(H)

Burton Albion FC
James White

AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
League Round 14
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S BURTON ALBION FC AFC WIMBLEDON Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Wim Cryuff 16 2 18 Gk Matty Moore 17 2 19 Sw Harrison Johnson 12 2 14 Sw Aarron Lowe 17 2 19 Df Christopher McLachlan 12 2 14 Df Alejandro García 13 2 15 Df Shay Carr 10 2 12 Df Oscar Evans 12 2 14 Mf Lior Tal 13 1 14 Df Ryan Barber 8 2 10 Mf Wayne Hunt 11 2 13 Fw Isao Mori 13 2 15 Fw Ben Frings 13 2 15 Mf Nigel Howells 8 2 10 Fw Oliver Bauer 13 2 15 Mf Baron Fisher 8 2 10 Fw Carsten Petersen 14 1 15 Fw Harry Pastor 15 2 17 Fw Noah Monkhouse 7 2 9 Fw Marty Allen 13 2 15 Fw Erik Nygård 7 2 9 Fw Ben Butcher 8 1 9 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 14 26 27 63 ROSTER TOTALS 19 19 39 20 56 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 18 14 26 27 72 T O T A L S 22 19 39 20 56 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* BURTON ALBION FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.3 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 8.41 (no red card) Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.08 (no red card) Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.39 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.55 (no red card) Df Shay Carr: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.77 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.93 (no red card) Mf Lior Tal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.25 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.69 (no red card) Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.31 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.96 (no red card) Fw Ben Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.33 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 18.68 (no red card) Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 93.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.8 (no red card) Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.54 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.05 (no red card) Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.3 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.29 (no red card) Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.81 (no red card) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 1 - Gk Hardness = 1 Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 82.42 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 21.77 (no red card) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 41.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.23 (no red card) Df Alejandro García: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 28.07 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 96.82 (no red card) Df Oscar Evans: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 83.45 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.53 (no red card) Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 65.12 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 64.93 (no red card) Fw Isao Mori: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.85 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 7.4 (no red card) Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 4.59 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 89.19 (no second yellow) Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 31.61 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 6.05 (no red card) Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.72 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 16.08 (no second yellow) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.59 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.52 (no red card) Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.58 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0 - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25% - Gk chance of injury = 1.62% Gk Wim Cryuff: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 66.79 (no injury) Sw Harrison Johnson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.34 (no injury) Df Christopher McLachlan: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 91.68 (no injury) Df Shay Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.2 (no injury) Mf Lior Tal: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 64.2 (no injury) Mf Wayne Hunt: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.73 (no injury) Fw Ben Frings: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 85.91 (no injury) Fw Oliver Bauer: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 13.4 (no injury) Fw Carsten Petersen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.61 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 5 Carsten Petersen is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 4 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Carsten Petersen new match skill level = 7 Carsten Petersen new match total level = 8 Fw Noah Monkhouse: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.59 (no injury) Fw Erik Nygård: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 0.84 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 2 Erik Nygård is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 1 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Erik Nygård new match skill level = 4 Erik Nygård new match total level = 6 ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1 - Burton Albion FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75% - Gk chance of injury = 1.37% Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 7.74 (no injury) Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 27.82 (no injury) Df Alejandro García: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 91.76 (no injury) Df Oscar Evans: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.52 (no injury) Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 50.02 (no injury) Fw Isao Mori: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 32.98 (no injury) Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.06 (no injury) Mf Baron Fisher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 41.43 (no injury) Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 93.51 (no injury) Fw Marty Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 10.14 (no injury) Fw Ben Butcher: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.38 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Lior Tal SL 13 - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 17 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick) ******* BURTON ALBION FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Harry Pastor SL 15 - Defending Gk: Wim Cryuff SL 16 intRndPk = 17 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 17 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* BURTON ALBION FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Burton Albion FC 18 14 26 27 62 AFC Wimbledon 22 19 39 20 56 Burton Albion FC Fw Attacks = 23 (62 - 39); result rounded up Burton Albion FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((27 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up Burton Albion FC Df Attacks = 0 ((26 - 56) / 3; rounded up) Burton Albion FC Total Attacks = 27 1: Attack for Mf Wayne Hunt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Mf Lior Tal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Wayne Hunt Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 73 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 13.14 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Lior Tal Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Carsten Petersen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 35.28 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 21.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 11.82 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 95.09 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 16: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 83 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 37.95 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 66.63 (Shot Saved by Gk) 18: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 63 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 32.68 (Shot Saved by Gk) 19: Attack for Fw Erik Nygård Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 44 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 89.5% | Random number = 76.93 (Shot Saved by Gk) 21: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 25: Attack for Fw Oliver Bauer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 67 (Sw stopped attack) 26: Attack for Fw Ben Frings Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 27: Attack for Fw Noah Monkhouse Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) ******* AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- AFC Wimbledon 22 19 39 20 56 Burton Albion FC 18 14 26 27 62 AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 30 (56 - 26); result rounded up AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 27) / 2; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 62) / 3; rounded up) AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 30 1: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 12 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 66 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 35.17 (Shot Saved by Gk) 5: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.57 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 17.0 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 26 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 11: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 16.23 (Shot Saved by Gk) 12: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 13: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 14 (Sw stopped attack) 14: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 15: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 16: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 58.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 17: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 18: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 19: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 20: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 21: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 22: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 23: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 24: Attack for Fw Ben Butcher Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 99.76 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 25: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 85 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 30.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 26: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 27: Attack for Fw Isao Mori Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 43.4 (Shot Saved by Gk) 28: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 29: Attack for Fw Marty Allen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack) 30: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E BURTON ALBION FC 1 - AFC WIMBLEDON 1