(H)
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
ILKESTON TOWN FC TONBRIDGE ANGELS
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Tobias Ødegård 16 2 18 Gk Elias Jönsson 14 2 16
Sw Florian Schmid 13 2 15 Sw Ismael Romero 8 2 10
Df Declan MacLellan 13 2 15 Df Steve Gordon 13 2 15
Df Callum Henderson 11 2 13 Df Ciaran Healy 13 2 15
Df Hector Araya 8 2 10 Df Jose Ortiz 11 2 13
Mf Simon Müller 10 1 11 Mf Jordi Navarro 13 1 14
Mf Cliff Cooper 10 2 12 Mf Sean Long 12 2 14
Fw Marcos Nuñez 15 2 17 Mf Loïc Jacob 4 2 6
Fw Craig Porterfield 13 2 15 Fw Daniel Barbosa 14 2 16
Fw Marcos Pinto 13 2 15 Fw Michael Turner 16 2 18
Fw Cole Hamilton 16 0 16 Fw Harry Balfour 4 2 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
18 15 38 23 63 ROSTER TOTALS 16 10 43 34 40
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 3 0 0 0
0 0 0 1 8 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 7 0 0
=======================================================================
18 15 38 24 71 T O T A L S 17 13 50 34 40
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.09 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 4.71 (no red card)
Sw Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.11 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.38 (no red card)
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.83 (no red card)
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 85.76 (no red card)
Df Hector Araya: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.92 (no red card)
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.52 (no red card)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.25 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.81 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.15 (no red card)
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.46 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.33 (no red card)
Fw Marcos Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.52 (no red card)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.34 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.99 (no red card)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 4
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 54.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 78.27 (no red card)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 60.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 92.81 (no red card)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 48.01 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 10.84 (no red card)
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 67.07 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.85 (no red card)
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 74.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.56 (no red card)
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 92.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 68.56 (no red card)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 48.49 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 3.47 (no red card)
Mf Loïc Jacob: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 68.83 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 88.94 (no red card)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 28.6 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 29.0 (no red card)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 50.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 70.71 (no red card)
Fw Harry Balfour: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 4.2 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 42.49 (no second yellow)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.75%
Gk Tobias Ødegård: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 52.58 (no injury)
Sw Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.31 (no injury)
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 87.89 (no injury)
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 67.41 (no injury)
Df Hector Araya: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.14 (no injury)
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 49.67 (no injury)
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 62.74 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 50.55 (no injury)
Fw Craig Porterfield: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 99.49 (no injury)
Fw Marcos Pinto: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 87.95 (no injury)
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 12.09 (no injury)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
- Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 59.6 (no injury)
Sw Ismael Romero: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 65.74 (no injury)
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.67 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Steve Gordon is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Steve Gordon new match skill level = 7
Steve Gordon new match total level = 9
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 82.93 (no injury)
Df Jose Ortiz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.35 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Jose Ortiz is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.8 (no injury)
Mf Sean Long: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 19.92 (no injury)
Mf Loïc Jacob: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.74 (no injury)
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 18.88 (no injury)
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 4.87 (no injury)
Fw Harry Balfour: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 22.09 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Cole Hamilton SL 16
- Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 14
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 65 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 45 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 70 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick)
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
- Defending Gk: Tobias Ødegård SL 16
intRndPk = 66
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 66 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Ilkeston Town FC 18 15 38 24 71
Tonbridge Angels 17 13 44 34 40
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 27 (71 - 44); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((38 - 40) / 3; rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.66 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 58.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 77.75 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 59.51 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 80.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
21: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
24: Attack for Fw Marcos Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 41.11 (Shot Saved by Gk)
25: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 14.42 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw Craig Porterfield
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
******* TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Tonbridge Angels 17 13 44 34 40
Ilkeston Town FC 18 15 38 24 71
Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 1 (40 - 38) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 3 ((34 - 24) / 2) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((44 - 71) / 3; rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 4
1: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.14 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf Loïc Jacob
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.75 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 66.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Daniel Barbosa
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 2 - TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
Match Notes
Andy Shaw travels from Middlesbrough to keep it tight and win one nil, as is his nature. Olmec Steve will presumably stare at him from a great stone height. Both outcomes are already inevitable.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/15 - 7:30 PM
We don’t expect too much from this game.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/18 - 9:27 PM
Neither does the prediction league, Andy.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 06/20 - 11:26 AM
Andy Shaw came to keep it tight and go home with nothing, which is precisely what happened. The universe, for once, was efficient.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/20 - 7:30 PM
We almost pinched a point but not quite.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 06/27 - 11:56 AM