Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
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Thursday, June 12th, 2025 - 07:54:48 PM (gmt)
 
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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Kingstonian FC
Jason Halpin
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            KINGSTONIAN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Guillaume Hebert        5    2    7     Gk Archie Brakspear       14    0   14
Sw Ian Moore              11    2   13     Df Theo Hill              13    0   13
Df Francisco Vera         12    0   12     Df Michio Mori            10    0   10
Df Youssef Alami          12    0   12     Df Stephen Ard             5    2    7
Df Lok Guo                11    1   12     Mf Liam Cox               17    0   17
Df Ben Collins             2    2    4     Mf Arturo Molina          10    2   12
Mf Jeff Shilton           11    0   11     Mf Danny Monkhouse        10    0   10
Mf Kyle Moore             10    1   11     Mf Christopher Burroughs   6    2    8
Fw Corey Page             12    0   12     Fw Jay Palmer             13    0   13
Fw Sean Sturridge         10    0   10     Fw Gregg Carr             12    0   12
Fw Zak Bell                5    2    7     Fw Marcelo Villalba        6    1    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
       7 13 40 22 29        ROSTER TOTALS      14  0 30 47 32    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
       7 13 40 22 38         T O T A L S       14  0 30 47 32    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.79 (no red card)

Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.3 (no red card)

Df Francisco Vera: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.56 (no red card)

Df Youssef Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.73 (no red card)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.35 (no red card)

Df Ben Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.84 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.88 (no red card)

Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.64 (no red card)

Fw Corey Page: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.5 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.4 (no red card)

Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.4 (no red card)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 18.69 (no red card)

Df Theo Hill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.75 (no red card)

Df Michio Mori: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.35 (no red card)

Df Stephen Ard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.83 (no red card)

Mf Liam Cox: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.21 (no red card)

Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.39 (no red card)

Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.82 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 99.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.35 (no red card)

Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 73.51 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.97 (no red card)

Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.13 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 71.41 (no injury) 
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.53 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Vera: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 85.02 (no injury) 
Df Youssef Alami: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 9.15 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.8 (no injury) 
Df Ben Collins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.03 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.65 (no injury) 
Mf Kyle Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.22 (no injury) 
Fw Corey Page: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.9 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.19 (no injury) 
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.01 (no injury) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kingstonian FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Archie Brakspear: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 56.92 (no injury) 
Df Theo Hill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 50.5 (no injury) 
Df Michio Mori: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 75.66 (no injury) 
Df Stephen Ard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.83 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Cox: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.43 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 2
      Liam Cox is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Liam Cox new match skill level =  9
      Liam Cox new match total level =  9
Mf Arturo Molina: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.65 (no injury) 
Mf Danny Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.58 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.07 (no injury) 
Fw Jay Palmer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 78.18 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Carr: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.05 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Villalba: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 83.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Francisco Vera SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Archie Brakspear SL 14

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Theo Hill SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 5

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          7  13  40  22  38
  Kingstonian FC           14   0  30  39  32

Kingstonian FC is using Offside Trap!
Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 4 (38 - 30) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 39) / 2;  rounded up)
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 3 ((40 - 32) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Lok Guo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 83.25 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Df Francisco Vera
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 47.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Youssef Alami
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 5.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 15.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Corey Page
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Kingstonian FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  KINGSTONIAN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kingstonian FC           14   0  30  39  32
  Bedford Town FC          7  13  40  22  38

Kingstonian FC Fw Attacks = 0 (32 - 40)
Kingstonian FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((39 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
Kingstonian FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 38) / 5;  rounded up)
Kingstonian FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Christopher Burroughs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 6.5 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 29.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Christopher Burroughs
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 93.4 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 64.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Mf Danny Monkhouse
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Arturo Molina
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Liam Cox
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 55.75% | Random number = 12.69 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 1  -  KINGSTONIAN FC 2
 
Match Notes
It's never easy to play at Bedford.
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 05/31 - 2:33 PM
Has something gone wrong
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 06/02 - 10:23 PM
Well, they had 5 shots on an SL 7 Gk and you had 4 shots on an SL 14 Gk...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 06/03 - 11:32 PM
 
 
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