(H)
AFC Fylde
Phil McIntosh
Marine FC
Derek Purvis
League Round 15
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC FYLDE MARINE FC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk James MacLeod 15 2 17 Gk George Lindsay 7 2 9
Sw Benjamin White 15 2 17 Sw Joachim Solberg 6 2 8
Df Logan Hughes 8 0 8 Df Craig Lynch 9 1 10
Df Bernd Fuchs 5 2 7 Df Damien Rodriguez 8 2 10
Mf Angel Vazquez 16 2 18 Df Niall Dunn 8 2 10
Mf Morgan Moore 9 1 10 Mf Rory MacDonald 7 2 9
Mf George Garcia 5 2 7 Mf Jack Barry 7 2 9
Fw William Peverell 16 2 18 Mf Jake Allen 6 2 8
Fw Dorian Moine 9 2 11 Fw Liam McColl 12 1 13
Fw Julien De Backer 5 2 7 Fw Alexander Murphy 8 2 10
Fw Joseph Cross 5 2 7 Fw Francesco Sala 7 2 9
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
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17 17 15 35 43 ROSTER TOTALS 9 8 30 26 32
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 7 2 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 3 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 20 15 42 45 T O T A L S 9 8 30 26 32
============================================================================
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B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC FYLDE YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 91.3 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 61.19 (no red card)
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.34 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.94 (no second yellow)
Df Logan Hughes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.88 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 9.6 (no red card)
Df Bernd Fuchs: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 38.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.27 (no red card)
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 10.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 20.82 (no red card)
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 47.61 (no red card)
Mf George Garcia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 23.47 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.81 (no red card)
Fw William Peverell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.03 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.47 (no red card)
Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.71 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.24 (no red card)
Fw Julien De Backer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 78.58 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.68 (no red card)
Fw Joseph Cross: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.77 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 55.11 (no red card)
******* MARINE FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.07 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 11.62 (no red card)
Sw Joachim Solberg: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.62 (no red card)
Df Craig Lynch: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 50.21 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 54.33 (no red card)
Df Damien Rodriguez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.55 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.49 (no red card)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.48 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.52 (no red card)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 97.01 (no red card)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 36.12 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 77.86 (no red card)
Mf Jake Allen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 76.7 (no red card)
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.68 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 41.12 (no red card)
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.92 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.22 (no red card)
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.33 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.88 (no red card)
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I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk James MacLeod: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 37.32 (no injury)
Sw Benjamin White: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 96.2 (no injury)
Df Logan Hughes: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.78 (no injury)
Df Bernd Fuchs: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.31 (no injury)
Mf Angel Vazquez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.54 (no injury)
Mf Morgan Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.13 (no injury)
Mf George Garcia: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 58.07 (no injury)
Fw William Peverell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 57.36 (no injury)
Fw Dorian Moine: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.43 (no injury)
Fw Julien De Backer: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.47 (no injury)
Fw Joseph Cross: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.34 (no injury)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Marine FC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Fylde Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk George Lindsay: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 34.44 (no injury)
Sw Joachim Solberg: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.62 (no injury)
Df Craig Lynch: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.05 (no injury)
Df Damien Rodriguez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.87 (no injury)
Df Niall Dunn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.47 (no injury)
Mf Rory MacDonald: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.89 (no injury)
Mf Jack Barry: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.47 (no injury)
Mf Jake Allen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.41 (no injury)
Fw Liam McColl: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.0 (no injury)
Fw Alexander Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.83 (no injury)
Fw Francesco Sala: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.74 (no injury)
============================================================================
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P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* MARINE FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Angel Vazquez SL 16
- Defending Gk: George Lindsay SL 7
intRndPk = 33
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 33 (no penalty kick)
******* AFC FYLDE CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Liam McColl SL 12
- Defending Gk: James MacLeod SL 15
intRndPk = 31
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 31 (no penalty kick)
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A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC FYLDE ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Fylde 20 20 15 42 45
Marine FC 9 8 30 26 32
AFC Fylde Fw Attacks = 15 (45 - 30); result rounded up
AFC Fylde Mf Attacks = 8 ((42 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Fylde Df Attacks = 0 ((15 - 32) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Fylde Total Attacks = 23
1: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 49 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 8 (Shot Off Target)
2: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 58 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 30.0 (Shot Saved by Gk)
3: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Mf George Garcia
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 37.93 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Mf Morgan Moore
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Mf Angel Vazquez
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 61 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 83 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 70.78 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
9: Attack for Fw Julien De Backer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 4.81 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Dorian Moine
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Julien De Backer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 47.99 (Shot Saved by Gk)
15: Attack for Fw Julien De Backer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 44.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
16: Attack for Fw Julien De Backer
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 28 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 60.25% | Random number = 50.24 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Dorian Moine
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack)
22: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target)
23: Attack for Fw William Peverell
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 46% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 13 (Shot Off Target)
******* MARINE FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Marine FC 9 8 30 26 32
AFC Fylde 20 20 15 42 45
Marine FC Fw Attacks = 17 (32 - 15); result rounded up
Marine FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 42) / 2; rounded up)
Marine FC Df Attacks = 0 ((30 - 45) / 3; rounded up)
Marine FC Total Attacks = 17
1: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 3.07 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Francesco Sala
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 61 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw Francesco Sala
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target)
13: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack)
15: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Liam McColl
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw Alexander Murphy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 70% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC FYLDE 1 - MARINE FC 0
Match Notes
AFC Fylde versus Marine. The ball will be round, the pitch rectangular, the result somewhere between hope and mild disappointment. I have calculated all possible outcomes and find none of them particularly uplifting.
Olmec Head Marvin (Goole AFC) 07/03 - 7:30 PM