(N)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
FA Cup Final
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
WELLING UNITED FC TONBRIDGE ANGELS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Robert Morgan 17 1 18 Gk Luca Werner 15 2 17
Sw Douglas Pereira 13 1 14 Df Mathias Sørensen 15 2 17
Df Devon Allen 16 2 18 Df Luke Crowley 13 2 15
Df Luca Herrmann 17 1 18 Df Sean Callahan 13 2 15
Mf Jonas Koch 16 2 18 Df Finn Fitzgerald 12 2 14
Mf Bernd Lang 15 2 17 Mf Fernando Rocha 14 2 16
Fw Arran Fergus 15 2 17 Mf Joe Barrett 17 2 19
Fw Nils Pettersson 15 2 17 Mf Kunio Yamamoto 13 2 15
Fw Samuel Rose 13 2 15 Fw Matais Juarez 16 2 18
Fw Lorenzo Santana 13 2 15 Fw Michael Turner 14 2 16
Fw Greg Scott 13 2 15 Fw Scott Marshall 13 2 15
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 14 36 35 79 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 61 50 49
0 0 0 0 1 HARDNESS 3 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 4 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 2 3
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
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21 17 36 35 84 T O T A L S 20 0 61 52 52
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.66 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.06 (no red card)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.74 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.03 (no second yellow)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 51.62 (no red card)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.17 (no red card)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.45 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.41 (no second yellow)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.25 (no red card)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.06 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.7 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.89 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 8.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.62 (no red card)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.6 (no red card)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.53 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.82 (no red card)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 91.78 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 47.63 (no red card)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 0.6 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
Mathias Sørensen new match skill level = 8
Mathias Sørensen new match total level = 10
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 3.17 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 16.05 (no second yellow)
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 13.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 7.01 (no red card)
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.91 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 46.57 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 17.32 (no red card)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 76.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 96.4 (no red card)
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 37.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 5.76 (no red card)
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 2.6 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 23.74 (no second yellow)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 53.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 11.56 (no red card)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 24.65 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 92.86 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.5%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.28 (no injury)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 32.67 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 24.94 (no injury)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 14.79 (no injury)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 75.41 (no injury)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 34.53 (no injury)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 72.88 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 77.56 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 92.68 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 47.99 (no injury)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 5.0% | Random number = 75.37 (no injury)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 59.45 (no injury)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.08 (no injury)
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.28 (no injury)
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 10.88 (no injury)
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 7.04 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 35.0 (no injury)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.91 (no injury)
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.84 (no injury)
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.88 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.43 (no injury)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 0.06 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Scott Marshall is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Luca Herrmann SL 17
- Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 17
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 21 17 36 35 84
Tonbridge Angels 20 0 54 52 52
Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 15 (84 - 54) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 52) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 52) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 15
1: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 89.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 50.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 41.52 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 81.08 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 74.41 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.58 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
10: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 38.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 61.13 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 47.83 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 20 0 54 52 52
Welling United FC 21 17 36 35 84
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 16 (52 - 36); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 9 ((52 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 84) / 5; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 25
1: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 38.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 32.02 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 64.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 92.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
11: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 4.73 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 48.03 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target)
22: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
E N D O F R E G U L A T I O N
WELLING UNITED FC 1 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
===============================================
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E X T R A T I M E !!!!!!!!!!
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Note that in extra time, the formulas for determining how many bookings,
penalty kicks, injuries, and attacks are approximately 1/3 of the same
chance in regulation time. Its not always EXACTLY 1/3 but it will be close.
============================================================================
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Each player's level (skill level + fitness) is now reduced by their age (except for Gks - no reduction).
SBY and APP players do not get a reduction.
******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.46 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.24% | Random number = 11.47 (no red card)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 61.97 (no red card)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 22.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 39.6 (no red card)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 19.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 69.28 (no red card)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 10.68 (no red card)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 64.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 27.25 (no red card)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 12.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 96.61 (no red card)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 65.24 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 98.69 (no red card)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 31.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 33.28 (no red card)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 41.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 54.91 (no red card)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 2.0% | Random number = 44.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.32% | Random number = 29.24 (no red card)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 3
- Gk Hardness = 3
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 80.28 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.6% | Random number = 55.23 (no red card)
Df Mathias Sørensen: has already been sent off and will not be checked for another booking.
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 33.76 (no red card)
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 26.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 48.76 (no red card)
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 99.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 63.22 (no red card)
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 14.35 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 73.35 (no red card)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 76.23 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 82.83 (no red card)
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 20.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 87.82 (no red card)
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 71.89 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 79.38 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 0.92 (no red card)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 3.0% | Random number = 28.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.48% | Random number = 32.58 (no red card)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.85%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 0.85% | Random number = 46.22 (no injury)
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 27.68 (no injury)
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 22.12 (no injury)
Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 73.54 (no injury)
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 62.27 (no injury)
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 59.04 (no injury)
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 65.14 (no injury)
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 62.54 (no injury)
Fw Samuel Rose: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 81.29 (no injury)
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 44.28 (no injury)
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 1.6500000000000001% | Random number = 31.68 (no injury)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 3
- Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 1.32%
- Gk chance of injury = 0.68%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 0.68% | Random number = 94.63 (no injury)
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 92.17 (no injury)
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 57.86 (no injury)
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 83.88 (no injury)
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 41.84 (no injury)
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 7.38 (no injury)
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 92.2 (no injury)
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 85.02 (no injury)
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 19.37 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 89.49 (no injury)
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 1.32% | Random number = 42.29 (no injury)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Devon Allen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 10 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 36 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 14
- Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17
1: Chance of PK occurring = 3% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)
******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Welling United FC 21 13 30 31 73
Tonbridge Angels 20 0 46 46 48
Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 4 (73 - 46) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) * .33; result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((31 - 46) / 2; rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 48) / 3; rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Samuel Rose
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 48.04 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 20 0 46 46 48
Welling United FC 21 13 30 31 73
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 6 (48 - 30) * .33; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 2 ((46 - 31) / 2) * .33; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 73) / 5; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 89.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
2: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Scott Marshall
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 53.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
5: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 74.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 5.54 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
WELLING UNITED FC 1 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 2
Match Notes
This series is dead even.
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 07/19 - 7:32 PM
TON have won both league matches this season - with no goal against
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/20 - 10:21 AM
The favourite should be quite obvious, thus
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/20 - 10:22 AM
this game is the highlight of the season. Good Luck to you both!
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 07/20 - 11:35 AM
Last FA Cup meeting was over 20 seasons ago. I don’t think either manager was around for that one, so no bad blood at least!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/22 - 11:17 PM
Not sure how Eduard is making us favourites. I think we need another top performance though.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/25 - 4:09 PM
Would be nice to get our third one nil victory this game but I forecast quite a few goals.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/25 - 4:14 PM
Welling set to be favourites here
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/25 - 8:00 PM
Very well done!
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/27 - 3:09 AM
Congrats, Andy
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/27 - 12:52 PM
It's not often that any team can defeat WEL 3 times
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/27 - 12:52 PM
It's somewhat typical for this *** season: WEL loses once more depite a 1.4-0.7 xG advantage
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/27 - 12:54 PM
Maybe only one manager saw that coming
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/28 - 8:02 AM
Congrats, Andy! And hard luck for perpetual cup threat Eduard in this one
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/28 - 1:20 PM
Under dog!
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/30 - 11:09 AM
Thanks guys. My first trophy with the Angels.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/30 - 6:56 PM
Well played Eduard. We definitely had the luck on our side.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/30 - 7:04 PM