(H)

Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral

Mossley AFC
Mike Jaffe
League Round 12
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S LUTON TOWN FC MOSSLEY AFC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Hayden Barnes 15 2 17 Gk Benjamin Lewis 9 1 10 Sw Jamie Johnson 16 2 18 Sw Jake James 11 2 13 Df Thomás Lebre 13 2 15 Df William Cockham 10 1 11 Df Robin Ostrander 13 2 15 Df Louie Bentinck 9 0 9 Mf Jonathan Heddle 13 1 14 Df Hans Hahn 9 -1 8 Mf Victor Shepard 12 1 13 Mf Thomas Constant 13 2 15 Mf David Perry 8 2 10 Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu 12 -2 10 Fw Nathan Phillips 14 1 15 Mf George Thomas 10 2 12 Fw Facundo Bruno 15 1 16 Mf Zachary Bell 10 -1 9 Fw Jamie Carroll 12 1 13 Fw Eirik Iversen 12 1 13 Fw Nils Schneider 11 2 13 Fw Luca Bell 12 2 14 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 18 30 37 57 ROSTER TOTALS 10 13 28 46 27 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 9 0 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 18 30 46 57 T O T A L S 13 13 34 52 27 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.09 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 41.3 (no red card) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.9 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.52 (no red card) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.04 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 13.63 (no red card) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.05 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.96 (no red card) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.64 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.54 (no red card) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.08 (no red card) Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.88 (no red card) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.26 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.11 (no red card) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.49 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 82.7 (no red card) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.73 (no red card) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 53.73 (no red card) ******* MOSSLEY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 6 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.33 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 17.35 (no red card) Sw Jake James: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 85.55 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 57.37 (no red card) Df William Cockham: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 94.97 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 12.62 (no red card) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 19.18 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 78.01 (no red card) Df Hans Hahn: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 58.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 82.4 (no red card) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 48.36 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 67.97 (no red card) Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 7.29 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 79.35 (no second yellow) Mf George Thomas: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 58.5 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 25.88 (no red card) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 52.28 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 49.02 (no red card) Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 10.26 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 91.46 (no second yellow) Fw Luca Bell: Chance of booking = 13.5% | Random number = 77.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 2.25% | Random number = 19.99 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 7.0% - Gk chance of injury = 3.5% Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 17.14 (no injury) Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 77.02 (no injury) Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 97.55 (no injury) Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 74.14 (no injury) Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 50.2 (no injury) Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 12.57 (no injury) Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 55.26 (no injury) Fw Nathan Phillips: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 69.09 (no injury) Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 89.46 (no injury) Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 63.89 (no injury) Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 7.0% | Random number = 23.15 (no injury) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Mossley AFC Team Hardness = 6 - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0% - Gk chance of injury = 2.0% Gk Benjamin Lewis: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 7.84 (no injury) Sw Jake James: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 42.25 (no injury) Df William Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 22.66 (no injury) Df Louie Bentinck: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 43.75 (no injury) Df Hans Hahn: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 65.78 (no injury) Mf Thomas Constant: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.99 (no injury) Mf Kuan-Yin Zhu: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.42 (no injury) Mf George Thomas: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 72.37 (no injury) Mf Zachary Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.13 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Zachary Bell is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Zachary Bell new match skill level = 5 Zachary Bell new match total level = 4 Fw Eirik Iversen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 24.44 (no injury) Fw Luca Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 18.81 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* MOSSLEY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 6; (6 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 15 - Defending Gk: Benjamin Lewis SL 9 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 41 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 35 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 25 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick) 5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick) 6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick) ******* LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Thomas Constant SL 13 - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 15 intRndPk = 94 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 94 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Luton Town FC 17 18 30 46 57 Mossley AFC 13 13 34 47 27 Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 23 (57 - 34); result rounded up Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((46 - 47) / 2; rounded up) Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((30 - 27) / 3); result rounded up Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 24 1: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 7: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 8: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 10: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 14: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 54 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 32.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 16: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.35 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 19: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Nathan Phillips Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 93 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.91 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* MOSSLEY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Mossley AFC 13 13 34 47 27 Luton Town FC 17 18 30 46 57 Mossley AFC Fw Attacks = 0 (27 - 30) Mossley AFC Mf Attacks = 1 ((47 - 46) / 2) ; result rounded up Mossley AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 57) / 3; rounded up) Mossley AFC Total Attacks = 1 1: Attack for Mf Thomas Constant Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E LUTON TOWN FC 0 - MOSSLEY AFC 0
Match Notes

We have our work cut out for us in this one. Good luck Mike.
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/01 - 7:40 PM


Glad for the point, but needed 3
Mike (Mossley AFC) 07/11 - 8:56 PM