(H)

FC United of Manchester
Kevin Martin

Carlton Town FC
Mike Halpin
League Round 17
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CARLTON TOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Denis Martin 16 2 18 Gk Mason Butcher 12 2 14 Sw Keith Davis 15 2 17 Df Jeff Charlton 14 2 16 Df Diego Acosta 14 2 16 Df Marcelo Fernandez 10 0 10 Df Steven Gascoigne 13 2 15 Df Chris Howard 9 2 11 Df Finlay Butcher 10 2 12 Mf Federico Gentile 14 2 16 Mf Cristobal Benitez 16 2 18 Mf Gast?n Franco 13 2 15 Mf Simon Fischer 17 2 19 Mf Giles Walsh 14 2 16 Mf Kian Sansom 9 2 11 Fw Rhys McColl 15 2 17 Fw Ben Byrne 16 1 17 Fw Santiago Rubio 14 2 16 Fw Noah Schäfer 14 1 15 Fw Alfred Forsberg 10 2 12 Fw Baron Marshall 13 2 15 Fw Jonas Lien 8 2 10 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 18 17 43 48 47 ROSTER TOTALS 14 0 37 47 55 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 20 17 43 48 56 T O T A L S 14 0 41 47 55 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Denis Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.52 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 93.58 (no red card) Sw Keith Davis: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 88.42 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.61 (no red card) Df Diego Acosta: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 58.56 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 36.6 (no red card) Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.95 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 70.93 (no red card) Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.0 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.86 (no red card) Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 96.89 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 78.61 (no red card) Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 32.83 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 30.28 (no red card) Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 56.98 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.59 (no red card) Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.93 (no red card) Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.11 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 0.33 (STRAIGHT RED CARD! SENT OFF!!!) Noah Schäfer new match skill level = 7 Noah Schäfer new match total level = 8 Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 85.1 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.81 (no red card) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 4 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.42 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 96.73 (no red card) Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 56.03 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 8.12 (no red card) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 27.37 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 49.55 (no red card) Df Chris Howard: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 66.2 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 43.54 (no red card) Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 19.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 29.69 (no red card) Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 91.24 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 19.58 (no red card) Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 85.14 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 62.04 (no red card) Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 12.34 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 89.41 (no red card) Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 1.9 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 26.81 (no second yellow) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 41.51 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 18.58 (no red card) Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of booking = 10.5% | Random number = 23.96 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 1.75% | Random number = 17.91 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 4 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 5.5% - Gk chance of injury = 2.75% Gk Denis Martin: Chance of injury = 2.75% | Random number = 94.99 (no injury) Sw Keith Davis: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 4.71 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 6 Keith Davis is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Keith Davis new match skill level = 8 Keith Davis new match total level = 10 Df Diego Acosta: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 55.11 (no injury) Df Steven Gascoigne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 66.09 (no injury) Df Finlay Butcher: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 39.55 (no injury) Mf Cristobal Benitez: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 32.74 (no injury) Mf Simon Fischer: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.4 (no injury) Mf Kian Sansom: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 45.27 (no injury) Fw Ben Byrne: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 85.58 (no injury) Fw Noah Schäfer: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 38.8 (no injury) Fw Baron Marshall: Chance of injury = 5.5% | Random number = 22.35 (no injury) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Carlton Town FC Team Hardness = 4 - FC United of Manchester Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.75% Gk Mason Butcher: Chance of injury = 1.75% | Random number = 89.99 (no injury) Df Jeff Charlton: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 12.56 (no injury) Df Marcelo Fernandez: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 67.05 (no injury) Df Chris Howard: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 42.41 (no injury) Mf Federico Gentile: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.01 (no injury) Mf Gast?n Franco: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 89.25 (no injury) Mf Giles Walsh: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 70.71 (no injury) Fw Rhys McColl: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 76.12 (no injury) Fw Santiago Rubio: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 16.53 (no injury) Fw Alfred Forsberg: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 62.52 (no injury) Fw Jonas Lien: Chance of injury = 3.5% | Random number = 64.65 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 4; (4 10% chances of yielding PKs) - PK Taker: Simon Fischer SL 17 - Defending Gk: Mason Butcher SL 12 1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick) 2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 53 (no penalty kick) 3: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 12 (no penalty kick) 4: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 91 (no penalty kick) ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Rhys McColl SL 15 - Defending Gk: Denis Martin SL 16 intRndPk = 19 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 19 (no penalty kick) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- FC United of Manchester 20 10 43 48 49 Carlton Town FC 14 0 41 47 55 FC United of Manchester Fw Attacks = 8 (49 - 41); result rounded up FC United of Manchester Mf Attacks = 1 ((48 - 47) / 2) ; result rounded up FC United of Manchester Df Attacks = 0 ((43 - 55) / 3; rounded up) FC United of Manchester Total Attacks = 9 1: Attack for Mf Cristobal Benitez Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 79 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 53.75 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 6.6 (Shot Saved by Gk) 3: Attack for Fw Noah Schäfer Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 30 (Shot Off Target) 4: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 5 (Shot Off Target) 5: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 85.34 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 6: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 82.93 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 74 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 8.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Ben Byrne Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 10 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Baron Marshall Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Carlton Town FC Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) ******* CARLTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Carlton Town FC 14 0 41 47 55 FC United of Manchester 20 10 43 48 49 Carlton Town FC Fw Attacks = 12 (55 - 43); result rounded up Carlton Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((47 - 48) / 2; rounded up) Carlton Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((41 - 49) / 5; rounded up) Carlton Town FC Total Attacks = 12 1: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 74 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 43 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 25.24 (Shot Saved by Gk) 2: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 3: Attack for Fw Santiago Rubio Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 11 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 55 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 33.18 (Shot Saved by Gk) 6: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 54 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 64 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 78.97 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Alfred Forsberg Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 76 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 9: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 56 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 10: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 93 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 85.0% | Random number = 33.92 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Rhys McColl Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 43 (Sw stopped attack) 12: Attack for Fw Jonas Lien Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E FC UNITED OF MANCHESTER 2 - CARLTON TOWN FC 0
Match Notes

A loss here and Mike overtakes us
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/22 - 11:07 PM

Has anyone else noticed that 40 percent of Third Division managers are Mikes?
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/25 - 10:06 PM

Never bet against Kevin Martin on Saturday afternoon.
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/26 - 7:58 AM


Never bet against Kevin on Saturday afternoon...if I've told you once, I've told you a million times...
Phil (AFC Fylde) 07/27 - 3:07 AM

A baited straight red and a severe injury to our Sw and we still prevail!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/28 - 1:16 PM