Session 4 orders deadline in 27 hours and 37 minutes
Will John Blazel avoid relegation?
MSWL UNITEDMSWL U2TMVL
Friday, June 13th, 2025 - 03:22:14 PM (gmt)
 
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AFC Rushden & Diamonds
John Holden
 
Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
 
League Round 2
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS                     ILKESTON TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Kevin Hawkins          11    2   13     Gk Andrés Ramos           14    1   15
Sw Luís Morais            13    0   13     Df Shayne Porter          15    0   15
Df Robert Howells         13    0   13     Sw Leo McNeill             9    1   10
Df Markus Jacobsen        13    0   13     Df Callum Henderson       10    2   12
Df Axel Lacour             5    2    7     Df Florian Schmid          6    2    8
Mf Niklas König           13    0   13     Fw Kenzie Munro            8    2   10
Mf Christopher Cannon     10    0   10     Mf Padraig Conley          5    2    7
Mf Gabriel Welbeck         5    2    7     Mf Cliff Cooper            5    2    7
Fw Sam East               11    1   12     Mf Simon Müller            2    2    4
Fw Mark Solomon           14    0   14     Fw Kai Burke              12    0   12
Fw Fernando Cano           5    2    7     Fw Marcos Nuñez            6    2    8

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 13 33 30 33        ROSTER TOTALS      15 10 35 18 30    
       1  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  3  4  0  0    
=======================================================================
      14 13 33 30 42         T O T A L S       15 13 39 18 30    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 1
   - Gk   Hardness = 1

Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of booking = 6.75% | Random number = 64.84 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.0% | Random number = 28.8 (no red card)

Sw Luís Morais: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 57.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 22.18 (no red card)

Df Robert Howells: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 34.51 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 63.12 (no red card)

Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 95.9 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 24.02 (no red card)

Df Axel Lacour: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 49.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 85.42 (no red card)

Mf Niklas König: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 89.52 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 81.26 (no red card)

Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 2.07 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 21.96 (no second yellow)

Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 22.46 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 91.32 (no red card)

Fw Sam East: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 51.96 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 54.94 (no red card)

Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 54.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 13.1 (no red card)

Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of booking = 6.0% | Random number = 11.35 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.0% | Random number = 86.68 (no red card)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.13 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 86.75 (no red card)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 49.24 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 34.04 (no red card)

Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.37 (no red card)

Df Callum Henderson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 59.64 (no red card)

Df Florian Schmid: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 42.54 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.1 (no red card)

Fw Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.82 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.65 (no red card)

Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.0 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.34 (no red card)

Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.81 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.75 (no red card)

Mf Simon Müller: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.59 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.3 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.53 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.4 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.28 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.75%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.37%
Gk Kevin Hawkins: Chance of injury = 1.37% | Random number = 94.73 (no injury) 
Sw Luís Morais: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 73.06 (no injury) 
Df Robert Howells: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 46.73 (no injury) 
Df Markus Jacobsen: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 83.32 (no injury) 
Df Axel Lacour: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 17.31 (no injury) 
Mf Niklas König: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 43.65 (no injury) 
Mf Christopher Cannon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 34.64 (no injury) 
Mf Gabriel Welbeck: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 9.53 (no injury) 
Fw Sam East: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 59.94 (no injury) 
Fw Mark Solomon: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 67.95 (no injury) 
Fw Fernando Cano: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 75.96 (no injury) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - AFC Rushden & Diamonds Team Hardness = 1
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.25%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.62%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.62% | Random number = 50.11 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 89.11 (no injury) 
Sw Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 97.62 (no injury) 
Df Callum Henderson: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 71.21 (no injury) 
Df Florian Schmid: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 63.14 (no injury) 
Fw Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 23.22 (no injury) 
Mf Padraig Conley: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 86.93 (no injury) 
Mf Cliff Cooper: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 30.12 (no injury) 
Mf Simon Müller: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 72.73 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 2.71 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 4
      Kai Burke is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 3 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Kai Burke new match skill level =  6
      Kai Burke new match total level =  6
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 3.25% | Random number = 82.8 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Mark Solomon SL 14
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 14

     intRndPk = 90
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 90 (no penalty kick)

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 1; (1 10% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Shayne Porter SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Kevin Hawkins SL 11

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 7 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 88% | Random number = 93 (pk blocked)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14  13  33  30  42
  Ilkeston Town FC         15  13  39  18  24

AFC Rushden & Diamonds Fw Attacks = 3 (42 - 39); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Mf Attacks = 6 ((30 - 18) / 2) ; result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Df Attacks = 3 ((33 - 24) / 3); result rounded up
AFC Rushden & Diamonds Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 
2: Attack for Df Markus Jacobsen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 50 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 10.08 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
3: Attack for Df Robert Howells
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 48 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.76 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 47 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 73 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 73.22 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
7: Attack for Mf Christopher Cannon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 33 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Niklas König
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Fernando Cano
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 72 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 24 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Sam East
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 71 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 69.42 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Mark Solomon
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         15  13  39  18  24
  AFC Rushden & Diamonds   14  13  33  30  42

Ilkeston Town FC is Playing For A Draw!
Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (24 - 33)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((18 - 30) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((39 - 42) / 3;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 0

===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
AFC RUSHDEN & DIAMONDS 0  -  ILKESTON TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Not only does Olmec deny us a penalty but also injures a top player.
Steve (Ilkeston Town FC) 06/01 - 8:06 PM
And yet we should have won
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 06/05 - 2:17 AM
 
 
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