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Luton Town FC
Mike Cabral
 
Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
 
League Round 13
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

LUTON TOWN FC                              CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Hayden Barnes          15   -1   14     Gk Owen Rooney            11    1   12
Sw Jamie Johnson          16    2   18     Sw Connor Robinson        11    0   11
Df Thomás Lebre           13    2   15     Df Logan Smith            11    2   13
Df Robin Ostrander        13    2   15     Df Bryan Price             8    2   10
Mf Jonathan Heddle        14    1   15     Df Michael Schmidt         8    2   10
Mf Victor Shepard         13    1   14     Df Diego Torres            4    2    6
Mf David Perry             9    2   11     Mf Marty Nicholls          9    2   11
Fw Facundo Bruno          16    1   17     Mf David Kirk              8    2   10
Fw Jamie Carroll          13    1   14     Mf Tony Long               4    2    6
Fw William Johnson        12    2   14     Fw Vladimir Popov          8    2   10
Fw Nils Schneider         11    2   13     Fw Hans Frings             7    2    9

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      14 18 30 40 58        ROSTER TOTALS      12 11 39 27 19    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  7  2  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  7  0    
=======================================================================
      14 18 37 42 58         T O T A L S       12 11 39 34 19    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  LUTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 32.61 (no red card)

Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.56 (no red card)

Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.9 (no red card)

Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.31 (no red card)

Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.37 (no red card)

Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.43 (no red card)

Mf David Perry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.7 (no red card)

Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.77 (no red card)

Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 75.3 (no red card)

Fw William Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.01 (no red card)

Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.95 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 11.11 (no red card)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 55.13 (no red card)

Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.12 (no red card)

Df Logan Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 66.78 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.96 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.26 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.08 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.39 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.89 (no second yellow)

Df Diego Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.65 (no red card)

Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.96 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.53 (no red card)

Mf Tony Long: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.47 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.96 (no red card)

Fw Hans Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.03 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.65 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Hayden Barnes: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 95.96 (no injury) 
Sw Jamie Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 36.41 (no injury) 
Df Thomás Lebre: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 10.89 (no injury) 
Df Robin Ostrander: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.75 (no injury) 
Mf Jonathan Heddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 20.28 (no injury) 
Mf Victor Shepard: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.27 (no injury) 
Mf David Perry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 21.38 (no injury) 
Fw Facundo Bruno: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 28.01 (no injury) 
Fw Jamie Carroll: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.35 (no injury) 
Fw William Johnson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.17 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Schneider: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 23.7 (no injury) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Luton Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 23.28 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.22 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 5
      Connor Robinson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Connor Robinson new match skill level =  6
      Connor Robinson new match total level =  6
Df Logan Smith: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.38 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.67 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.48 (no injury) 
Df Diego Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.24 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Diego Torres is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Diego Torres new match skill level =  2
      Diego Torres new match total level =  4
Mf Marty Nicholls: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.47 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.39 (no injury) 
Mf Tony Long: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 18.27 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.98 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Facundo Bruno SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 11

     intRndPk = 99
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 99 (no penalty kick)

*******  LUTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Logan Smith SL 11
   - Defending Gk: Hayden Barnes SL 15

     intRndPk = 52
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  LUTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Luton Town FC            14  18  37  42  58
  Chippenham Town FC       12   6  37  34  19

Luton Town FC Fw Attacks = 21 (58 - 37); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((42 - 34) / 2) ; result rounded up
Luton Town FC Df Attacks = 6 ((37 - 19) / 3); result rounded up
Luton Town FC Total Attacks = 31

1: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Df Thomás Lebre
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Robin Ostrander
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf David Perry
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 43 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 48.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 29.16 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Mf Victor Shepard
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Jonathan Heddle
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 80.77 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 57 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 3.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 89 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 38.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 40 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 76.28 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 53.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.01 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 48 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
23: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 66.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
24: Attack for Fw William Johnson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 
25: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 37 (Shot Off Target) 
27: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Jamie Carroll
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
29: Attack for Fw Facundo Bruno
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 
30: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 
31: Attack for Fw Nils Schneider
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 42% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       12   6  37  34  19
  Luton Town FC            14  18  37  42  58

Chippenham Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (19 - 37)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((34 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((37 - 58) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
LUTON TOWN FC 2  -  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Everything against us here, not expecting much!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/06 - 10:51 AM
If you can score even one you’ll do better than most! 5 straight clean sheets for Luton, only one league goal conceded
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/07 - 2:50 PM
Best of luck, other Mike!
Mike (Luton Town FC) 07/12 - 4:47 PM
Could have done without the injuries!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/12 - 8:02 PM
 
 
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