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Tonbridge Angels
Andy Shaw
 
Kendal Town FC
Ian Lindsay
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

TONBRIDGE ANGELS                           KENDAL TOWN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Luca Werner            15    2   17     Gk Dominic Lloyd          16    2   18
Df Mathias Sørensen       15    2   17     Sw Robin Spoor            17    2   19
Df Sean Callahan          13    2   15     Df Gonzalo Sanz           17    2   19
Df Earl Kelly             10    2   12     Df Theo Rowe              10    2   12
Df Jonas Lehmann          10    2   12     Df Aidan Young            10    2   12
Mf Joe Barrett            17    2   19     Df Harley Heskey           5    2    7
Mf Reuben Byrne            9    2   11     Fw George Armstrong       13    2   15
Mf Jordi Navarro           5    2    7     Mf Albert Wise            10    2   12
Fw Matais Juarez          16    2   18     Mf Arsenio  Pérez         10    2   12
Fw Scott Marshall         13    2   15     Fw Jermaine Rogers        14    2   16
Fw Jens Kristensen        10    2   12     Fw Cong Li                17    2   19

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      17  0 56 37 45        ROSTER TOTALS      18 19 50 24 50    
       2  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  7  2       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  3  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      19  0 56 44 47         T O T A L S       21 19 50 24 50    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 2
   - Gk   Hardness = 2

Gk Luca Werner: Chance of booking = 9.0% | Random number = 45.97 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 1.25% | Random number = 38.54 (no red card)

Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 33.22 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.35 (no red card)

Df Sean Callahan: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.32 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 43.71 (no red card)

Df Earl Kelly: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 17.7 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 20.19 (no red card)

Df Jonas Lehmann: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 2.07 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 23.88 (no second yellow)

Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 98.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 25.08 (no red card)

Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 27.2 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 36.44 (no red card)

Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 35.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 9.85 (no red card)

Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 63.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 64.97 (no red card)

Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 76.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 82.94 (no red card)

Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of booking = 7.5% | Random number = 67.79 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 1.25% | Random number = 84.76 (no red card)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 83.02 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 77.05 (no red card)

Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.68 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.69 (no red card)

Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.01 (no red card)

Df Theo Rowe: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.11 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.5 (no red card)

Df Aidan Young: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 12.37 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.31 (no red card)

Df Harley Heskey: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 60.57 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.15 (no red card)

Fw George Armstrong: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 5.6 (no red card)

Mf Albert Wise: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 79.42 (no red card)

Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.91 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.18 (no red card)

Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 81.55 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.06 (no red card)

Fw Cong Li: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 76.61 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 19.68 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 3.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.5%
Gk Luca Werner: Chance of injury = 1.5% | Random number = 10.82 (no injury) 
Df Mathias Sørensen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 56.53 (no injury) 
Df Sean Callahan: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 92.28 (no injury) 
Df Earl Kelly: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.48 (no injury) 
Df Jonas Lehmann: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 27.94 (no injury) 
Mf Joe Barrett: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 79.93 (no injury) 
Mf Reuben Byrne: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 70.64 (no injury) 
Mf Jordi Navarro: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 93.26 (no injury) 
Fw Matais Juarez: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 91.15 (no injury) 
Fw Scott Marshall: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 5.91 (no injury) 
Fw Jens Kristensen: Chance of injury = 3.0% | Random number = 44.31 (no injury) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Kendal Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Tonbridge Angels Team Hardness = 2
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 4.0%
   - Gk chance of injury = 2.0%
Gk Dominic Lloyd: Chance of injury = 2.0% | Random number = 55.65 (no injury) 
Sw Robin Spoor: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 79.39 (no injury) 
Df Gonzalo Sanz: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 83.05 (no injury) 
Df Theo Rowe: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 64.33 (no injury) 
Df Aidan Young: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 6.12 (no injury) 
Df Harley Heskey: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 56.42 (no injury) 
Fw George Armstrong: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 81.86 (no injury) 
Mf Albert Wise: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 16.96 (no injury) 
Mf Arsenio  Pérez: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 32.8 (no injury) 
Fw Jermaine Rogers: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 63.49 (no injury) 
Fw Cong Li: Chance of injury = 4.0% | Random number = 30.19 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Joe Barrett SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Dominic Lloyd SL 16

     intRndPk = 29
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 2; (2 10% chances of yielding PKs)
   - PK Taker: Gonzalo Sanz SL 17
   - Defending Gk: Luca Werner SL 15

1: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 29 (no penalty kick)
2: Chance of PK occurring = 10% | Random number = 59 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  TONBRIDGE ANGELS ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  56  44  47
  Kendal Town FC           21  19  50  24  50

Tonbridge Angels Fw Attacks = 0 (47 - 50)
Tonbridge Angels Mf Attacks = 10 ((44 - 24) / 2) ; result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Df Attacks = 2 ((56 - 50) / 5); result rounded up
Tonbridge Angels Total Attacks = 12

1: Attack for Df Mathias Sørensen
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 48 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Df Earl Kelly
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 3 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 20 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 80 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 51.44 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 39 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 
9: Attack for Mf Jordi Navarro
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 38 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 95 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 87.25% | Random number = 95.97 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
11: Attack for Mf Reuben Byrne
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 
12: Attack for Mf Joe Barrett
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 68% | Random number = 68 (Sw stopped attack) 

*******  KENDAL TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Kendal Town FC           21  19  50  24  50
  Tonbridge Angels         19   0  56  44  47

Tonbridge Angels is using Offside Trap!
Kendal Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (50 - 56)
Kendal Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 44) / 2;  rounded up)
Kendal Town FC Df Attacks = 1 ((50 - 47) / 3); result rounded up
Kendal Town FC Total Attacks = 1

1: Attack for Df Harley Heskey
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 0; no Sw playing for Tonbridge Angels
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 27 (Shot Off Target) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
TONBRIDGE ANGELS 1  -  KENDAL TOWN FC 0
 
Match Notes
Cong Li is likely playing his final game for Kendal Town today...or will he be captain next year? Dave Dohm will be along in a minute to comment.
Ian (Kendal Town FC) 07/21 - 10:49 AM
Can we investigate Cong Li for performance enhancing drugs? There is no way he went through the entire season unscathed...outrageous
Dave (AFC Wimbledon) 07/21 - 10:06 PM
A chance for us to finish top three.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/26 - 11:35 AM
The win means we finished third with a negative goal difference.
Andy (Tonbridge Angels) 07/30 - 6:55 PM
 
 
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