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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 39 // Landing
 
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Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          TONBRIDGE ANGELS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          12    1   13     Gk Luca Werner             6    2    8
Sw Douglas Pereira        14    1   15     Sw Trevor Wallace         13    1   14
Df Jake McDonald          10    0   10     Df Agostino Beretta       16    0   16
Df Jonas Koch             12    1   13     Df Sean Callahan          11    1   12
Mf Thomas Williams        14    0   14     Df Luke Crowley           10    1   11
Mf Gaëtan Picard           2    2    4     Df Trevor Cockham         10    0   10
Fw Greg Scott             13    1   14     Mf Reuben Byrne           13    0   13
Fw Lorenzo Santana        13    1   14     Mf Kunio Yamamoto         11    1   12
Fw Nils Pettersson        11    1   12     Mf Fernando Rocha          6    2    8
Fw Allan Burns            11    0   11     Fw Matais Juarez          11    2   13
Fw Arran Fergus            6    2    8     Fw Michael Turner          6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 15 23 18 59        ROSTER TOTALS       8 14 49 33 21    
       0  1  0  0  0          HARDNESS          3  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  2  3  4       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 16 25 21 63         T O T A L S       11 15 56 33 21    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 23.27 (no red card)

Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.98 (no red card)

Df Jake McDonald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.26 (no red card)

Df Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 92.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.83 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 33.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.14 (no red card)

Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 43.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.84 (no red card)

Fw Greg Scott: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.85 (no red card)

Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 39.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 3.55 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 91.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.46 (no red card)

Fw Allan Burns: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.31 (no red card)

Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 83.12 (no red card)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 4
   - Gk   Hardness = 3

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 11.25% | Random number = 50.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.5% | Random number = 87.25 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 12.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 28.36 (no red card)

Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 44.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 54.28 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 85.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 92.98 (no red card)

Df Luke Crowley: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 86.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 70.95 (no red card)

Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 96.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 99.75 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 38.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.31 (no red card)

Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 22.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 13.55 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 87.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 76.08 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 93.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 45.46 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 68.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 2.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.87%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 2.87% | Random number = 77.37 (no injury) 
Sw Douglas Pereira: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 29.98 (no injury) 
Df Jake McDonald: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 3.79 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Jake McDonald is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 55.08 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Williams: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 52.12 (no injury) 
Mf Gaëtan Picard: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 11.1 (no injury) 
Fw Greg Scott: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 98.42 (no injury) 
Fw Lorenzo Santana: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 14.39 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 56.47 (no injury) 
Fw Allan Burns: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 93.92 (no injury) 
Fw Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 5.75% | Random number = 39.17 (no injury) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 4
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.12%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 2.12% | Random number = 10.02 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 92.55 (no injury) 
Df Agostino Beretta: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 47.35 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 69.51 (no injury) 
Df Luke Crowley: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 77.99 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 92.0 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 73.13 (no injury) 
Mf Kunio Yamamoto: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 62.93 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 28.81 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 22.13 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 4.25% | Random number = 40.64 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Thomas Williams SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 6

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 8 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 94% | Random number = 22 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 83 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Agostino Beretta SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 12

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 43 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        13  16  25  21  63
  Tonbridge Angels         11  15  56  33  21

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 7 (63 - 56); result rounded up
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((21 - 33) / 2;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 2 ((25 - 21) / 3); result rounded up
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Df Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Allan Burns
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 55.77 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 97.23 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Lorenzo Santana
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Fw Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Greg Scott
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 79 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 98.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         11  15  56  33  21
  Welling United FC        13  16  25  21  63

Tonbridge Angels is Playing For A Draw!
Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (21 - 25)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 3 ((33 - 21) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 0 ((56 - 63) / 3;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 3

1: Attack for Mf Kunio Yamamoto
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.27 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 52.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 3  -  TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1
 
Match Notes
A nice easy start, away to the top ranked team and favourites for the title.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/11 - 11:22 AM
No surprise that we lost but we made a game of it.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 01/17 - 7:29 PM
A rocky starting week
Eduard (Welling United FC) 01/18 - 1:24 PM
Still, 3 LPs are better than 0
Eduard (Welling United FC) 01/18 - 1:25 PM
 
 
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