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Ilkeston Town FC
Steve Turner
 
Droylsden FC
Dave Gittins
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

ILKESTON TOWN FC                           DROYLSDEN FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Andrés Ramos           16    2   18     Gk Bobby Kaur              9    2   11
Sw Declan Wilson          15    1   16     Sw Luciano Perea          15    0   15
Df Leo McNeill            15    2   17     Df Samuel Hawkins         14    2   16
Df Liam Conner            13    2   15     Df Darren Dowson          13    2   15
Df Shayne Porter          15    1   16     Df Edgar Moore            11    2   13
Mf Kenzie Munro           10    2   12     Df Kristoffer Myklebust    9    2   11
Mf Kai Jones              10    2   12     Df Finlay Brown            4    2    6
Fw Cole Hamilton          15    2   17     Mf Don Lindsay            15    2   17
Fw André Souza            15   -1   14     Mf Callum Martin           9    2   11
Fw Kai Burke              12    1   13     Fw Jose Luis Soler        15    2   17
Fw Marcos Nuñez           10    2   12     Fw João Pinto              9    2   11

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      18 16 48 24 56        ROSTER TOTALS      11 15 61 28 28    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       1  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  2  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  4  3  0    
=======================================================================
      19 16 48 24 65         T O T A L S       13 15 65 31 28    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.53 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 40.71 (no red card)

Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.27 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.02 (no red card)

Df Leo McNeill: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 88.91 (no red card)

Df Liam Conner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 53.59 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 28.28 (no red card)

Df Shayne Porter: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.25 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 48.32 (no red card)

Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 41.5 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.44 (no red card)

Mf Kai Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 97.17 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.52 (no red card)

Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 24.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 12.98 (no red card)

Fw André Souza: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 77.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 58.0 (no red card)

Fw Kai Burke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 9.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 45.6 (no red card)

Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.74 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.48 (no red card)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 84.75 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 85.66 (no red card)

Sw Luciano Perea: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.43 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.01 (no red card)

Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.33 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 87.55 (no red card)

Df Darren Dowson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.56 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 8.58 (no red card)

Df Edgar Moore: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 1.79 (BOOKED!) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.31 (no second yellow)

Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 62.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 99.12 (no red card)

Df Finlay Brown: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 13.47 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 52.76 (no red card)

Mf Don Lindsay: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 30.67 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 27.69 (no red card)

Mf Callum Martin: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 70.58 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 49.12 (no red card)

Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 64.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 83.24 (no red card)

Fw João Pinto: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 7.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 91.03 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Andrés Ramos: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 77.24 (no injury) 
Sw Declan Wilson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 53.13 (no injury) 
Df Leo McNeill: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 72.66 (no injury) 
Df Liam Conner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 40.97 (no injury) 
Df Shayne Porter: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.45 (no injury) 
Mf Kenzie Munro: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 64.4 (no injury) 
Mf Kai Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.39 (no injury) 
Fw Cole Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 74.81 (no injury) 
Fw André Souza: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.37 (no injury) 
Fw Kai Burke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 12.52 (no injury) 
Fw Marcos Nuñez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 97.96 (no injury) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Droylsden FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Ilkeston Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Bobby Kaur: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 76.81 (no injury) 
Sw Luciano Perea: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 56.73 (no injury) 
Df Samuel Hawkins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 33.14 (no injury) 
Df Darren Dowson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 2.23 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 0
      Darren Dowson is being assisted by the Physio and appears to be just fine.
Df Edgar Moore: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 47.52 (no injury) 
Df Kristoffer Myklebust: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 63.81 (no injury) 
Df Finlay Brown: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 4.58 (no injury) 
Mf Don Lindsay: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 92.89 (no injury) 
Mf Callum Martin: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 68.46 (no injury) 
Fw Jose Luis Soler: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 84.13 (no injury) 
Fw João Pinto: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 76.44 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  DROYLSDEN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Leo McNeill SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Bobby Kaur SL 9

     intRndPk = 47
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 47 (no penalty kick)

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Don Lindsay SL 15
   - Defending Gk: Andrés Ramos SL 16

     intRndPk = 93
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 93 (no penalty kick)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  ILKESTON TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Ilkeston Town FC         19  16  48  24  65
  Droylsden FC             13  15  65  31  28

Ilkeston Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (65 - 65)
Ilkeston Town FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((24 - 31) / 2;  rounded up)
Ilkeston Town FC Df Attacks = 7 ((48 - 28) / 3); result rounded up
Ilkeston Town FC Total Attacks = 7

1: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 70 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 62 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 15.27 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 51 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 49 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 2 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Df Liam Conner
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Df Leo McNeill
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 15 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Df Shayne Porter
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 60% | Random number = 91 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 20 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  DROYLSDEN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Droylsden FC             13  15  65  31  28
  Ilkeston Town FC         19  16  48  24  65

Droylsden FC is Playing For A Draw!
Droylsden FC Fw Attacks = 0 (28 - 48)
Droylsden FC Mf Attacks = 2 ((31 - 24) / 2)  * 0.5 (Play For Draw Multiplier); result rounded up
Droylsden FC Df Attacks = 0 ((65 - 65) / 3;  rounded up)
Droylsden FC Total Attacks = 2

1: Attack for Mf Callum Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 31 (Sw stopped attack) 
2: Attack for Mf Callum Martin
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 62% | Random number = 78 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 82.75% | Random number = 99.08 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
ILKESTON TOWN FC 0  -  DROYLSDEN FC 1
 
Match Notes
The champagne is on ice. Will Droylsden get to enjoy it?
Jason (Kingstonian FC) 07/25 - 10:16 PM
Congrats on the division title, Dave!
Kevin (FC United of Manchester) 07/28 - 1:22 PM
 
 
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