(H)

Bridgwater Town
Martyn Hathaway

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
League Round 11
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BRIDGWATER TOWN LUTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Owen Brudenell 14 0 14 Gk Hayden Barnes 15 2 17 Sw Luiz Dias 14 1 15 Sw Jamie Johnson 16 2 18 Mf André Carvalho 11 0 11 Df Thomás Lebre 13 2 15 Df Josh Martin 11 1 12 Df Robin Ostrander 13 2 15 Df Jamie Whiteside 11 1 12 Mf Jonathan Heddle 13 1 14 Df John Tufnel 8 2 10 Mf Victor Shepard 12 1 13 Mf Geoffrey Simpson 12 1 13 Mf Nathan Dean 8 2 10 Mf Patrick Gallaher 10 1 11 Fw Nathan Phillips 14 1 15 Mf Melker Lundin 8 2 10 Fw Facundo Bruno 15 1 16 Fw Jay Meldrum 10 -1 9 Fw Jamie Carroll 12 1 13 Fw Toby Hall 8 2 10 Fw Nils Schneider 11 2 13 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 14 15 34 45 19 ROSTER TOTALS 17 18 30 37 57 0 0 0 2 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 14 15 34 57 19 T O T A L S 17 18 30 37 57 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 2 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 0.43 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 50.44 (no red card) Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.8 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 41.15 (no red card) Mf André Carvalho: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.06 (no red card) Df Josh Martin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 31.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 48.92 (no red card) Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 96.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 81.58 (no red card) Df John Tufnel: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.72 (no red card) Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 61.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.34 (no red card) Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 19.13 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 45.69 (no red card) Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 74.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.75 (no red card) Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 29.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 89.58 (no red card) Fw Toby Hall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 92.0 (no red card) ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.62 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 28.86 (no red card) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.29 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.56 (no red card) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.31 (no red card) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.85 (no red card) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.61 (no red card) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.15 (no red card) Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 90.74 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.78 (no red card) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.4 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.33 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Nathan Phillips new match skill level = 7 Nathan Phillips new match total level = 8 Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.46 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.63 (no red card) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.15 (no red card) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 35.28 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0% - Gk chance of injury = 1.5% Gk Owen Brudenell: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 32.37 (no injury) Sw Luiz Dias: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.18 (no injury) Mf André Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 66.15 (no injury) Df Josh Martin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.7 (no injury) Df Jamie Whiteside: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 37.12 (no injury) Df John Tufnel: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.92 (no injury) Mf Geoffrey Simpson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 47.54 (no injury) Mf Patrick Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 15.63 (no injury) Mf Melker Lundin: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 68.83 (no injury) Fw Jay Meldrum: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.12 (no injury) Fw Toby Hall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 99.86 (no injury) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Bridgwater Town Team Hardness = 2 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 0.3 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 4 Hayden Barnes is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Hayden Barnes new match skill level = 8 Hayden Barnes new match total level = 10 Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 74.13 (no injury) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.14 (no injury) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 78.3 (no injury) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 84.32 (no injury) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.86 (no injury) Mf Nathan Dean: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 48.67 (no injury) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 96.61 (no injury) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.92 (no injury) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 3.72 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Jamie Carroll is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 61.38 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Geoffrey Simpson SL 12 - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 8 intRndPk = 67 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 67 (no penalty kick) ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 15 - Defending Gk: Owen Brudenell SL 14 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BRIDGWATER TOWN ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Bridgwater Town 14 15 34 57 19 Luton Town FC 10 18 30 37 50 Bridgwater Town Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 30) Bridgwater Town Mf Attacks = 10 ((57 - 37) / 2) ; result rounded up Bridgwater Town Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 50) / 3; rounded up) Bridgwater Town Total Attacks = 10 1: Attack for Mf André Carvalho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 31.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Mf Patrick Gallaher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf André Carvalho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Mf Patrick Gallaher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 32 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf André Carvalho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Patrick Gallaher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Simpson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Mf André Carvalho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Mf André Carvalho Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Mf Geoffrey Simpson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 10 18 30 37 50 Bridgwater Town 14 15 34 57 19 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 16 (50 - 34); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((37 - 57) / 2; rounded up) Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 4 ((30 - 19) / 3); result rounded up Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 20 1: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 89.51 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 5: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 97.24 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 4.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 55.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 18: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 20: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BRIDGWATER TOWN 0 - LUTON TOWN FC 3