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AFC Wimbledon
Dave Dohm
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 17
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC WIMBLEDON                              KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Matty Moore            17    2   19     Gk Liam Honeybun          13    2   15
Sw Aarron Lowe            16    2   18     Df Daniel Lorimar         13    0   13
Df Jamie Aikenhead         7    2    9     Sw Robin Spoor            14    2   16
Df Ryan Barber            15    2   17     Df Gonzalo Sanz           19    2   21
Df Elias Schneider         4    2    6     Df Frank Vandermark       10    2   12
Mf Nigel Howells          14    2   16     Fw George Armstrong       15    2   17
Mf Manuel Iglesias        13    2   15     Mf Bailey Graham          12    2   14
Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald      14    2   16     Mf Albert Wise            10    2   12
Fw Harry Pastor           16    2   18     Fw Jermaine Rogers        11    2   13
Fw Carrington Bates       15    2   17     Fw Oscar Williams         10    2   12
Fw Peter Harding           9    2   11     Fw Marcelo Guzman         10    2   12

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      19 18 32 31 62        ROSTER TOTALS      15 16 46 26 54    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          1  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      20 18 32 31 71         T O T A L S       16 16 46 26 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Matty Moore: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 59.12 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 40.08 (no red card)

Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 38.08 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 73.61 (no red card)

Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 82.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 5.84 (no red card)

Df Ryan Barber: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 53.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 68.83 (no red card)

Df Elias Schneider: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 87.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 69.13 (no red card)

Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 70.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 25.38 (no red card)

Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.21 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 27.14 (no second yellow)

Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 67.18 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 4.92 (no red card)

Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 48.09 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 97.42 (no red card)

Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 32.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 10.06 (no red card)

Fw Peter Harding: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 93.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.57 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 69.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 18.07 (no red card)

Df Daniel Lorimar: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 15.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 82.68 (no red card)

Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 76.19 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.51 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 36.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 14.65 (no red card)

Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 17.59 (no red card)

Fw George Armstrong: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 37.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.86 (no red card)

Mf Bailey Graham: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 74.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.76 (no red card)

Mf Albert Wise: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 86.89 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 11.56 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 10.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.04 (no red card)

Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 1.13 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 80.09 (no second yellow)

Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 14.1 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 94.9 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Matty Moore: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 24.35 (no injury) 
Sw Aarron Lowe: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 57.04 (no injury) 
Df Jamie Aikenhead: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.9 (no injury) 
Df Ryan Barber: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 71.93 (no injury) 
Df Elias Schneider: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 59.46 (no injury) 
Mf Nigel Howells: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 21.65 (no injury) 
Mf Manuel Iglesias: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 87.61 (no injury) 
Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 50.21 (no injury) 
Fw Harry Pastor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 49.37 (no injury) 
Fw Carrington Bates: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 93.1 (no injury) 
Fw Peter Harding: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 71.03 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 1
   - AFC Wimbledon Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.75%
Gk Liam Honeybun: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 1.36 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 1
      Liam Honeybun is being assisted by the Physio.  He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off.
      Liam Honeybun new match skill level =  7
      Liam Honeybun new match total level =  9
Df Daniel Lorimar: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 3.64 (no injury) 
Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 60.14 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 72.1 (no injury) 
Df Frank Vandermark: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 92.68 (no injury) 
Fw George Armstrong: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 55.12 (no injury) 
Mf Bailey Graham: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 53.15 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 56.2 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 37.92 (no injury) 
Fw Oscar Williams: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 95.7 (no injury) 
Fw Marcelo Guzman: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 35.96 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Harry Pastor SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Liam Honeybun SL 7

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 87 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 19
   - Defending Gk: Matty Moore SL 17

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 74 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC WIMBLEDON ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Wimbledon            20  18  32  31  71
  Kendal Town FC           10  16  46  26  54

AFC Wimbledon Fw Attacks = 25 (71 - 46); result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Mf Attacks = 3 ((31 - 26) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Wimbledon Df Attacks = 0 ((32 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
AFC Wimbledon Total Attacks = 28

1: Attack for Mf Manuel Iglesias
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 94 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 48.96 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Nigel Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 79.56 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
6: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 27 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
11: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 47 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 20.56 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
17: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 72.42 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
19: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 9 (Shot Off Target) 
22: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 96 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 62.5% | Random number = 80.63 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
23: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack) 
24: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 75 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 
25: Attack for Fw Carrington Bates
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack) 
26: Attack for Fw Harry Pastor
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
27: Attack for Fw Tyrone Fitzgerald
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 19 (Sw stopped attack) 
28: Attack for Fw Peter Harding
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           10  16  46  26  54
  AFC Wimbledon            20  18  32  31  71

Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 22 (54 - 32); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((26 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((46 - 71) / 3;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 22

1: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 54 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 25 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 70 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 86.59 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
7: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 16 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 29 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 39 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 35.67 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
11: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack) 
13: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 25 (Shot Off Target) 
14: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
15: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 84 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 14.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
16: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 64 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Oscar Williams
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 66 (Sw stopped attack) 
18: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 98 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 53.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
20: Attack for Fw Marcelo Guzman
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 
21: Attack for Fw Jermaine Rogers
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 10 (Sw stopped attack) 
22: Attack for Fw George Armstrong
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 66% | Random number = 71 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 23 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC WIMBLEDON 3  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 1
 
Match Notes
Ian looking very safe in Division I.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 03/09 - 4:07 AM
These two managers...
Allan (Harrogate Railway AFC) 03/14 - 3:39 PM
It's been a terrible season, and it'll probably be rounded off by another kicking from the AFC Wimbledon Hawks.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 03/14 - 6:09 PM
All the best to Mr honeybun
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 03/14 - 7:54 PM
 
 
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