(H)
Forest Green Rovers FC
Mark Creasey
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 13
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC MARINE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Namir Cohen 8 2 10 Gk Thiago Alves 11 2 13
Df Ruud Voorhees 9 0 9 Df Ryan Richardson 9 0 9
Df Mathias Garreau 9 0 9 Df Andy Simpson 8 0 8
Df Felipe Cardoso 8 0 8 Df Niall Dunn 8 0 8
Mf William Pedersen 15 1 16 Df Afonso Gomes 6 2 8
Mf Alfredo Vargas 8 2 10 Mf Adi Peretz 8 0 8
Mf Conor Farrell 8 0 8 Mf Andrea Marino 11 -1 10
Fw Peter East 16 2 18 Mf Rory MacDonald 6 2 8
Fw Andrew Williamson 10 0 10 Fw Joel Sansom 9 0 9
Fw Gabriel Whiteside 8 2 10 Fw Cliff Ruddle 8 -2 6
Fw Moritz Hofmann 7 0 7 Fw Reuben Dowson 7 1 8
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
10 0 26 34 45 ROSTER TOTALS 13 0 33 26 23
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 3 3 3
0 0 0 0 7 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
10 0 26 34 52 T O T A L S 13 0 36 29 26
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.68 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 34.81 (no red card)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.57 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.4 (no red card)
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 40.59 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.0 (no red card)
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.52 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.46 (no red card)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.9 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.45 (no red card)
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.59 (no red card)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.31 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.8 (no red card)
Fw Peter East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.7 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.77 (no red card)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 87.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.93 (no red card)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.28 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.06 (no red card)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 65.79 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 44.53 (no red card)
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 9
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.54 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 7.86 (no red card)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 78.27 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 40.19 (no red card)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 47.74 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 66.33 (no red card)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 62.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 57.05 (no red card)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 85.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 69.17 (no red card)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 23.61 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 39.95 (no red card)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 17.29 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 18.09 (no second yellow)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 25.36 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 11.3 (no red card)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 81.89 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 88.63 (no red card)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 68.02 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 46.07 (no red card)
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of booking = 18.0% | Random number = 68.69 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 3.0% | Random number = 92.85 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 9
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 9.25%
- Gk chance of injury = 4.62%
Gk Namir Cohen: Chance of injury = 4.62% | Random number = 52.83 (no injury)
Df Ruud Voorhees: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 7.85 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Ruud Voorhees loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Ruud Voorhees new match skill level = 5
Ruud Voorhees new match total level = 5
Df Mathias Garreau: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 0.27 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Mathias Garreau loses 0 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Mathias Garreau new match skill level = 5
Mathias Garreau new match total level = 5
Df Felipe Cardoso: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 15.79 (no injury)
Mf William Pedersen: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 46.42 (no injury)
Mf Alfredo Vargas: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 20.01 (no injury)
Mf Conor Farrell: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 78.52 (no injury)
Fw Peter East: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 69.31 (no injury)
Fw Andrew Williamson: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 22.66 (no injury)
Fw Gabriel Whiteside: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 19.61 (no injury)
Fw Moritz Hofmann: Chance of injury = 9.25% | Random number = 24.35 (no injury)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 9
- Forest Green Rovers FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
- Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Thiago Alves: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 34.33 (no injury)
Df Ryan Richardson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 25.08 (no injury)
Df Andy Simpson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 2.51 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 0
Andy Simpson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 36.65 (no injury)
Df Afonso Gomes: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 58.31 (no injury)
Mf Adi Peretz: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 32.18 (no injury)
Mf Andrea Marino: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 43.06 (no injury)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 15.46 (no injury)
Fw Joel Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 35.71 (no injury)
Fw Cliff Ruddle: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 45.28 (no injury)
Fw Reuben Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 14.42 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 9; (9 10% chances of yielding PKs)
- PK Taker: Peter East SL 16
- Defending Gk: Thiago Alves SL 11
1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 18 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 100 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)
4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
5: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 1 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 59 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
6: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 52 (no penalty kick)
7: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 76 (no penalty kick)
8: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 6 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 92% | Random number = 98 (pk blocked)
9: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 60 (no penalty kick)
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Andrea Marino SL 11
- Defending Gk: Namir Cohen SL 8
intRndPk = 80
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 80 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 18 34 52
Marine FC 13 0 36 29 26
Forest Green Rovers FC Fw Attacks = 16 (52 - 36); result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Mf Attacks = 3 ((34 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up
Forest Green Rovers FC Df Attacks = 0 ((18 - 26) / 5; rounded up)
Forest Green Rovers FC Total Attacks = 19
1: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.86 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 59 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 86.99 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
3: Attack for Mf William Pedersen
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target)
4: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 28 (Shot Off Target)
5: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
6: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 85.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
7: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.9 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 45 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 61.84 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 56 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 13.17 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 24.33 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 41 (Shot Off Target)
14: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target)
15: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 7.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Andrew Williamson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 46.38 (Shot Saved by Gk)
17: Attack for Fw Gabriel Whiteside
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target)
18: Attack for Fw Moritz Hofmann
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target)
19: Attack for Fw Peter East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Marine FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 34 (Shot Off Target)
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 13 0 36 29 26
Forest Green Rovers FC 10 0 18 34 52
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 8 (26 - 18); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 34) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 52) / 5; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 8
1: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target)
3: Attack for Fw Cliff Ruddle
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 67 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 17.82 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 88 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 74.16 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
5: Attack for Fw Reuben Dowson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 59.36 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 33 (Shot Off Target)
7: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 1.22 (Shot Saved by Gk)
8: Attack for Fw Joel Sansom
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Forest Green Rovers FC
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 14.19 (Shot Saved by Gk)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
FOREST GREEN ROVERS FC 3 - MARINE FC 1
Match Notes
bottom 2 teams do battle for wooden spoon
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/10 - 3:05 PM
a win is a win
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/17 - 10:08 PM
wooden spoon still a worry
Mark (Forest Green Rovers FC) 07/17 - 10:08 PM