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Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
Burton Albion FC
James White
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

BEDFORD TOWN FC                            BURTON ALBION FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Guillaume Hebert        8    2   10     Gk Wim Cryuff             16    2   18
Sw Ian Moore              15    2   17     Sw Harrison Johnson       12    2   14
Df Alfons Larsson         10    2   12     Df Linus Sjögren          12    2   14
Df Max Hermansson          8    2   10     Df Shay  Carr             10    2   12
Mf Ethan Chauvet          12    1   13     Df Valentin Peralta        8    2   10
Mf Jeff Shilton           11    2   13     Df Liam Byrne              7    2    9
Mf Christian Kilkenny      8    2   10     Df Julian Richter          2    2    4
Fw Alexander Stewart      14    2   16     Mf Francis Brakspear       8    2   10
Fw Gonzalo Soler          14    2   16     Mf Hyun Ki  Son            7    2    9
Fw Sean Sturridge         10    2   12     Fw Noah Monkhouse          7    2    9
Fw Zak Bell                8    2   10     Fw Erik Nygård             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      10 17 22 36 54        ROSTER TOTALS      18 14 49 19 18    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      10 17 22 36 65         T O T A L S       18 17 53 19 18    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.3 (no red card)

Sw Ian Moore: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 4.76 (no red card)

Df Alfons Larsson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 15.2 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 14.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.53 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Chauvet: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 65.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 1.8 (no red card)

Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 6.73 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 91.81 (no second yellow)

Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 41.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 18.55 (no red card)

Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 42.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 2.49 (no red card)

Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 54.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.65 (no red card)

Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 46.55 (no red card)

Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 92.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 93.14 (no red card)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.49 (no red card)

Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.75 (no red card)

Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.13 (no red card)

Df Shay  Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.07 (no red card)

Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.57 (no red card)

Df Liam Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.76 (no red card)

Df Julian Richter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.15 (no red card)

Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.11 (no red card)

Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.65 (no red card)

Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.09 (no red card)

Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.0 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Guillaume Hebert: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 21.2 (no injury) 
Sw Ian Moore: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 57.77 (no injury) 
Df Alfons Larsson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.32 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 61.88 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Chauvet: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.83 (no injury) 
Mf Jeff Shilton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 98.49 (no injury) 
Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury) 
Fw Alexander Stewart: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 54.12 (no injury) 
Fw Gonzalo Soler: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 18.02 (no injury) 
Fw Sean Sturridge: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 39.15 (no injury) 
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 74.25 (no injury) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 32.95 (no injury) 
Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 76.59 (no injury) 
Df Linus Sjögren: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.89 (no injury) 
Df Shay  Carr: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.92 (no injury) 
Df Valentin Peralta: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 82.78 (no injury) 
Df Liam Byrne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 2.05 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Liam Byrne is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Liam Byrne new match skill level =  4
      Liam Byrne new match total level =  6
Df Julian Richter: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 38.51 (no injury) 
Mf Francis Brakspear: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 75.67 (no injury) 
Mf Hyun Ki  Son: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 5.64 (no injury) 
Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.18 (no injury) 
Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.27 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Alexander Stewart SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 16

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Linus Sjögren SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Guillaume Hebert SL 8

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 54 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          10  17  22  36  65
  Burton Albion FC         18  17  50  19  18

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 15 (65 - 50); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((36 - 19) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 2 ((22 - 18) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 26

1: Attack for Df Alfons Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Alfons Larsson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 97.73 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
5: Attack for Mf Ethan Chauvet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 57 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Ethan Chauvet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jeff Shilton
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Mf Christian Kilkenny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Ethan Chauvet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 60 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 79.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Zak Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 70.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Gonzalo Soler
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 60.46 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Sean Sturridge
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Zak Bell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 59 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Alexander Stewart
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 69.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Burton Albion FC         18  17  50  19  18
  Bedford Town FC          10  17  22  36  65

Burton Albion FC is Playing For A Draw!
Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 0 (18 - 22)
Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((19 - 36) / 2;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((50 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
BEDFORD TOWN FC 1  -  BURTON ALBION FC 0
 
Match Notes
I guess a draw would suit us
Carl (Hyde FC) 07/06 - 1:09 PM
Always on the attack
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/12 - 8:09 PM
 
 
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