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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Bedford Town FC
Simon Compton
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           BEDFORD TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            14    2   16     Gk Jake Flynn             15    2   17
Sw Trevor Wallace         10    2   12     Sw Sean Buckley           10    2   12
Df Finn Fitzgerald        12    2   14     Df Lok Guo                13    2   15
Df Jonas Lehmann          10    2   12     Df Youssef Alami          12    1   13
Df Reece Cooper            9    2   11     Df Max Hermansson          8    2   10
Df Trevor Cockham          7    2    9     Df Ben Collins             4    2    6
Mf Fernando Rocha         13    2   15     Mf Harvey Allen           18    1   19
Mf Reuben Byrne            9    2   11     Mf Ethan Chauvet          12    1   13
Fw Michael Turner         14    2   16     Mf Christian Kilkenny      8    2   10
Fw Scott Marshall         11    2   13     Fw Zak Bell                8    2   10
Fw Liam Thwaite           10    2   12     Fw Gerry Walker            4    2    6

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      16 12 46 26 41        ROSTER TOTALS      17 12 44 42 16    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      18 12 46 33 43         T O T A L S       17 12 44 42 16    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 99.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 58.96 (no red card)

Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 82.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 0.85 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Trevor Wallace new match skill level =  5
      Trevor Wallace new match total level =  7

Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 59.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.42 (no red card)

Df Jonas Lehmann: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 57.76 (no red card)

Df Reece Cooper: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 39.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.05 (no red card)

Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 87.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 22.96 (no red card)

Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.88 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 70.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 90.99 (no red card)

Fw Michael Turner: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 52.36 (no red card)

Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 12.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 94.29 (no red card)

Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 34.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 33.74 (no red card)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 92.03 (no red card)

Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.34 (no red card)

Df Lok Guo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 18.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.91 (no red card)

Df Youssef Alami: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 3.89 (no red card)

Df Max Hermansson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.69 (no red card)

Df Ben Collins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 86.78 (no red card)

Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.77 (no red card)

Mf Ethan Chauvet: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.01 (no red card)

Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 14.02 (no red card)

Fw Zak Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.42 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.88 (no red card)

Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.91 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 46.76 (no injury) 
Sw Trevor Wallace: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 89.39 (no injury) 
Df Finn Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.62 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Lehmann: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 19.98 (no injury) 
Df Reece Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 35.01 (no injury) 
Df Trevor Cockham: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 58.14 (no injury) 
Mf Fernando Rocha: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 24.34 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 8.11 (no injury) 
Fw Michael Turner: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.55 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 49.2 (no injury) 
Fw Liam Thwaite: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 10.28 (no injury) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Bedford Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Jake Flynn: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 20.19 (no injury) 
Sw Sean Buckley: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.15 (no injury) 
Df Lok Guo: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 80.74 (no injury) 
Df Youssef Alami: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 4.03 (no injury) 
Df Max Hermansson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 25.76 (no injury) 
Df Ben Collins: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.27 (no injury) 
Mf Harvey Allen: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 9.32 (no injury) 
Mf Ethan Chauvet: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 39.63 (no injury) 
Mf Christian Kilkenny: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 88.9 (no injury) 
Fw Zak Bell: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 49.18 (no injury) 
Fw Gerry Walker: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Michael Turner SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Jake Flynn SL 15

     intRndPk = 6
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 6 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Harvey Allen SL 18
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 14

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         18   7  46  33  43
  Bedford Town FC          17  12  44  42  16

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (43 - 44)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 0 ((33 - 42) / 2;  rounded up)
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 10 ((46 - 16) / 3); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 10

1: Attack for Df Finn Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 11.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Jonas Lehmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 72.98 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Finn Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 69.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Df Jonas Lehmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 91 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 73.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Df Finn Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Finn Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 31.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Df Reece Cooper
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 11 (Shot Off Target) 
8: Attack for Df Jonas Lehmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Df Finn Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Df Jonas Lehmann
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  BEDFORD TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Bedford Town FC          17  12  44  42  16
  Tonbridge Angels         18   7  46  33  43

Bedford Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (16 - 46)
Bedford Town FC Mf Attacks = 5 ((42 - 33) / 2) ; result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((44 - 43) / 3); result rounded up
Bedford Town FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Max Hermansson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Christian Kilkenny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Ethan Chauvet
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 14.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Christian Kilkenny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 31 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Mf Harvey Allen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 44% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 0  -  BEDFORD TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Going to be tough
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/12 - 8:11 PM
A great game
Simon (Bedford Town FC) 07/12 - 8:12 PM
A game we should have got something.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/18 - 4:09 PM
 
 
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