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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            LUTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Guillaume Hebert       15    2   17     Gk Hayden Barnes          16    2   18
Sw Julian Moreno           9    2   11     Sw Joel Strömberg          9    2   11
Df Max Hermansson         14    2   16     Df Philipp Koch           14    1   15
Df Lok Guo                13    2   15     Df Thomás Lebre           14    1   15
Df Ben Collins             9    2   11     Mf Victor Shepard         15    0   15
Df James Dunn              5    2    7     Mf Nathan Dean            14    1   15
Mf Michael Carroll        13    2   15     Fw Philipp Hoffmann       15    0   15
Mf Harvey Allen           17    2   19     Fw Nathan Phillips        17    1   18
Mf Carlton Bishop          9    2   11     Fw Facundo Bruno          12    1   13
Fw Zak Bell               14    2   16     Fw Jamie Carroll          11    1   12
Fw Alexander Stewart      13    2   15     Fw Albin Hansson           9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17 11 49 45 31        ROSTER TOTALS      18 11 30 30 69    
       0  0  0  2  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  9  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 11 49 56 31         T O T A L S       18 11 30 30 69    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 5.2 (no red card)

Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 78.65 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 40.42 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 25.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 49.67 (no red card)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 67.78 (no red card)

Df Ben Collins: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.64 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 97.07 (no second yellow)

Df James Dunn: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 73.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.12 (no red card)

Mf Michael Carroll: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 20.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 96.49 (no red card)

Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 45.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 6.79 (no red card)

Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 30.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.81 (no red card)

Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 85.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 78.96 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 5.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.19 (no second yellow)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.09 (no red card)

Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.1 (no red card)

Df Philipp Koch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.48 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.43 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.34 (no red card)

Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.24 (no red card)

Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.52 (no red card)

Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 100.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.01 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.6 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.48 (no red card)

Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 44.19 (no injury) 
Sw Julian Moreno: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.4 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 85.56 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 87.02 (no injury) 
Df Ben Collins: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.28 (no injury) 
Df James Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.23 (no injury) 
Mf Michael Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.67 (no injury) 
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 43.84 (no injury) 
Mf Carlton Bishop: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 23.38 (no injury) 
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.9 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.08 (no injury) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 96.01 (no injury) 
Sw Joel Strömberg: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.77 (no injury) 
Df Philipp Koch: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.72 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 17.84 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 85.87 (no injury) 
Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.38 (no injury) 
Fw Philipp Hoffmann: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.52 (no injury) 
Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.58 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 70.67 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.31 (no injury) 
Fw Albin Hansson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.81 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 16

     intRndPk = 67
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Phillips SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          20  11  49  56  31
  Luton Town FC            18  11  30  30  69

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (31 - 30); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 13 ((56 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((49 - 69) / 3;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Michael Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Michael Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Michael Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Carlton Bishop
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Michael Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 63.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Zak Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 61.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            18  11  30  30  69
  Bedford Town FC          20  11  49  56  31

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 20 (69 - 49); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 56) / 2;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 31) / 3;  rounded up)
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 20

1: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 60.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Albin Hansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Albin Hansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 67.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Albin Hansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Philipp Hoffmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
20: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 0  -  LUTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Compo is just where he wants to be...
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/14 - 1:10 PM
...Relegating us in U1...
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/14 - 1:10 PM
...and standing in the way of our promotion here!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 03/14 - 1:10 PM
 
 
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