (no penalty kick)

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jack Maclaren SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Reuben Lennon SL 16

     intRndPk = 4
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 4 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 78% | Random number = 95 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Brighton & Hove Albion   17  18  43  32  41
  Northampton Town FC      14  11  24  23  49

Brighton & Hove Albion is Playing For A Draw!
Brighton & Hove Albion Fw Attacks = 9 (41 - 24) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Mf Attacks = 2 ((32 - 23) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Brighton & Hove Albion Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 49) / 3;  rounded up)
Brighton & Hove Albion Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Mf Rigobert Mahamat
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Ryan Brady
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 28.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 78.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Khalilou Konaté
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 29.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Elliot Wilkins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Northampton Town FC      14  11  24  23  49
  Brighton & Hove Albion   17  18  43  32  41

Northampton Town FC Fw Attacks = 6 (49 - 43); result rounded up
Northampton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 32) / 2;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((24 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Northampton Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Oscar Peña
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Jonas Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 62 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Greg Rashford
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BRIGHTON & HOVE ALBION 1  -  NORTHAMPTON TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Even Compo doesn't want to select Compo to win this match.
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/24 - 5:25 PM
We have no hope and bob hope 😂
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/24 - 10:52 PM
There’s hope with hardness
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/24 - 10:53 PM
Well well compos shocks the pundits 😂😂
Simon (Northampton Town FC) 02/24 - 10:53 PM
Is this the match Compo tells us he was lucky?
Allan (Brentford FC) 02/24 - 11:21 PM
A true disappointment for us today
Brian (Brighton & Hove Albion) 02/25 - 11:24 PM
 
 
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