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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin
 
 
League Round 16
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney            11    1   12     Gk Denis Martin           16    2   18
Sw Reece Hamilton          8    2   10     Sw Keith Davis            15    2   17
Df Nathan Doyle           13    0   13     Df Steven Gascoigne       13    2   15
Df Bryan Price             9    2   11     Df Finlay Butcher          9    2   11
Df Michael Schmidt         8    2   10     Df Steven Williams         5    2    7
Mf Evan Jones             12    1   13     Mf Cristobal Benitez      15    2   17
Mf Ian Hanny              11    1   12     Fw Simon Fischer          15    2   17
Mf David Kirk              8    2   10     Mf Kian Sansom             9    2   11
Fw Gregory Hines          12    0   12     Fw Ben Byrne              16    1   17
Fw Hans Frings             8    2   10     Fw Harley Dowson           9    2   11
Fw Vladimir Popov          8    2   10     Fw Luiz Correia            5    2    7

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      12 10 34 35 32        ROSTER TOTALS      18 17 33 28 52    
       0  0  0  0  2          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      12 10 34 35 43         T O T A L S       20 17 33 28 52    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 39.62 (no red card)

Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 50.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 63.91 (no red card)

Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 16.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 47.81 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 99.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 65.17 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 24.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 70.22 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 84.01 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.05 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 69.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 3.98 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 38.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 34.31 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 91.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 99.42 (no red card)

Fw Hans Frings: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 10.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 62.42 (no red card)

Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 72.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 55.64 (no red card)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 19.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 33.9 (no red card)

Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.26 (no red card)

Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.98 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.03 (no red card)

Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.73 (no red card)

Df Steven Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.33 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!)
      Steven Williams new match skill level =  3
      Steven Williams new match total level =  5

Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.87 (no red card)

Fw Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 61.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 51.21 (no red card)

Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.89 (no red card)

Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 21.52 (no red card)

Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 82.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 74.19 (no red card)

Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.36 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 55.41 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.37 (no injury) 
Df Nathan Doyle: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 26.42 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 65.66 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 13.88 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 63.04 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 82.62 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 71.94 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 31.25 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Frings: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 95.19 (no injury) 
Fw Vladimir Popov: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 38.06 (no injury) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 69.26 (no injury) 
Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 26.9 (no injury) 
Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.7 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 77.68 (no injury) 
Df Steven Williams: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.45 (no injury) 
Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 37.33 (no injury) 
Fw Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.26 (no injury) 
Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 58.02 (no injury) 
Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 68.34 (no injury) 
Fw Harley Dowson: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 40.57 (no injury) 
Fw Luiz Correia: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 15.58 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Nathan Doyle SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16

     intRndPk = 13
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 13 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Ben Byrne SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 56 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 97 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       12  10  34  35  43
  FC United of Manchester  20  17  31  28  52

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (43 - 31); result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 4 ((35 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 52) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 16

1: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf David Kirk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Ian Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 30.07 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Ian Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Hans Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Hans Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 40.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 67 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 9.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 36 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 57.62 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Hans Frings
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Gregory Hines
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 30.65 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Vladimir Popov
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  FC United of Manchester  20  17  31  28  52
  Chippenham Town FC       12  10  34  35  43

FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 18 (52 - 34); result rounded up
FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 35) / 2;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((31 - 43) / 3;  rounded up)
FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 18

1: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 80 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 17.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Fw Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 35 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 69.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 90.74 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
8: Attack for Fw Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 41.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 42 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.78 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 5 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 34 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Simon Fischer
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 49 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 18.31 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 46 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 71.7 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
17: Attack for Fw Harley Dowson
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 67.0% | Random number = 24.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
18: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 3
 
Match Notes
Another tough game (trying the same tactic as last week here !)
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/14 - 7:27 AM
Heading to Wood Chipper(ham) and needing some youth time is not exactly how we drew up our late-season success plan
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/14 - 8:06 PM
Maybe we can borrow Dave’s bus for this one
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/14 - 8:12 PM
$19.99 daily rental fee
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/18 - 1:00 PM
19.99 is actually really cheap
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/18 - 6:48 PM
I'll probably rent the bus for the next match vs WIM
Eduard (Welling United FC) 07/18 - 6:48 PM
Disappointed with the score, but no shock really!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/20 - 11:15 AM
Thrilled with the score, rather a shock, really!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/22 - 11:04 PM
 
 
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