(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS DROYLSDEN FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kevin Hawkins 16 1 17 Gk Bobby Kaur 14 2 16
Sw Kai Laidlaw 14 1 15 Sw Melker Fransson 14 2 16
Df Baron Jackson 12 2 14 Df Kristoffer Myklebust 13 0 13
Df Gareth Trickelbank 11 0 11 Df Samuel Hawkins 9 1 10
Df Hayden Duncan 8 2 10 Df Bailey Williamson 8 2 10
Mf Gareth Scott 14 1 15 Mf Callum Martin 12 1 13
Mf Henry Henry 8 2 10 Mf Finlay Pearson 8 2 10
Fw Fernando Cano 14 0 14 Fw João Alves 13 1 14
Fw William Bell 11 2 13 Fw João Pinto 15 2 17
Fw Elliot Bunyan 11 2 13 Fw Patrick Ludley 11 1 12
Fw Shawn Hernandez 4 2 6 Fw Archie Ferdinand 7 -1 6
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 15 35 25 46 ROSTER TOTALS 16 16 33 23 49
1 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
18 15 35 25 53 T O T A L S 16 16 33 23 49
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 1
- Gk Hardness = 1
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 10.3 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 33.46 (no red card)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 76.84 (no red card)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.26 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 58.24 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.12 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.48 (no second yellow)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 47.75 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.81 (no red card)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.43 (no red card)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 62.63 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.78 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 48.01 (no red card)
Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 90.29 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.4 (no red card)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.11 (no red card)
Fw Shawn Hernandez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 59.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.45 (no red card)
******* DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.76 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 63.28 (no red card)
Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.81 (no red card)
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.4 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.9 (no red card)
Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.94 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.13 (no red card)
Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.33 (no red card)
Mf Callum Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 10.42 (no red card)
Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.65 (no red card)
Fw João Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.68 (no red card)
Fw João Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.87 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.55 (no red card)
Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.72 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.87 (no red card)
Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.93 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 59.12 (no injury)
Sw Kai Laidlaw: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.77 (no injury)
Df Baron Jackson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 36.7 (no injury)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 87.65 (no injury)
Df Hayden Duncan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.81 (no injury)
Mf Gareth Scott: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 4.91 (no injury)
Mf Henry Henry: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 88.68 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 98.59 (no injury)
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 25.06 (no injury)
Fw Elliot Bunyan: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.1 (no injury)
Fw Shawn Hernandez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.05 (no injury)
******* DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 95.02 (no injury)
Sw Melker Fransson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 53.54 (no injury)
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.77 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 2
Kristoffer Myklebust is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Kristoffer Myklebust new match skill level = 7
Kristoffer Myklebust new match total level = 7
Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.67 (no injury)
Df Bailey Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 45.73 (no injury)
Mf Callum Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.41 (no injury)
Mf Finlay Pearson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.55 (no injury)
Fw João Alves: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.5 (no injury)
Fw João Pinto: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.82 (no injury)
Fw Patrick Ludley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 3.89 (no injury)
Fw Archie Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 67.54 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Gareth Scott SL 14
- Defending Gk: Bobby Kaur SL 14
intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: João Pinto SL 15
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 16
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 46 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 15 35 25 53
Droylsden FC 16 16 27 23 49
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 26 (53 - 27); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 1 ((25 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 49) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 27
1: Attack for Mf Gareth Scott
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 45.21 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Shawn Hernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 18.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 44 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 72.6 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 58.53 (Shot Saved by Gk)
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 92.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
10: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 53.88 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 13.87 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 17.85 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 52.96 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
18: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 57.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
19: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Shawn Hernandez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 14.66 (Shot Saved by Gk)
22: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
23: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
24: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
25: Attack for Fw Elliot Bunyan
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 62.23 (Shot Saved by Gk)
26: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
27: Attack for Fw William Bell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
******* DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Droylsden FC 16 16 27 23 49
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 18 15 35 25 53
Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 14 (49 - 35); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 25) / 2; rounded up)
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((27 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Fw João Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw João Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw João Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Archie Ferdinand
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Patrick Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw João Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 41.62 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw João Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
8: Attack for Fw João Alves
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Patrick Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw João Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 9.97 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw João Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Archie Ferdinand
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 74.78 (Shot Saved by Gk)
13: Attack for Fw Patrick Ludley
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw João Pinto
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 1 - DROYLSDEN FC 0
Match Notes
Difficult match here
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/14 - 8:19 PM
Rushden host Droylsden. Two clubs existing. A ball will be kicked. I have calculated seventeen thousand more interesting uses of this afternoon and am pursuing none of them.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 06/15 - 7:30 PM
Rushden at home in Division 2 — that fortress will be roaring tonight. Droylsden have faced this kind of storm before, but surviving it is another matter entirely.
Olmec Head Axel (Rainworth Miners Welfare FC) 06/19 - 7:30 PM