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Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
 
Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 11
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

MOSSLEY AFC                                EVESHAM UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Carlton Fortune-West    8    2   10     Gk Robert Dunn            12    2   14
Sw Jake James             11    2   13     Sw Ollie Russell          12    0   12
Df William Cockham        10    1   11     Df Paul Werner            11    1   12
Df Louie Bentinck          9    0    9     Df Francisco Duarte       13    0   13
Df Erik Meyer              8    2   10     Df Matty Hunter            8    2   10
Mf Thomas Constant        13    2   15     Mf Alvarez  Madrigal      10    1   11
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu           12   -2   10     Mf Glenn Stevens           9    2   11
Mf George Thomas          10    2   12     Fw Gregg Foster           16    0   16
Fw Luca Bell              12    2   14     Fw Thomas Clarke          14    0   14
Fw Nico Fuchs              9    1   10     Fw Afonso Alves           10    1   11
Fw Isak Ekström            8    2   10     Fw Logan Ferdinand         7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 13 30 37 34        ROSTER TOTALS      14 12 35 22 50    
       0  0  3  3  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  4  5       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       3  0  3  0  3  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 13 36 44 42         T O T A L S       14 12 35 22 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 6
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 27.47 (no red card)

Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 3.1 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 98.46 (no second yellow)

Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 44.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 45.58 (no red card)

Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 86.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 71.98 (no red card)

Df Erik Meyer: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 30.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 31.28 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 16.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 18.38 (no red card)

Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 83.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 50.31 (no red card)

Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 33.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 58.64 (no red card)

Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 77.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 7.68 (no red card)

Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 1.77 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 2.28 (no second yellow)

Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 6.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 26.44 (no second yellow)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.16 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.74 (no red card)

Df Paul Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 33.18 (no red card)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.47 (no red card)

Df Matty Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.18 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.91 (no red card)

Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 17.75 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.4 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.09 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.53 (no red card)

Fw Logan Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.21 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Carlton Fortune-West: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 62.21 (no injury) 
Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 71.7 (no injury) 
Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 31.85 (no injury) 
Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.2 (no injury) 
Df Erik Meyer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.93 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 67.22 (no injury) 
Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 99.43 (no injury) 
Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 52.29 (no injury) 
Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 90.99 (no injury) 
Fw Nico Fuchs: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.98 (no injury) 
Fw Isak Ekström: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.7 (no injury) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 3.5%
Gk Robert Dunn: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 34.93 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 79.51 (no injury) 
Df Paul Werner: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 12.79 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 89.15 (no injury) 
Df Matty Hunter: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 69.96 (no injury) 
Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 20.65 (no injury) 
Mf Glenn Stevens: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 36.55 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 20.28 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 37.35 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Alves: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 56.33 (no injury) 
Fw Logan Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 17.09 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Constant SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Robert Dunn SL 12

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)

*******  MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gregg Foster SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Carlton Fortune-West SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 44 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 51 (no penalty kick)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 28 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Mossley AFC              13  13  36  44  42
  Evesham United FC        14  12  35  22  50

Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 7 (42 - 35); result rounded up
Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 11 ((44 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 50) / 3;  rounded up)
Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 99.91 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 52.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf George Thomas
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 35.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Isak Ekström
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nico Fuchs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Luca Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 49.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        14  12  35  22  50
  Mossley AFC              13  13  36  44  42

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 14 (50 - 36); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 14

1: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 99.88 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Logan Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 69.33 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Fw Logan Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Logan Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 20.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
MOSSLEY AFC 1  -  EVESHAM UNITED FC 2
 
Match Notes
Should be a great match. Good luck Aires.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/01 - 7:40 PM
This was a close one!
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/07 - 6:26 PM
We had a rough round needed to pull this one out
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/07 - 6:27 PM
Rats! Needed this win or a draw
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/11 - 8:55 PM
 
 
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