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York City FC
James Tucker
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

YORK CITY FC                               AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Marcus Mathisen        14    2   16     Gk Kevin Hawkins          15    2   17
Df Ethan Shaw             13    0   13     Sw Luís Morais            14    1   15
Df Mael Bourdon           12    0   12     Df Markus Jacobsen        14    0   14
Sw Liam McIntosh          10    1   11     Df Lucas Soramaki         10    2   12
Df Gabriel Carvalho        8    2   10     Df Axel Lacour             8    2   10
Mf Thomas Hills           11    2   13     Mf Conor Kennedy          12    1   13
Mf Luis Weber              8    2   10     Mf Gabriel Welbeck         8    2   10
Fw Frank Gerrard          15    2   17     Fw William Hay            14    0   14
Fw Juan Acosta            13    2   15     Fw Mark Solomon           14    0   14
Fw Nicola Marino          16    1   17     Fw Fernando Cano           8    1    9
Fw Brandon Booth          10    2   12     Fw William Bell            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 11 35 23 61        ROSTER TOTALS      17 15 36 23 43    
       0  0  0  1  0          HARDNESS          0  1  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      16 11 35 24 70         T O T A L S       20 16 36 23 43    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  YORK CITY FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.93 (no red card)

Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 26.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.58 (no red card)

Df Mael Bourdon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.51 (no red card)

Sw Liam McIntosh: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 0.9 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.67 (no second yellow)

Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 69.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 23.48 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Hills: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 40.65 (no red card)

Mf Luis Weber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 59.31 (no red card)

Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.83 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.67 (no red card)

Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.39 (no red card)

Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 79.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.95 (no red card)

Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.04 (no red card)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.8 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.67 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 39.34 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.93 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 98.78 (no second yellow)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.83 (no red card)

Mf Conor Kennedy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 58.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.34 (no red card)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 21.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 19.84 (no red card)

Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 88.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.7 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 19.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 15.63 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.65 (no red card)

Fw William Bell: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.62 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 71.12 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Marcus Mathisen: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 95.77 (no injury) 
Df Ethan Shaw: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.59 (no injury) 
Df Mael Bourdon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.59 (no injury) 
Sw Liam McIntosh: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 27.87 (no injury) 
Df Gabriel Carvalho: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.86 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Hills: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 25.11 (no injury) 
Mf Luis Weber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.77 (no injury) 
Fw Frank Gerrard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 9.49 (no injury) 
Fw Juan Acosta: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 0.31 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 6
      Juan Acosta is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Juan Acosta new match skill level =  7
      Juan Acosta new match total level =  9
Fw Nicola Marino: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.38 (no injury) 
Fw Brandon Booth: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 24.62 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - York City FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 72.67 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 44.3 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 2.19 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Markus Jacobsen is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.66 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.95 (no injury) 
Mf Conor Kennedy: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 40.84 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 88.53 (no injury) 
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 10.09 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 29.23 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 79.44 (no injury) 
Fw William Bell: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.0 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nicola Marino SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  YORK CITY FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Markus Jacobsen SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Marcus Mathisen SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  YORK CITY FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  York City FC             16  11  35  24  64
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  16  36  23  43

York City FC Fw Attacks = 28 (64 - 36); result rounded up
York City FC Mf Attacks = 1 ((24 - 23) / 2) ; result rounded up
York City FC Df Attacks = 0 ((35 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
York City FC Total Attacks = 29

1: Attack for Mf Luis Weber
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 9 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 34.33 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
10: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
21: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 47.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 2 (Shot Off Target) 
24: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 9.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
25: Attack for Fw Brandon Booth
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Nicola Marino
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 75.51 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Fw Juan Acosta
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Frank Gerrard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   20  16  36  23  43
  York City FC             16  11  35  24  64

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 8 (43 - 35); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((23 - 24) / 2;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 64) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 8

1: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 70.53 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 76.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw William Hay
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 76.0% | Random number = 93.8 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 8 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
YORK CITY FC 0  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2
 
Match Notes
Good grief.
James (York City FC) 07/12 - 8:15 PM
A huge win for us
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 07/13 - 8:52 AM
 
 
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