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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
 
 
League Round 7
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  MARINE FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          13    2   15     Gk Joe Cameron             6    0    6
Sw Rhys Porter            16   -1   15     Df Tihamér Pap             8    1    9
Df Ryan Lasserre          15   -1   14     Df Finlay Cooke            6    0    6
Df Matheo Seguin           7    2    9     Df Tyler Reynolds          5    0    5
Mf James Gallaher         14   -1   13     Df Andy Simpson            4    2    6
Mf Wes Lambert            10    1   11     Mf Adi Peretz              7    2    9
Mf Martín Paz              9    2   11     Mf Bailey Hills            7    0    7
Mf Euan Barclay            7    2    9     Mf Jack Barry              4    2    6
Fw Ellis Boddington       13   -1   12     Fw Cristobal Saez         10    0   10
Fw Tom Duckworth          16   -1   15     Fw Tony Murray             5    0    5
Fw Diego Testa            10    2   12     Fw Joel Sansom             4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15 15 23 44 39        ROSTER TOTALS       6  0 26 22 21    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15 15 32 44 39         T O T A L S        6  0 29 22 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 84.8 (no red card)

Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.53 (no red card)

Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.03 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.41 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.84 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.86 (no red card)

Mf Martín Paz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.29 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.75 (no red card)

Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.25 (no red card)

Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.82 (no red card)

Fw Diego Testa: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.32 (no red card)

*******  MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card)

Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 20.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 97.33 (no red card)

Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 56.77 (no red card)

Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 54.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 21.69 (no red card)

Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 9.49 (no red card)

Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 84.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 79.73 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 39.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 22.67 (no red card)

Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 82.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 64.12 (no red card)

Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 40.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.03 (no red card)

Fw Tony Murray: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 23.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 13.81 (no red card)

Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 17.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 43.45 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 10.6 (no injury) 
Sw Rhys Porter: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 10.49 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Lasserre: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 12.94 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 41.67 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 76.85 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.87 (no injury) 
Mf Martín Paz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 97.03 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 99.12 (no injury) 
Fw Ellis Boddington: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 80.35 (no injury) 
Fw Tom Duckworth: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 21.61 (no injury) 
Fw Diego Testa: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 91.93 (no injury) 

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Marine FC Team Hardness = 3
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Joe Cameron: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 57.43 (no injury) 
Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 90.49 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Cooke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 47.87 (no injury) 
Df Tyler Reynolds: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.7 (no injury) 
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 16.47 (no injury) 
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 27.78 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.93 (no injury) 
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.27 (no injury) 
Fw Cristobal Saez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 10.47 (no injury) 
Fw Tony Murray: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.31 (no injury) 
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.37 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Tom Duckworth SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Joe Cameron SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Cristobal Saez SL 10
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 13

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                15  15  32  44  39
  Marine FC                6   0  29  22  21

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 10 (39 - 29); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 11 ((44 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 4 ((32 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 25

1: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 38.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 61.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Df Ryan Lasserre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 63.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Df Matheo Seguin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 17.05 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 95.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 62.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 27.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 47 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 88.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Mf Martín Paz
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 30.02 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
17: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 60.17 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 93.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 60.86 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
20: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 56 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 61 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Tom Duckworth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 48 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 14.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw Diego Testa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 88.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
25: Attack for Fw Ellis Boddington
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 75% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 53.5% | Random number = 54.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Marine FC                6   0  29  22  21
  AFC Fylde                15  15  32  44  39

Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 32)
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((29 - 39) / 5;  rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 10  -  MARINE FC 0
 
Match Notes
Nice to see that Phil called off the dogs after minute 77. I guess he finally decided 10 goals was enough?
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 02/01 - 9:23 PM
 
 
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