(H)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC
Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL
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Gk Kevin Hawkins 15 2 17 Gk Florian De Vos 15 2 17
Sw Luís Morais 14 0 14 Sw Fortunato Torres 11 1 12
Df Markus Jacobsen 15 0 15 Df Henry Martin 15 0 15
Df Gareth Trickelbank 14 2 16 Df Gabriel Williams 15 2 17
Df Axel Lacour 9 2 11 Df Freddy Arboleda 9 2 11
Mf Christopher Cannon 13 2 15 Mf Benjamin Healy 14 1 15
Mf Gabriel Welbeck 9 2 11 Mf Gregor Millar 9 2 11
Fw Sam East 15 2 17 Fw Ian Hunter 15 1 16
Fw William Hay 15 -1 14 Fw Conor Thompson 15 2 17
Fw Mark Solomon 14 0 14 Fw William Torres 12 1 13
Fw Fernando Cano 9 1 10 Fw Leonardo Delgado 5 2 7
Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
17 14 42 26 55 ROSTER TOTALS 17 12 43 26 53
0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 1 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0
=======================================================================
20 14 42 26 64 T O T A L S 20 13 43 26 53
============================================================================
============================================================================
B O O K I N G S
Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card
chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows:
- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))
If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 47.36 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 70.55 (no red card)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.86 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.81 (no red card)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 71.14 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.15 (no red card)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.15 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 1.59 (no red card)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.41 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 67.55 (no red card)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.16 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.03 (no red card)
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 75.64 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 60.37 (no red card)
Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 45.51 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.22 (no red card)
Fw William Hay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 80.81 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.84 (no red card)
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 54.0 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.36 (no red card)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.43 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.53 (no red card)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
- Team Hardness = 0
- Gk Hardness = 0
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 20.65 (no booking)
Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 52.23 (no red card)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.32 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.94 (no red card)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 48.18 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.92 (no red card)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 29.56 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.99 (no red card)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.66 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 63.67 (no red card)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.19 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 62.64 (no red card)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.55 (BOOKED!)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 46.77 (no second yellow)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 21.97 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.16 (no red card)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 25.3 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.06 (no red card)
Fw William Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 28.96 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 16.44 (no red card)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.67 (no booking)
Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 50.17 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I N J U R I E S
A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured.
For each player the chance of injury is:
((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.
The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.
Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost.
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 73.57 (no injury)
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 14.01 (no injury)
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 7.38 (no injury)
Df Gareth Trickelbank: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.65 (no injury)
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.54 (no injury)
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.5 (INJURED!)
Targeted fitness lost = 3
Christopher Cannon is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
Christopher Cannon new match skill level = 7
Christopher Cannon new match total level = 9
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.46 (no injury)
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.34 (no injury)
Fw William Hay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 27.28 (no injury)
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 87.24 (no injury)
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.72 (no injury)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
- Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0
- AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 0
- All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
- Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 31.98 (no injury)
Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.92 (no injury)
Df Henry Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 73.24 (no injury)
Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 66.44 (no injury)
Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 26.72 (no injury)
Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 19.44 (no injury)
Mf Gregor Millar: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.04 (no injury)
Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 38.16 (no injury)
Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.16 (no injury)
Fw William Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.38 (no injury)
Fw Leonardo Delgado: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.52 (no injury)
============================================================================
============================================================================
P E N A L T Y K I C K S
There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance.
The chance of a penalty being scored is:
50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Markus Jacobsen SL 15
- Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15
intRndPk = 2
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!)
Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 32 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
- Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
- PK Taker: Henry Martin SL 15
- Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 15
intRndPk = 23
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 23 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S
(i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total,
then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league!
(ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
the difference.
(iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then
team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one
third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up,
and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many
produce shots, then goals:
(iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack,
there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
30 + (Sw level x 2) %
(eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the
Sw become shots.
(v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)
(vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to
the Sw test, but the percentage is:
40 + (Gk level x 2.25) %
Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.
A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw,
Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved
(round up fractions).
******* AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 14 42 20 64
Harrogate Railway AFC 20 13 43 26 53
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 21 (64 - 43); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 26) / 2; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 0 ((42 - 53) / 3; rounded up)
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 21
1: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 63 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 65 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 5.12 (Shot Saved by Gk)
2: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack)
4: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack)
6: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 24.63 (Shot Saved by Gk)
7: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target)
9: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
10: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack)
11: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack)
12: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack)
13: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 90 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 37 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 88.62 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
15: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack)
16: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 55 (Sw stopped attack)
17: Attack for Fw William Hay
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 65 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 61 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 80.76 (Shot Saved by Gk)
18: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
19: Attack for Fw Sam East
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 40 (Sw stopped attack)
20: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 18 (Sw stopped attack)
21: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack)
******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw
-------------------------------------------
Harrogate Railway AFC 20 13 43 26 53
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 20 14 42 20 64
Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 11 (53 - 42); result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 3 ((26 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 64) / 3; rounded up)
Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 14
1: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 32 (Sw stopped attack)
2: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 58 (Sw stopped attack)
3: Attack for Mf Benjamin Healy
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 96 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 37.4 (Shot Saved by Gk)
4: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
5: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 13.32 (Shot Saved by Gk)
6: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 50 (Sw stopped attack)
7: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack)
8: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack)
9: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 6.09 (Shot Saved by Gk)
10: Attack for Fw Leonardo Delgado
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 100 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 79.69 (Shot Saved by Gk)
11: Attack for Fw Ian Hunter
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 41 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 70.67 (Shot Saved by Gk)
12: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!)
Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 69 (Shot On Target)
Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 91.85 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!)
13: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack)
14: Attack for Fw William Torres
Chance of Sw stopping attack = 58% | Random number = 56 (Sw stopped attack)
===============================================
F I N A L S C O R E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 2 - HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 1
Match Notes
We desperately needed this win here and we avoid relegation as a result
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 07/26 - 7:47 PM
1-4-4 first 9 games of the season, 6-1-2 last 9 games...
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 07/26 - 7:48 PM