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ball MSWL UNITED ② Season 41 // Landing
 
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(H)
Welling United FC
Eduard Habermann
 
Halifax Town AFC
Vick Hall
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

WELLING UNITED FC                          HALIFAX TOWN AFC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Robert Morgan          17    2   19     Gk Christian Smith        15    2   17
Df Gordon Brown           17    2   19     Sw Kevin Rose              9    2   11
Df Devon Allen            13    1   14     Df Coll Whyte             16    2   18
Mf Sylar Kelley           17    2   19     Df Jake Gallaher          14    2   16
Mf Bernd Lang             14    1   15     Df Alfie Bailey            9    1   10
Mf Jonas Koch             17    2   19     Df Louis Scholes           5    2    7
Mf Marcos Azevedo         13    2   15     Mf Oliver Rooney          12    2   14
Mf Arran Fergus           13    2   15     Mf Gareth Gascoigne       12    2   14
Fw Evan Gerrard           14    1   15     Fw Craig Campbell         17    2   19
Fw Nils Pettersson        12    2   14     Fw Kyle Smith             15    2   17
Fw William Murphy          9    2   11     Fw Rian Kelly              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19  0 33 83 40        ROSTER TOTALS      17 11 51 28 47    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  9  0  0       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  7  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20  0 42 83 40         T O T A L S       18 11 58 28 47    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  WELLING UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 71.63 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 94.14 (no red card)

Df Gordon Brown: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 12.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 47.84 (no red card)

Df Devon Allen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 42.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 38.02 (no red card)

Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 98.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 99.27 (no red card)

Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 28.89 (no red card)

Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.66 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 56.92 (no red card)

Mf Marcos Azevedo: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 3.63 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 45.93 (no second yellow)

Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 23.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 31.32 (no red card)

Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 50.54 (no red card)

Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 81.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 46.12 (no red card)

Fw William Murphy: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 44.12 (no red card)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Christian Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.85 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 88.31 (no red card)

Sw Kevin Rose: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.77 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 90.96 (no red card)

Df Coll Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.68 (no red card)

Df Jake Gallaher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.74 (no red card)

Df Alfie Bailey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.29 (no red card)

Df Louis Scholes: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 27.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 24.01 (no red card)

Mf Oliver Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.54 (no red card)

Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.49 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.03 (no red card)

Fw Craig Campbell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.81 (no red card)

Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.75 (no red card)

Fw Rian Kelly: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.35 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Robert Morgan: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 54.18 (no injury) 
Df Gordon Brown: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 0.29 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Gordon Brown is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Gordon Brown new match skill level =  9
      Gordon Brown new match total level =  11
Df Devon Allen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 71.06 (no injury) 
Mf Sylar Kelley: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 14.22 (no injury) 
Mf Bernd Lang: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 31.62 (no injury) 
Mf Jonas Koch: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 55.23 (no injury) 
Mf Marcos Azevedo: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 49.94 (no injury) 
Mf Arran Fergus: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 22.97 (no injury) 
Fw Evan Gerrard: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 13.77 (no injury) 
Fw Nils Pettersson: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 24.16 (no injury) 
Fw William Murphy: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 90.1 (no injury) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Halifax Town AFC Team Hardness = 0
   - Welling United FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Christian Smith: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 93.7 (no injury) 
Sw Kevin Rose: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 34.34 (no injury) 
Df Coll Whyte: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.67 (no injury) 
Df Jake Gallaher: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 88.82 (no injury) 
Df Alfie Bailey: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 75.47 (no injury) 
Df Louis Scholes: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 51.56 (no injury) 
Mf Oliver Rooney: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 66.63 (no injury) 
Mf Gareth Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.06 (no injury) 
Fw Craig Campbell: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 52.71 (no injury) 
Fw Kyle Smith: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 95.34 (no injury) 
Fw Rian Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 9.12 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Sylar Kelley SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Christian Smith SL 15

     intRndPk = 77
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 77 (no penalty kick)

*******  WELLING UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Craig Campbell SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Robert Morgan SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 69 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  WELLING UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Welling United FC        20   0  34  83  40
  Halifax Town AFC         18  11  58  28  47

Welling United FC Fw Attacks = 0 (40 - 58)
Welling United FC Mf Attacks = 28 ((83 - 28) / 2) ; result rounded up
Welling United FC Df Attacks = 0 ((34 - 47) / 5;  rounded up)
Welling United FC Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 56.03 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 95 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 97 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 40.3 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.81 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
8: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 68.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
14: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 90.22 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
15: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
19: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 15.73 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
21: Attack for Mf Marcos Azevedo
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Mf Sylar Kelley
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 2.11 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
23: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 7 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 17 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 4.52 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
26: Attack for Mf Arran Fergus
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Mf Jonas Koch
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 86 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 80.5% | Random number = 78.79 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
28: Attack for Mf Bernd Lang
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 52% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  HALIFAX TOWN AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Halifax Town AFC         18  11  58  28  47
  Welling United FC        20   0  34  83  40

Welling United FC is using Offside Trap!
Halifax Town AFC is Playing For A Draw!
Halifax Town AFC Fw Attacks = 3 (47 - 34) * 0.5 (OST Multiplier)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((28 - 83) / 2;  rounded up)
Halifax Town AFC Df Attacks = 3 ((58 - 40) / 3) * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Halifax Town AFC Total Attacks = 6

1: Attack for Df Coll Whyte
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Jake Gallaher
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.83 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Alfie Bailey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
4: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
5: Attack for Fw Craig Campbell
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 6 (Shot Off Target) 
6: Attack for Fw Kyle Smith
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Welling United FC
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 18.45 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
WELLING UNITED FC 1  -  HALIFAX TOWN AFC 0
 
Match Notes
Halifax could still win the title with a win and a Welling double loss and luck. Will be a fun match
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 03/07 - 7:22 PM
given the whole youth team pretty much need a game I´d say a win here is pretty remote! Congrats to Welling on the title.
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/10 - 12:39 PM
Congrats on the title Eduard. t was well deserved.
Vick (Halifax Town AFC) 03/14 - 9:19 PM
That’s a rather large number at Mf for Welling
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 03/16 - 1:31 PM
 
 
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