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Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 10
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

DROYLSDEN FC                               TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Bobby Kaur             14    2   16     Gk Elias Jönsson          14    2   16
Sw Melker Fransson        13    2   15     Sw Ismael Romero           8    2   10
Df Finlay Brown           13    0   13     Df Steve Gordon           13    2   15
Df Kristoffer Myklebust   13    0   13     Df Ciaran Healy           13    2   15
Df Samuel Hawkins          9    1   10     Df Jose Ortiz             11    2   13
Mf Young Jae  Cho         12    2   14     Df Mathias Sørensen       10    1   11
Mf Callum Martin          12    1   13     Mf Bailey Oakes           10    2   12
Fw João Alves             13    0   13     Mf Fernando Rocha         10    2   12
Fw João Pinto             15    2   17     Fw Daniel Barbosa         13    2   15
Fw Patrick Ludley         11    1   12     Fw Jens Kristensen        13    2   15
Fw Glen Ali                9    1   10     Fw Michael Turner         16    2   18

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 15 36 27 52        ROSTER TOTALS      16 10 54 24 48    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          2  2  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  1  8       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 15 36 28 60         T O T A L S       18 12 54 24 48    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 19.95 (no red card)

Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.84 (no red card)

Df Finlay Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.26 (no red card)

Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.96 (no red card)

Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.25 (no red card)

Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.23 (no red card)

Mf Callum Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.58 (no red card)

Fw João Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.4 (no red card)

Fw João Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.95 (no red card)

Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.94 (no red card)

Fw Glen Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.06 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 49.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 98.9 (no red card)

Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 93.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 72.96 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 0.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 31.69 (no second yellow)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 90.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 66.34 (no red card)

Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 93.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 89.98 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 48.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 28.53 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 82.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 57.66 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 39.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 96.53 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 20.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 54.77 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 25.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 84.33 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 87.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 33.79 (no injury) 
Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 68.82 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Brown: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 19.78 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 88.2 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.68 (no injury) 
Mf Young Jae  Cho: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 26.61 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Martin: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 24.81 (no injury) 
Fw João Alves: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 92.6 (no injury) 
Fw João Pinto: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 73.55 (no injury) 
Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.65 (no injury) 
Fw Glen Ali: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 99.82 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 21.23 (no injury) 
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.87 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.34 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.97 (no injury) 
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 86.89 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.26 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Oakes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 74.89 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 94.31 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.28 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.85 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.98 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: João Pinto SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 38 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 82% | Random number = 79 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Bobby Kaur SL 14

     intRndPk = 89
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 89 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             16  15  36  28  60
  Tonbridge Angels         18  12  54  24  48

Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 6 (60 - 54); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((28 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 48) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 80.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Young Jae  Cho
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 19.54 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw João Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw João Pinto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Glen Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw João Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 48.99 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Patrick Ludley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Glen Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         18  12  54  24  48
  Droylsden FC             16  15  36  28  60

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 12 (48 - 36); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 28) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((54 - 60) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Jens Kristensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 41.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
DROYLSDEN FC 2  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0
 
Match Notes
Andy Shaw marching his Angels into Droylsden — you know what's coming, tight lines, back five, grind out the one-nil. Sometimes the quietest storms hit hardest.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/10 - 7:30 PM  
Another match at the foot of the table. A six pointer.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/12 - 2:08 PM  
Any reports about a brown envelope being passed to the refereee pre-match are entirely false. It was white.
Dave (Droylsden FC) 06/13 - 9:54 PM  
We play 4 hardness and that’s the chance we take.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/18 - 9:23 PM  
 
 
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