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Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 
S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CARLTON TOWN FC                            HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Benjamin Guery         13    2   15     Gk Erik Holm              14    1   15
Df Chris Howard           14    1   15     Sw Shane Sweeney          13    2   15
Df Francis Martin         12    2   14     Df Vegar Aas              13    2   15
Df Murray Taylor          11    0   11     Df Fernando Silva         16    2   18
Mf Charlie Hayes          12    1   13     Df Nathan Meldrum          8    2   10
Mf Alexander Daly         12    2   14     Mf Cliff Gerrard          12    2   14
Mf Liam Dixon             12    1   13     Mf Ross Browne             8    2   10
Fw Trevor Hanny           13    2   15     Mf Nuno Eiras              4    2    6
Fw Sveinur Hansen         15    0   15     Fw John MacDonald         12    2   14
Fw Rhys McColl            11    1   12     Fw Leonardo Delgado       12    2   14
Fw Hayden Richardson       8    2   10     Fw Lee Collins             8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      15  0 40 40 52        ROSTER TOTALS      15 15 43 30 38    
       0  0  0  0  4          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      15  0 40 40 65         T O T A L S       15 15 43 30 38    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.16 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 6.56 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 95.92 (no second yellow)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 26.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 97.97 (no red card)

Df Murray Taylor: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 39.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 44.16 (no red card)

Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 85.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 77.41 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 94.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 8.44 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 74.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 52.66 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 7.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 82.43 (no second yellow)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 97.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 86.16 (no red card)

Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 29.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 59.08 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 77.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 31.32 (no red card)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Erik Holm: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 64.17 (no red card)

Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.21 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.87 (no red card)

Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.91 (no red card)

Df Fernando Silva: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.1 (no red card)

Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.62 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.79 (no red card)

Mf Ross Browne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.33 (no red card)

Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.82 (no red card)

Fw John MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.45 (no red card)

Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.42 (no red card)

Fw Lee Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 4
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 49.11 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.5 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 71.03 (no injury) 
Df Murray Taylor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 5.15 (no injury) 
Mf Charlie Hayes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.47 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.31 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 51.7 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 33.33 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 23.99 (no injury) 
Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 47.87 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Richardson: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.5 (no injury) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Erik Holm: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 11.98 (no injury) 
Sw Shane Sweeney: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 8.12 (no injury) 
Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 55.49 (no injury) 
Df Fernando Silva: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 19.9 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Meldrum: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 56.03 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Gerrard: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 53.93 (no injury) 
Mf Ross Browne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 53.24 (no injury) 
Mf Nuno Eiras: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 58.48 (no injury) 
Fw John MacDonald: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 49.33 (no injury) 
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 32.17 (no injury) 
Fw Lee Collins: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 40.15 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sveinur Hansen SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Erik Holm SL 14

     intRndPk = 95
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 95 (no penalty kick)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Fernando Silva SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 15 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 82 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  40  40  65
  Harrogate Railway AFC    15  15  43  30  38

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 22 (65 - 43); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((40 - 30) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((40 - 38) / 5); result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Df Francis Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 5.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 35.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Alexander Daly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Charlie Hayes
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 57.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 71.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 92.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Hayden Richardson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 68.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 99 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 49.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Hayden Richardson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Hayden Richardson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 
23: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 65.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Trevor Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Sveinur Hansen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Harrogate Railway AFC    15  15  43  30  38
  Carlton Town FC          15   0  40  40  65

Carlton Town FC is using Offside Trap!
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (38 - 40)
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((30 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CARLTON TOWN FC 1  -  HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Carlton Town versus Harrogate Railway. The Commish Allan Sellers arrives, which is something. Whether it amounts to anything is a question the universe has already answered and declined to share.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/16 - 12:35 AM  
Big promotion battle.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/20 - 11:25 AM  
I noted that Mike did not wish us success earlier today. He could have at least wished us a shot? Well played Mr. Halpin!
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/20 - 7:36 PM  
 
 
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