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AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 12
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC FYLDE                                  ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk James MacLeod          16    2   18     Gk Andrés Ramos           16    2   18
Sw Benjamin White          8    2   10     Sw Declan Wilson          15    2   17
Df Matheo Seguin          15    0   15     Df Liam Conner            13    1   14
Df Jeff Hughes            13    0   13     Df Shayne Porter          15    1   16
Mf Euan Barclay           14    1   15     Df Declan MacLellan        4    2    6
Mf Young Ja  Shin         13    0   13     Mf Kenzie Munro           10    2   12
Mf James Gallaher         13    0   13     Mf Padraig Conley          8    2   10
Mf Wes Lambert            10    2   12     Fw Cole Hamilton          14    2   16
Fw Max Daly               12    2   14     Fw André Souza            14    2   16
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho       11    1   12     Fw Kai Burke              12   -1   11
Fw William Peverell        8    2   10     Fw Marcos Nuñez            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 10 28 53 36        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 36 22 53    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 10 37 53 36         T O T A L S       18 17 36 22 53    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 83.68 (no red card)

Sw Benjamin White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.03 (no red card)

Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.66 (no red card)

Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.49 (no red card)

Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.29 (no red card)

Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.49 (no red card)

Mf James Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.23 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.2 (no red card)

Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.05 (no red card)

Fw Max Daly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.2 (no red card)

Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.72 (no red card)

Fw William Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.68 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.42 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.14 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.42 (no red card)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.73 (no red card)

Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.57 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.87 (no red card)

Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.21 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.82 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 89.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.98 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.1 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 87.7 (no injury) 
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.75 (no injury) 
Df Matheo Seguin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.8 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.18 (no injury) 
Mf Euan Barclay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 81.56 (no injury) 
Mf Young Ja  Shin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.64 (no injury) 
Mf James Gallaher: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.99 (no injury) 
Mf Wes Lambert: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.81 (no injury) 
Fw Max Daly: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.68 (no injury) 
Fw Rodrigo Carvalho: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.78 (no injury) 
Fw William Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 77.21 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 39.17 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.45 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.04 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.76 (no injury) 
Df Declan MacLellan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.41 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.35 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Kenzie Munro is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.12 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.54 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.52 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 52.23 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.59 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Matheo Seguin SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16

     intRndPk = 55
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 55 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Shayne Porter SL 15
   - Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 16

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Fylde                18  10  37  53  36
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  36  22  53

AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 0 (36 - 36)
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 16 ((53 - 22) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 53) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 31.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.84 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
9: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 91.68 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
10: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
12: Attack for Mf Wes Lambert
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target) 
13: Attack for Mf Young Ja  Shin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Mf Euan Barclay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf James Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         18  17  36  22  53
  AFC Fylde                18  10  37  53  36

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 16 (53 - 37); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((22 - 53) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 36) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 52 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 76.85 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 57 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.47 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 29 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 12.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Cole Hamilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 92.29 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcos Nuñez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Kai Burke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw André Souza
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC FYLDE 2  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 2
 
Match Notes
Better sweepers mean nothing any more but I'll take the draw.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 07/05 - 7:52 PM
 
 
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