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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Elias Jönsson           8    2   10     Gk Liam Honeybun          13    2   15
Sw Sean Carroll           13    2   15     Sw Daniel Lorimar         12    2   14
Df Ciaran Healy           13    2   15     Df Gonzalo Sanz           19    2   21
Df Mathias Sørensen       13    2   15     Df Frank Vandermark       10    2   12
Df Steve Gordon            8    2   10     Fw George Armstrong       13    2   15
Mf Fernando Rocha         13    2   15     Mf Bailey Graham          12    2   14
Mf Joe Barrett            14    2   16     Mf Albert Wise            10    2   12
Mf Jordi Navarro           8    2   10     Fw Jermaine Rogers        11    2   13
Fw Michael Turner         16    2   18     Fw Marcelo Guzman         10    2   12
Fw Daniel Barbosa          8    2   10     Fw Algernon James         10    2   12
Fw Hayden Marshall         4    2    6     Fw Oscar Williams          8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 15 40 41 34        ROSTER TOTALS      15 14 33 26 62    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  2  7       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  4  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 15 44 43 41         T O T A L S       18 14 33 26 62    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 25.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 44.17 (no red card)

Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.04 (no red card)

Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.04 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 29.57 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 44.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.12 (no red card)

Df Steve Gordon: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.97 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Steve Gordon new match skill level =  4
      Steve Gordon new match total level =  6

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 28.55 (no red card)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 71.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 7.02 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 51.16 (no second yellow)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.88 (no red card)

Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 15.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 76.37 (no red card)

Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 60.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 30.02 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 15.64 (no red card)

Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 9.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.19 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.57 (no red card)

Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 62.31 (no red card)

Fw George Armstrong: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 18.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.56 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Graham: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.38 (no red card)

Mf Albert Wise: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 85.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.99 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.78 (no red card)

Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 55.99 (no red card)

Fw Algernon James: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.44 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 90.03 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 6.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 84.72 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.87%
Gk Elias Jönsson: Chance of injury = 1.87% | Random number = 46.87 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Carroll: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 89.07 (no injury) 
Df Ciaran Healy: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 79.24 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 92.45 (no injury) 
Df Steve Gordon: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 73.35 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 40.8 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 46.46 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 16.91 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 29.37 (no injury) 
Fw Daniel Barbosa: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 41.35 (no injury) 
Fw Hayden Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.75% | Random number = 45.52 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 69.38 (no injury) 
Sw Daniel Lorimar: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 10.81 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 54.69 (no injury) 
Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 81.0 (no injury) 
Fw George Armstrong: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 93.7 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Graham: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 29.47 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 78.26 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 87.41 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 57.56 (no injury) 
Fw Algernon James: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 15.7 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 4.42 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Liam Honeybun SL 13

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Elias Jönsson SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 95% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         12  15  40  43  41
  Kendal Town FC           18  14  33  26  62

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 8 (41 - 33); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 9 ((43 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((40 - 62) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 17

1: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 77.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Fernando Rocha
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Michael Turner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Hayden Marshall
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           18  14  33  26  62
  Tonbridge Angels         12  15  40  43  41

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 22 (62 - 40); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 41) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 56.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 32.37 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 39.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 81.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 75.5 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
14: Attack for Fw Algernon James
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 39.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 33.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.18 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 23.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 92.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
21: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 5
 
Match Notes
A big relegation battle.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/16 - 7:18 PM
The only comments people ever put on our matches relate to relegation
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 02/21 - 4:46 PM
Title decider! Maybe next season if we both stay up or division 2!
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/21 - 6:50 PM
One of us will stay up, the other not. I think I know who.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 02/24 - 5:07 PM
 
 
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