(H)

Burton Albion FC
James White

Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
League Round 9
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BURTON ALBION FC WELLING UNITED FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Wim Cryuff 16 2 18 Gk Robert Morgan 16 2 18 Sw Harrison Johnson 16 2 18 Df Douglas Pereira 14 2 16 Df Shay Carr 13 2 15 Df Luca Herrmann 14 2 16 Df Christopher McLachlan 8 2 10 Df Louie Ince 14 1 15 Mf Sofiane Fernandez 13 2 15 Df Jermaine Jackson 9 2 11 Mf Lior Tal 8 2 10 Df Thomas Williams 12 2 14 Fw Oliver Bauer 13 2 15 Mf Leon Baumann 14 2 16 Fw Ben Frings 11 2 13 Mf Eoghan Carroll 13 2 15 Fw Noah Monkhouse 11 2 13 Fw Greg Scott 13 2 15 Fw Erik Nygård 11 1 12 Fw Lorenzo Santana 13 2 15 Fw Markus Laursen 8 2 10 Fw Nils Pettersson 12 2 14 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 18 25 25 63 ROSTER TOTALS 18 0 72 31 44 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 18 25 25 72 T O T A L S 18 0 75 31 44 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.91 (no red card) Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.96 (no red card) Df Shay Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.66 (no red card) Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.4 (no red card) Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.73 (no red card) Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.31 (no red card) Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.43 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.28 (no red card) Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.21 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.55 (no red card) Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.64 (no red card) Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.24 (no red card) Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 94.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.32 (no red card) ******* WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.45 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 99.26 (no red card) Df Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.06 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.43 (no red card) Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 61.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 67.39 (no red card) Df Louie Ince: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.98 (no red card) Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.19 (no red card) Df Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 78.62 (no red card) Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.25 (no red card) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.66 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.56 (no second yellow) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.82 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.31 (no red card) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.09 (no red card) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 53.27 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0 - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 62.19 (no injury) Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.95 (no injury) Df Shay Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.27 (no injury) Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 73.22 (no injury) Mf Sofiane Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 22.31 (no injury) Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 15.64 (no injury) Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 24.42 (no injury) Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.71 (no injury) Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.67 (no injury) Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.2 (no injury) Fw Markus Laursen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.82 (no injury) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1 - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 92.57 (no injury) Df Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 57.44 (no injury) Df Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.37 (no injury) Df Louie Ince: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 99.41 (no injury) Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.22 (no injury) Df Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.35 (no injury) Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 29.09 (no injury) Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 37.17 (no injury) Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 95.18 (no injury) Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.26 (no injury) Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.6 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Shay Carr SL 13 - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 48 (no penalty kick) ******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Douglas Pereira SL 14 - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 16 intRndPk = 95 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Burton Albion FC 18 18 25 25 72 Welling United FC 18 0 75 31 44 Welling United FC is using Offside Trap! Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 0 (72 - 75) Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((25 - 31) / 2; rounded up) Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((25 - 44) / 3; rounded up) Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 0 ******* WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Welling United FC 18 0 75 31 44 Burton Albion FC 18 18 25 25 72 Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 19 (44 - 25); result rounded up Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 25) / 2) ; result rounded up Welling United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((75 - 72) / 5); result rounded up Welling United FC Total Attacks = 23 1: Attack for Df Louie Ince Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 13: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 28.71 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 17: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 89.57 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Nils Pettersson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 32.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Greg Scott Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BURTON ALBION FC 0 - WELLING UNITED FC 2
Match Notes

Seems to be a toss up
Mike (Mossley AFC) 02/08 - 6:43 PM


Not quite a toss up
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/08 - 8:48 PM