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Shepshed Dynamo FC
Alon Atie
 
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC                         AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk José Fita              16    2   18     Gk Gordon Wilkins         16    2   18
Sw Joshua Burroughs       16    0   16     Df Simon Charlton         14    1   15
Df Harry Thwaite          13    2   15     Df Charles Clarke         12    2   14
Df Luke MacTavish          9    2   11     Df Carrington Green       11    2   13
Mf Giles Dixon            11    2   13     Df Lucas Soramaki          8    2   10
Mf Bernd Kaiser            8    2   10     Df Markus Jacobsen         4    2    6
Fw Ruben Diez             16    2   18     Mf Ashton Ali             14    2   16
Fw Tobias Walter          13    1   14     Mf Thomas Thomsen         11    1   12
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang         16    2   18     Mf Scott Chapman          10    2   12
Fw Freddie Rees            9    2   11     Fw Angus Williamson       15    2   17
Fw Martin Rios             8    2   10     Fw Mark Solomon            8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 26 23 71        ROSTER TOTALS      18  0 58 40 27    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  3  6       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       2  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      21 16 26 26 77         T O T A L S       21  0 65 40 27    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk José Fita: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 96.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 75.72 (no red card)

Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 52.6 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 35.77 (no red card)

Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 78.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.45 (no red card)

Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.74 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 92.21 (no second yellow)

Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.86 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 9.14 (no second yellow)

Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 73.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.52 (no red card)

Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 13.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 8.73 (no red card)

Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 50.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.35 (no red card)

Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.28 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 26.94 (no red card)

Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 93.29 (no red card)

Fw Martin Rios: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.83 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.08 (no second yellow)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 91.47 (no red card)

Df Simon Charlton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.04 (no red card)

Df Charles Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.93 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.74 (no red card)

Df Carrington Green: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.17 (no red card)

Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.2 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 64.51 (no red card)

Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.14 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.73 (no red card)

Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.66 (no red card)

Mf Scott Chapman: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.66 (no red card)

Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.42 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.07 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk José Fita: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 3.87 (no injury) 
Sw Joshua Burroughs: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.48 (no injury) 
Df Harry Thwaite: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.89 (no injury) 
Df Luke MacTavish: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 97.63 (no injury) 
Mf Giles Dixon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 72.28 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Kaiser: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 81.26 (no injury) 
Fw Ruben Diez: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.32 (no injury) 
Fw Tobias Walter: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 26.38 (no injury) 
Fw Dong-Sun  Jang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.44 (no injury) 
Fw Freddie Rees: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 21.3 (no injury) 
Fw Martin Rios: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 70.64 (no injury) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
   - Shepshed Dynamo FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Gordon Wilkins: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 30.12 (no injury) 
Df Simon Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.53 (no injury) 
Df Charles Clarke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 96.1 (no injury) 
Df Carrington Green: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 14.41 (no injury) 
Df Lucas Soramaki: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 99.49 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 83.96 (no injury) 
Mf Ashton Ali: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.98 (no injury) 
Mf Thomas Thomsen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.94 (no injury) 
Mf Scott Chapman: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 55.36 (no injury) 
Fw Angus Williamson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 31.63 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 43.34 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Ruben Diez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Gordon Wilkins SL 16

     intRndPk = 30
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 30 (no penalty kick)

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Angus Williamson SL 15
   - Defending Gk: José Fita SL 16

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 81 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  16  26  26  77
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   21   0  65  40  27

AFC Rushden & Diamonds is using Offside Trap!
Shepshed Dynamo FC Fw Attacks = 6 (77 - 65) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier) ; result rounded up
Shepshed Dynamo FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 40) / 2;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 27) / 3;  rounded up)
Shepshed Dynamo FC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 46.34 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 4.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 91.37 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw Dong-Sun  Jang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Martin Rios
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 53 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 31.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Fw Ruben Diez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for AFC Rushden & Diamonds
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 7.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   21   0  65  40  27
  Shepshed Dynamo FC       21  16  26  26  77

AFC Rushden & Diamonds is Playing For A Draw!
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 1 (27 - 26) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 4 ((40 - 26) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((65 - 77) / 5;  rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 5

1: Attack for Mf Ashton Ali
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 68.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Scott Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Scott Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Scott Chapman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Angus Williamson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
SHEPSHED DYNAMO FC 1  -  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0
 
Match Notes
The only good news here is that if the fixture at Shepshed is scheduled, your team is doing well. Let's get this out of the way
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/11 - 8:15 PM
Threw everything we could at this, unlucky not to sneak a draw
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/16 - 7:42 PM
 
 
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