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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 1
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård         14    1   15     Gk Erik Holm              12    1   13
Sw Florian Schmid         11    1   12     Sw Shane Sweeney          11    1   12
Df Leo McNeill            13    1   14     Df Vegar Aas              13    0   13
Df Callum Henderson       11    1   12     Df Freddy Arboleda        13    2   15
Df Declan MacLellan       10    2   12     Df Kund Gáspár             2    2    4
Mf Simon Müller           10    0   10     Mf Gregor Millar          13    2   15
Mf Cliff Cooper           10    0   10     Mf Cliff Gerrard          10    1   11
Fw Marcos Nuñez           13    1   14     Mf Ross Browne             6    2    8
Fw Cole Hamilton          16    1   17     Fw Leonardo Delgado       10    1   11
Fw Alex Murphy            12    1   13     Fw John MacDonald         10    1   11
Fw Marcos Pinto           10    1   11     Fw Lee Collins             6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 12 38 20 55        ROSTER TOTALS      13 12 32 34 30    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 12 38 21 63         T O T A L S       13 12 32 34 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 43.15 (no red card)

Sw Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.88 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.31 (no red card)

Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.59 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.63 (no red card)

Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.34 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.33 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.98 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.41 (no red card)

Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.09 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.3 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 66.84 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.89 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.55 (no red card)

Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.59 (no red card)

Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.41 (no red card)

Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.95 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.67 (no red card)

Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.7 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.64 (no red card)

Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 94.35 (no red card)

Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.19 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.07 (no injury) 
Sw Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.76 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.56 (no injury) 
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.82 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 48.54 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.58 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.69 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.85 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.98 (no injury) 
Fw Alex Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.57 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Pinto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.16 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 22.81 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.03 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 3.63 (no injury) 
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.35 (no injury) 
Df Kund Gáspár: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.18 (no injury) 
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.19 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.03 (no injury) 
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 62.88 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.28 (no injury) 
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 17.2 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.49 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cole Hamilton SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 12

     intRndPk = 9
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 9 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Vegar Aas SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 14

     intRndPk = 82
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  12  38  21  63
  Harrogate Railway AFC    13  12  32  34  30

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 31 (63 - 32); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 34) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((38 - 30) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 34

1: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Callum Henderson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Df Declan MacLellan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 21 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 25.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 17.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.13 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 14.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 92.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 53.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
30: Attack for Fw Alex Murphy
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
31: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
32: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
33: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 64.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
34: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 70.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    13  12  32  34  30
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  12  38  21  63

Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (30 - 38)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 7 ((34 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Mf Ross Browne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Cliff Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 52.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Gregor Millar
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Cliff Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 3  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Harrogate Railway making the trip to Ilkeston. Lovely day out for them, I'm sure. Whether they enjoy the journey home is another matter entirely.
Olmec Head Tim (Goole AFC) 05/13 - 7:30 PM
We did not enjoy our trip to Ilkeston as expected. Nor will we enjoy our journey home. Well played Steve!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 05/16 - 7:06 PM
Three-nil. Olmec Steve's side did what was required with the quiet efficiency of a universe that has long since stopped caring whether anyone noticed.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM
Three nil and a clean sheet — Olmec Steve's fortress held firm tonight. The Commish will be licking his wounds after that one.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 05/16 - 7:31 PM
 
 
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