(H)

Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin

Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S CARLTON TOWN FC MARINE FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Mason Butcher 11 1 12 Gk Thiago Alves 11 2 13 Df Jeff Charlton 12 1 13 Df Andy Simpson 8 0 8 Df Marcelo Fernandez 10 0 10 Df Niall Dunn 8 0 8 Mf Federico Gentile 14 0 14 Df Ryan Richardson 8 0 8 Mf Giles Walsh 14 1 15 Df Tihamér Pap 5 2 7 Mf Vegard Haugland 10 2 12 Mf Adi Peretz 8 0 8 Mf Liam Dixon 7 0 7 Mf Bailey Hills 4 2 6 Fw Rhys McColl 14 1 15 Mf Glenn Ellis 3 2 5 Fw Santiago Rubio 11 2 13 Fw Joel Sansom 9 0 9 Fw Alfred Forsberg 10 2 12 Fw Alexander Murphy 6 -2 4 Fw Jonas Lien 8 2 10 Fw Reuben Dowson 6 1 7 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 12 0 23 48 50 ROSTER TOTALS 13 0 31 19 20 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 2 2 3 0 0 5 0 4 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 12 0 28 48 54 T O T A L S 13 0 33 21 23 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.54 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 72.29 (no red card) Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.01 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.65 (no red card) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.16 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.73 (no red card) Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.94 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.19 (no red card) Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.68 (no red card) Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.23 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.53 (no red card) Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.78 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card) Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 57.08 (no red card) Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.75 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.44 (no red card) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.1 (no red card) Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.33 (no red card) ******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 7 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.08 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 6.5 (no red card) Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 5.12 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 66.53 (no second yellow) Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 47.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 34.92 (no red card) Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 39.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 7.52 (no red card) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 59.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 23.34 (no red card) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 6.9 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 43.96 (no second yellow) Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 86.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 7.64 (no red card) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 74.44 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card) Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 43.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 77.02 (no red card) Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 14.47 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 10.2 (no second yellow) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 15.0% | Random number = 88.35 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.5% | Random number = 66.07 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Marine FC Team Hardness = 7 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.75% - Gk chance of injury = 3.87% Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of injury = 3.87% | Random number = 96.33 (no injury) Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 22.9 (no injury) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 34.08 (no injury) Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 67.51 (no injury) Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 9.81 (no injury) Mf Vegard Haugland: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 54.48 (no injury) Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 60.93 (no injury) Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 19.53 (no injury) Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 51.79 (no injury) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 65.88 (no injury) Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 7.75% | Random number = 24.05 (no injury) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Marine FC Team Hardness = 7 - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25% - Gk chance of injury = 2.12% Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 35.16 (no injury) Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 98.35 (no injury) Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 58.75 (no injury) Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 55.15 (no injury) Df Tihamér Pap: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 6.92 (no injury) Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 58.37 (no injury) Mf Bailey Hills: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 24.03 (no injury) Mf Glenn Ellis: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 32.25 (no injury) Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 61.12 (no injury) Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 42.97 (no injury) Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 67.7 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 7; (7 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Federico Gentile SL 14 - Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 11 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 64 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 32 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 14 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 57 (no penalty kick) 7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 11 (no penalty kick) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Joel Sansom SL 9 - Defending Gk: Mason Butcher SL 11 intRndPk = 84 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 84 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlton Town FC 12 0 28 48 54 Marine FC 13 0 33 21 23 Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 21 (54 - 33); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 14 ((48 - 21) / 2) ; result rounded up Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((28 - 23) / 5); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 36 1: Attack for Df Marcelo Fernandez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 50.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 19.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 85 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.21 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 9: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 8.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Mf Giles Walsh Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 94.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 12: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 13: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 63.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 14: Attack for Mf Vegard Haugland Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 44.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 15: Attack for Mf Federico Gentile Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 62.61 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.59 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 68.47 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 38.84 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 20: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 3 (Shot Off Target) 21: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 72.49 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 22: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 23: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 24: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 23.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 88.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 27: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 15 (Shot Off Target) 28: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 0.09 (Shot Saved by Gk) 29: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target) 30: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 31: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 97.6 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 32: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 33: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 80.06 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 34: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 22.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 35: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 68 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 33.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 36: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 42 (Shot Off Target) ******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Marine FC 13 0 33 21 23 Carlton Town FC 12 0 28 48 54 Marine FC Fw Attacks = 0 (23 - 28) Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 48) / 2; rounded up) Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 54) / 5; rounded up) Marine FC Total Attacks = 0 =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E CARLTON TOWN FC 5 - MARINE FC 0