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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
 
 
League Round 14
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         CARLTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney            11    1   12     Gk Benjamin Guery          9    2   11
Sw Connor Robinson        11    0   11     Df Jeff Charlton          13    1   14
Df Bryan Price             8    2   10     Df Chris Howard            8    2   10
Df Michael Schmidt         8    2   10     Df Francis Martin          4    2    6
Mf Evan Jones             12    1   13     Mf Federico Gentile       14    0   14
Mf Ian Hanny              11    1   12     Mf Gast?n Franco          12    1   13
Mf David Kirk              8    2   10     Mf Liam Dixon              8    1    9
Fw Gregory Hines          11    0   11     Mf Alexander Daly          4    1    5
Fw James St.Hubbins        9    0    9     Mf Alistair Carr           4    2    6
Fw Vladimir Popov          8    2   10     Fw Sveinur Hansen          9    2   11
Fw Hans Frings             7    2    9     Fw Trevor Hanny            4    1    5

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 11 20 35 39        ROSTER TOTALS      11  0 30 47 16    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  3  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  5  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  3  1    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 11 20 35 53         T O T A L S       11  0 33 50 17    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 59.08 (no red card)

Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.8 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.0 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 80.36 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 40.97 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.97 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.78 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.85 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.01 (no second yellow)

Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.69 (no red card)

Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.4 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.0 (no red card)

Fw Hans Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.72 (no red card)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 3
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.88 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.89 (no red card)

Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 19.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.64 (no red card)

Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 63.64 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 62.75 (no red card)

Df Francis Martin: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 10.38 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 60.51 (no red card)

Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 89.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 1.15 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Federico Gentile new match skill level =  7
      Federico Gentile new match total level =  7

Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 27.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 85.83 (no red card)

Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 31.71 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 41.29 (no red card)

Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 33.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 34.41 (no red card)

Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 61.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 95.01 (no red card)

Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 72.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 74.36 (no red card)

Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 17.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.5% | Random number = 83.94 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.37%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 2.37% | Random number = 98.87 (no injury) 
Sw Connor Robinson: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 56.34 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 94.8 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.03 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 88.02 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 63.01 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 29.65 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 97.17 (no injury) 
Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 50.45 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 87.74 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Frings: Chance of injury = 4.75% | Random number = 66.75 (no injury) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 3
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Benjamin Guery: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 17.91 (no injury) 
Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.0 (no injury) 
Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.14 (no injury) 
Df Francis Martin: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 35.49 (no injury) 
Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 94.4 (no injury) 
Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 44.87 (no injury) 
Mf Liam Dixon: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 50.95 (no injury) 
Mf Alexander Daly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 5.92 (no injury) 
Mf Alistair Carr: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 46.71 (no injury) 
Fw Sveinur Hansen: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 59.04 (no injury) 
Fw Trevor Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 36.06 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 3; (3 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Evan Jones SL 12
   - Defending Gk: Benjamin Guery SL 9

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick)
3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Jeff Charlton SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 11

     intRndPk = 73
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 73 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       12  11  20  35  53
  Carlton Town FC          11   0  33  43  17

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 20 (53 - 33); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((35 - 43) / 2;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((20 - 17) / 3); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 21

1: Attack for Df Bryan Price
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 83.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
2: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 
3: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 89 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 65.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
4: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 7 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 90.15 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 89.79 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 51 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 6.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 32.89 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
9: Attack for Fw Hans Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
10: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 48.49 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 50% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 85.12 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
12: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 55% | Random number = 60 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 85.81 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
13: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 38 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 55.88 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
15: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
16: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 60% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 70.64 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 65% | Random number = 76 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 84.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
19: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 17.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
20: Attack for Fw Hans Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 82 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 22.04 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Fw James St.Hubbins
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 70% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 64.75% | Random number = 54.36 (Shot Saved by Gk) 

*******  CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Carlton Town FC          11   0  33  43  17
  Chippenham Town FC       12  11  20  35  53

Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (17 - 20)
Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((43 - 35) / 2) ; result rounded up
Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((33 - 53) / 5;  rounded up)
Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 4

1: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Liam Dixon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Gast?n Franco
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 92 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 35.2 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 8  -  CARLTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Another tough game!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/06 - 10:52 AM
Wish all my tough games turned out like this!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/14 - 7:25 AM
 
 
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