(H)

Harrogate Railway AFC
Allan Sellers

Chasetown FC
Paul Cockayne
League Round 18
S T A R T I N G L I N E U P S HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHASETOWN FC Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL Ps Player Name SL FIT LVL ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Gk Florian De Vos 15 2 17 Gk Daniel Bell 9 2 11 Sw Fortunato Torres 11 1 12 Sw Diego Lombardo 15 2 17 Df Gabriel Williams 15 2 17 Df Jake Whyte 14 0 14 Df Vegar Aas 9 2 11 Df Arthur East 9 2 11 Df Freddy Arboleda 9 2 11 Df Arno Christiaens 8 2 10 Mf Benjamin Healy 14 1 15 Df Lewis Allan 5 2 7 Mf Andy Watson 14 0 14 Mf Alf Jenssen 15 2 17 Fw Ian Hunter 15 1 16 Mf Finley Harris 13 0 13 Fw Conor Thompson 15 2 17 Mf Gerry Ruddle 14 0 14 Fw Luke Cockburn 15 2 17 Df Albert Ramos 11 2 13 Fw Justin Neumann 9 1 10 Fw Charlie Sullivan 12 0 12 Gk Sw Df Mf Fw A R E A T O T A L S Gk Sw Df Mf Fw ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 17 12 39 29 60 ROSTER TOTALS 11 17 55 44 12 0 0 0 0 0 HARDNESS 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 9 HOME ADVANTAGE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS 3 0 2 1 3 0 0 0 0 0 PLAY FOR DRAW 0 0 0 0 0 ======================================================================= 17 12 39 29 69 T O T A L S 14 17 57 45 15 ============================================================================ ============================================================================ B O O K I N G S Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card. The first number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red card while the second number shows the random number drawn. If the random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card chance then the player is sent off. Note that the chances are as follows: - Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)) - Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))) If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off. If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player was given a straight red card. Note that the aforementioned formula differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points. ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.23 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 22.96 (no red card) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 95.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 56.02 (no red card) Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 35.53 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.52 (no red card) Df Vegar Aas: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.76 (BOOKED!) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.64 (no second yellow) Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 17.62 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.82 (no red card) Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 22.93 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.68 (no red card) Mf Andy Watson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.96 (no red card) Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 4.76 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.58 (no red card) Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 52.87 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.23 (no red card) Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.81 (no red card) Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 69.99 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 4.05 (no red card) ******* CHASETOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES ******* - Team Hardness = 0 - Gk Hardness = 0 Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 63.74 (no booking) Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 26.3 (no red card) Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.02 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 15.17 (no red card) Df Jake Whyte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.7 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.16 (no red card) Df Arthur East: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 8.69 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 93.37 (no red card) Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 51.91 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 39.89 (no red card) Df Lewis Allan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 74.47 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 65.3 (no red card) Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 72.71 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 68.02 (no red card) Mf Finley Harris: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.86 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 23.61 (no red card) Mf Gerry Ruddle: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.08 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 42.24 (no red card) Df Albert Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 59.58 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 2.15 (no red card) Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.67 (no booking) Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 98.03 (no red card) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ I N J U R I E S A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. For each player the chance of injury is: ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%. For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4, the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%. The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured. Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss, 15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply. ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Florian De Vos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 29.95 (no injury) Sw Fortunato Torres: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.24 (no injury) Df Gabriel Williams: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 0.4 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 1 Gabriel Williams is being assisted by the Physio. He won't lose any fitness points, but he'll have to come off. Gabriel Williams new match skill level = 8 Gabriel Williams new match total level = 10 Df Vegar Aas: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 49.64 (no injury) Df Freddy Arboleda: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 31.9 (no injury) Mf Benjamin Healy: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.94 (no injury) Mf Andy Watson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 34.1 (no injury) Fw Ian Hunter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.9 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 6 Ian Hunter is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 5 fitness points (deducted at end of session) Ian Hunter new match skill level = 8 Ian Hunter new match total level = 9 Fw Conor Thompson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 93.51 (no injury) Fw Luke Cockburn: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.98 (no injury) Fw Justin Neumann: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.22 (no injury) ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY ******* - Chasetown FC Team Hardness = 0 - Harrogate Railway AFC Team Hardness = 0 - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5% - Gk chance of injury = 1.25% Gk Daniel Bell: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 44.84 (no injury) Sw Diego Lombardo: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 89.85 (no injury) Df Jake Whyte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.3 (INJURED!) Targeted fitness lost = 0 Jake Whyte is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine. Df Arthur East: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 35.45 (no injury) Df Arno Christiaens: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 60.41 (no injury) Df Lewis Allan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 37.77 (no injury) Mf Alf Jenssen: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 80.45 (no injury) Mf Finley Harris: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 79.56 (no injury) Mf Gerry Ruddle: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 6.51 (no injury) Df Albert Ramos: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 90.39 (no injury) Fw Charlie Sullivan: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 54.31 (no injury) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ P E N A L T Y K I C K S There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used. Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. The chance of a penalty being scored is: 50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill) % (to a maximum 95%) ******* CHASETOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Conor Thompson SL 15 - Defending Gk: Daniel Bell SL 9 intRndPk = 62 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 62 (no penalty kick) ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS ******* - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK) - PK Taker: Alf Jenssen SL 15 - Defending Gk: Florian De Vos SL 15 intRndPk = 2 1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 2 (PENALTY KICK!) Chance of scoring = 80% | Random number = 94 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!) ============================================================================ ============================================================================ A T T A C K I N G C H A N C E S & S H O T S (i) If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference. Note: A Sw does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! (ii) The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half the difference. (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference. If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one third of the difference. All fractions of attacks are rounded up, and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many produce shots, then goals: (iv) Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!). For each attack, there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to: 30 + (Sw level x 2) % (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the Sw become shots. (v) Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored 2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored, to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!) (vi) Finally, on-target shots come up against the Gk. This is similar to the Sw test, but the percentage is: 40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled. A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved (round up fractions). ******* HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Harrogate Railway AFC 17 12 32 29 62 Chasetown FC 14 17 57 45 15 Harrogate Railway AFC Fw Attacks = 5 (62 - 57); result rounded up Harrogate Railway AFC Mf Attacks = 0 ((29 - 45) / 2; rounded up) Harrogate Railway AFC Df Attacks = 6 ((32 - 15) / 3); result rounded up Harrogate Railway AFC Total Attacks = 11 1: Attack for Df Vegar Aas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 22 (Sw stopped attack) 2: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 53 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Df Vegar Aas Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 35 (Sw stopped attack) 4: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 46 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 1 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Df Freddy Arboleda Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 63 (Sw stopped attack) 7: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 90 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 61.15 (Shot Saved by Gk) 8: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 41 (Sw stopped attack) 9: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 77 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 40.66 (Shot Saved by Gk) 10: Attack for Fw Conor Thompson Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 97 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 100 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 57.74 (Shot Saved by Gk) 11: Attack for Fw Luke Cockburn Chance of Sw stopping attack = 64% | Random number = 99 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 38 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 71.5% | Random number = 26.7 (Shot Saved by Gk) ******* CHASETOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS ******* AREA TOTALS GK Sw Df Mf Fw ------------------------------------------- Chasetown FC 14 17 57 45 15 Harrogate Railway AFC 17 12 32 29 62 Chasetown FC Fw Attacks = 0 (15 - 32) Chasetown FC Mf Attacks = 8 ((45 - 29) / 2) ; result rounded up Chasetown FC Df Attacks = 0 ((57 - 62) / 3; rounded up) Chasetown FC Total Attacks = 8 1: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 19 (Shot Off Target) 2: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 24 (Sw stopped attack) 3: Attack for Mf Finley Harris Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 88 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 55 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 9.38 (Shot Saved by Gk) 4: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 17 (Sw stopped attack) 5: Attack for Mf Finley Harris Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 6: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 84 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 98 (Shot On Target) Chance of Gk Save = 78.25% | Random number = 86.31 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 7: Attack for Mf Alf Jenssen Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 82 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 40 (Shot Off Target) 8: Attack for Mf Gerry Ruddle Chance of Sw stopping attack = 54% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 12 (Shot Off Target) =============================================== F I N A L S C O R E HARROGATE RAILWAY AFC 0 - CHASETOWN FC 2
Match Notes

Promotion now very unlikely but maybe if we can grab six points....
Paul (Chasetown FC) 07/25 - 6:04 PM


Chasetown just miss out on promotion, but would have been relegated with a loss. Yow
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 07/26 - 7:50 PM

Hadn't realised I was close to relegation, John!
Paul (Chasetown FC) 07/31 - 3:54 PM