(H)
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
ILKESTON TOWN FC AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Andrés Ramos 16 2 18 Gk Kevin Hawkins 15 2 17
Sw Declan Wilson 15 2 17 Df Markus Jacobsen 14 0 14
Df Leo McNeill 13 2 15 Df Robert Howells 13 -1 12
Df Liam Conner 13 1 14 Df Gareth Trickelbank 11 1 12
Df Florian Schmid 8 2 10 Df Lucas Soramaki 10 2 12
Mf Kenzie Munro 10 2 12 Df Axel Lacour 8 2 10
Mf Cliff Cooper 8 2 10 Mf Christopher Cannon 11 2 13
Fw Cole Hamilton 14 2 16 Mf Gabriel Welbeck 8 2 10
Fw André Souza 14 2 16 Fw Sam East 14 2 16
Fw Kai Burke 12 -1 11 Fw William Hay 14 0 14
Fw Leon Fischer 9 1 10 Fw Giorgio Grasso 9 2 11
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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18 17 39 22 53 ROSTER TOTALS 17 0 60 23 41
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 7 0
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18 17 39 22 62 T O T A L S 18 0 60 30 41
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.24 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 79.11 (no red card)
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.04 (no red card)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.81 (no red card)
Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.98 (no red card)
Df Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.1 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.16 (no red card)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.11 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 3.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.06 (no second yellow)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.76 (no red card)
Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 92.81 (no red card)
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.99 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.31 (no red card)
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.85 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.89 (no red card)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 45.17 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 64.1 (no red card)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 20.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 1.73 (no red card)
Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.77 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 44.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.26 (no red card)
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.2 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 57.41 (no red card)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 25.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 65.44 (no red card)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.08 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.5 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.08 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.78 (no red card)
Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.73 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 43.29 (no red card)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 72.93 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.48 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 63.12 (no injury)
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.42 (no injury)
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 61.17 (no injury)
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.43 (no injury)
Df Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.8 (no injury)
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.91 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 39.18 (no injury)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 38.5 (no injury)
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 68.6 (no injury)
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 37.5 (no injury)
Fw Leon Fischer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.98 (no injury)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 90.29 (no injury)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.67 (no injury)
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 30.69 (no injury)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 39.32 (no injury)
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.76 (no injury)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.87 (no injury)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 19.46 (no injury)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.24 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.37 (no injury)
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.25 (no injury)
Fw Giorgio Grasso: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.95 (no injury)
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Cole Hamilton SL 14
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 9 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 76% | Random number = 13 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Markus Jacobsen SL 14
- Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16
intRndPk = 58
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 58 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
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Ilkeston Town FC 18 17 39 22 62
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 0 60 30 41
AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 1 (62 - 60) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 30) / 2; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 41) / 3; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 1
1: Attack for Fw Leon Fischer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 37.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 0 60 30 41
Ilkeston Town FC 18 17 39 22 62
AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Playing For A Draw!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 1 (41 - 39) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 2 ((30 - 22) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((60 - 62) / 5; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 3
1: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Giorgio Grasso
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
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F I N A L S C O R E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 1 - AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
Match Notes
It's a really tough division this year, I have no idea how Steve's side are below us
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/28 - 9:50 PM
Well played, John.
We were very lucky
We were very lucky
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 07/05 - 7:47 PM
We have been very, very unlucky this year
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 07/05 - 8:01 PM