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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           WELLING UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner             8    2   10     Gk Robert Morgan          16    2   18
Sw Trevor Wallace         13    2   15     Mf Luca Herrmann          12    2   14
Df Sean Callahan          13    2   15     Df Benjamin Richman       12    1   13
Df Earl Kelly             13    1   14     Df Jake McDonald          10    2   12
Df Reece Cooper           12    2   14     Df Jermaine Jackson        9    2   11
Df Mathias Sørensen        8    2   10     Mf Jonas Koch             16    2   18
Mf Joe Barrett            15    2   17     Mf Thomas Williams        14    2   16
Mf Kunio Yamamoto         13    2   15     Mf Leon Baumann           14    2   16
Mf Reuben Byrne           13    2   15     Mf Eoghan Carroll         13    2   15
Fw Matais Juarez          14    2   16     Fw Nils Pettersson        13    2   15
Fw Liam Thwaite           13    2   15     Fw Allan Burns            11    2   13

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 15 53 47 31        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 36 79 28    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 53 47 40         T O T A L S       19  0 36 79 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 95.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 76.24 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 62.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 7.05 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 77.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 26.13 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 49.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.33 (no red card)

Df Reece Cooper: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.42 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.38 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 28.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 88.56 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.19 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 66.25 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.87 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.63 (no red card)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 14.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.33 (no red card)

Mf Luca Herrmann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.17 (no red card)

Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 30.2 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 75.27 (no red card)

Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.89 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.43 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.91 (no second yellow)

Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 94.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 70.69 (no red card)

Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.14 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 20.91 (no red card)

Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 35.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.52 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 80.58 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 62.77 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 82.12 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 90.29 (no injury) 
Df Reece Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 31.33 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 61.98 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 31.82 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 1.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Kunio Yamamoto is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kunio Yamamoto new match skill level =  7
      Kunio Yamamoto new match total level =  9
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 53.71 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 2.56 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Matais Juarez is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.38 (no injury) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 55.63 (no injury) 
Mf Luca Herrmann: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 94.01 (no injury) 
Df Benjamin Richman: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 42.67 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.98 (no injury) 
Df Jermaine Jackson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.99 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 19.25 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 67.09 (no injury) 
Mf Leon Baumann: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 6.43 (no injury) 
Mf Eoghan Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 64.7 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.08 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 7.99 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Jonas Koch SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 73 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         12  15  53  41  40
  Welling United FC        19   0  36  79  28

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 2 (40 - 36) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((41 - 79) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 9 ((53 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 11

1: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 48.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Reece Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Reece Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 27.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 96.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 17.8 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Df Reece Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 40.72 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Reece Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 18.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Df Sean Callahan
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 72.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 57.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Matais Juarez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 54.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        19   0  36  79  28
  Tonbridge Angels         12  15  53  41  40

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 53)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 19 ((79 - 41) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 40) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Thomas Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf Luca Herrmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Leon Baumann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Eoghan Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
18: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 31.19 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 99.19 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  WELLING UNITED FC 2
 
Match Notes
The league leaders come to town. Hopefully we can put up a good show.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/13 - 10:30 PM
Win #1 by pk
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 5:58 PM
And TON did put up a good show
Eduard (Welling United FC) 02/17 - 5:59 PM
A bit harsh losing to a late penalty.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/22 - 11:38 AM
 
 
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