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Chippenham Town FC
Mike Parnaby
 
Evesham United FC
Aires Martins Jr.
 
 
League Round 18
 
 
 
 

S  T  A  R  T  I  N  G      L  I  N  E  U  P  S

CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC                         EVESHAM UNITED FC

Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL     Ps Player Name            SL  FIT  LVL
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Gk Owen Rooney            12    1   13     Gk Adrian Flores          15    0   15
Sw Reece Hamilton          8    2   10     Sw Ollie Russell          12    1   13
Df Luke Sinclair          12    2   14     Df Lorenzo Ibañez         16    0   16
Df Bryan Price             9    2   11     Df Paul Werner            13    1   14
Df Michael Schmidt         9    2   11     Df Francisco Duarte       13    0   13
Mf Ian Hanny              12    1   13     Mf Melker Månsson         17    0   17
Mf Evan Jones             12    1   13     Mf Alvarez  Madrigal      10    1   11
Mf David Kirk              9    2   11     Fw Gregg Foster           16    0   16
Fw Gregory Hines          13    0   13     Fw Thomas Clarke          15    0   15
Fw James St.Hubbins        9    1   10     Fw Afonso Alves           11    2   13
Fw Hans Frings             8    2   10     Fw Logan Ferdinand         8    2   10

      Gk Sw Df Mf Fw   A R E A  T O T A L S    Gk Sw Df Mf Fw
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
      13 10 36 37 33        ROSTER TOTALS      15 13 43 28 54    
       0  0  0  0  0          HARDNESS          0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  9       HOME ADVANTAGE       0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0  GREAT PERFORMANCE POINTS  0  0  0  0  0    
       0  0  0  0  0        PLAY FOR DRAW       0  0  0  0  0    
=======================================================================
      13 10 36 37 42         T O T A L S       15 13 43 28 54    

============================================================================
============================================================================
B  O  O  K  I  N  G  S

Each player is next given a chance for a yellow/red card.  The first
number listed is the chance for the player to get the yellow/red
card while the second number shows the random number drawn.  If the 
random number is less than or equal to the player's yellow/red card 
chance then the player is sent off.  Note that the chances are as follows:
	- Booking: 1.5 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness))
	- Red Card: 0.25 x (3 + (1.5 x Team_Hardness)))

If a player is booked we immediately draw a second number to check
for a 'second yellow' (red card chance) resulting in a sending off.
If a player is not booked we draw a red card chance to see if the player
was given a straight red card.  Note that the aforementioned formula
differs for a Gk where the formula uses the hardness points added to
your Gk area and NOT the team hardness points.

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 14.06 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 56.83 (no red card)

Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 68.05 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 71.7 (no red card)

Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 31.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 81.77 (no red card)

Df Bryan Price: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 73.72 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 95.52 (no red card)

Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 92.69 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.87 (no red card)

Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 86.92 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 31.99 (no red card)

Mf Evan Jones: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 33.29 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.97 (no red card)

Mf David Kirk: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 98.86 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 22.28 (no red card)

Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 46.39 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 43.43 (no red card)

Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 6.34 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 29.07 (no red card)

Fw Hans Frings: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 43.36 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 84.13 (no red card)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC YELLOW/RED CARD CHANCES *******
   - Team Hardness = 0
   - Gk   Hardness = 0

Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 11.94 (no booking) 
   Chance of straight red card = 0.75% | Random number = 62.36 (no red card)

Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 57.48 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 96.26 (no red card)

Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 26.87 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 6.78 (no red card)

Df Paul Werner: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 39.76 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 61.97 (no red card)

Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 55.99 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 69.7 (no red card)

Mf Melker Månsson: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 15.16 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 89.27 (no red card)

Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 16.41 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 38.63 (no red card)

Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 67.07 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 32.8 (no red card)

Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 44.15 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 72.45 (no red card)

Fw Afonso Alves: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 5.31 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 26.2 (no red card)

Fw Logan Ferdinand: Chance of booking = 4.5% | Random number = 34.73 (no booking) 
   Chance of second booking = 0.75% | Random number = 25.76 (no red card)
============================================================================
============================================================================
I  N  J  U  R  I  E  S

A major consequence of hardness is that your opponents get injured. 
For each player the chance of injury is:   
  ((your team’s hardness * .25) + (opponent’s hardness * .75) + 2.5)%.
    For example if your team has a hardness of 8 and the opposition has a hardness of 4,
    the chance of injury for each player would be: 2 + 3 + 2.5 or 7.5%.

The chance is halved for the opposition Gk. A player plays at half 
his normal level (skill plus fitness) in the match in which he is injured.

Injured players lose fitness as a result, the amount of fitness lost being
shown on the game report in brackets. There is a 30% chance of no fitness loss,
15% chance of 1 level fitness lost, 15% of 2 levels, and a 10% chance
of each of 3,4,5, or 6 fitness levels being lost. 
This fitness loss (if any) takes place at the end of the session, for 
reasons of simplicity. Should a player be injured twice or
more in a session, only the most severe injury will apply.


*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Owen Rooney: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 61.14 (no injury) 
Sw Reece Hamilton: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 5.39 (no injury) 
Df Luke Sinclair: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 8.54 (no injury) 
Df Bryan Price: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 44.52 (no injury) 
Df Michael Schmidt: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 16.68 (no injury) 
Mf Ian Hanny: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 67.11 (no injury) 
Mf Evan Jones: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 15.88 (no injury) 
Mf David Kirk: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 86.23 (no injury) 
Fw Gregory Hines: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 24.4 (no injury) 
Fw James St.Hubbins: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 95.16 (no injury) 
Fw Hans Frings: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 59.67 (no injury) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES FOR INJURY *******
   - Evesham United FC Team Hardness = 0
   - Chippenham Town FC Team Hardness = 0
   - All (except Gk) chance of injury = 2.5%
   - Gk chance of injury = 1.25%
Gk Adrian Flores: Chance of injury = 1.25% | Random number = 5.89 (no injury) 
Sw Ollie Russell: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 25.56 (no injury) 
Df Lorenzo Ibañez: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 29.92 (no injury) 
Df Paul Werner: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 69.84 (no injury) 
Df Francisco Duarte: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.5 (no injury) 
Mf Melker Månsson: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 1.46 (INJURED!) 
      Targeted fitness lost = 3
      Melker Månsson is being assisted by the Physio. He will lose 2 fitness points (deducted at end of session)
      Melker Månsson new match skill level =  9
      Melker Månsson new match total level =  9
Mf Alvarez  Madrigal: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 13.83 (no injury) 
Fw Gregg Foster: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 22.7 (no injury) 
Fw Thomas Clarke: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 43.49 (no injury) 
Fw Afonso Alves: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 39.03 (no injury) 
Fw Logan Ferdinand: Chance of injury = 2.5% | Random number = 98.67 (no injury) 
============================================================================
============================================================================
P  E  N  A  L  T  Y     K  I  C  K  S

There is a 10% chance of conceding a penalty for every hardness point used.
Each 10% chance is separate, so a team could concede as many penalties as it plays
hardness points. If no hardness is used, there is still a 5% penalty chance. 
The chance of a penalty being scored is: 
  50 + (4 x penalty takers skill) - (2 x Gk skill)  %    (to a maximum 95%)

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Gregory Hines SL 13
   - Defending Gk: Adrian Flores SL 15

     intRndPk = 50
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 50 (no penalty kick)

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC CHANCES OF ALLOWING PENALTY KICKS *******
   - Team Hardness: 0; (1 5% chance of yielding a PK)
   - PK Taker: Lorenzo Ibañez SL 16
   - Defending Gk: Owen Rooney SL 12

     intRndPk = 5
1: Chance of PK occurring = 5% | Random number = 5 (PENALTY KICK!)
   Chance of scoring = 90% | Random number = 15 (PENALTY KICK GOOOAAALLL!!!)
============================================================================
============================================================================
A  T  T  A  C  K  I  N  G      C  H  A  N  C  E  S      &      S  H  O  T  S

  (i)   If team A's Fw area total is greater than team B's Df area total, 
        then A earns a number of attacks equal to the difference.
        Note: A Sw  does NOT add his levels to the Df in this league! 

  (ii)  The team with the highest Mf area total gets attacks equal to half
        the difference.

  (iii) If team A's Df area total is greater than team B's Fw total, then  
        team A earns a number of attacks equal to one fifth of the difference.
        If team A is playing a sweeper behind the defence, this rises to one 
        third of the difference.  All fractions of attacks are rounded up, 
        and then each of the attacks is treated as follows to see how many 
        produce shots, then goals: 

  (iv)  Attacks have first to beat the Sw (if playing!).  For each attack,
        there is a percentage chance of it being stopped equal to:
              30 + (Sw level x 2) % 
        (eg a level 10 Sw stops 30+10x2=50% of attacks.) Attacks passing the 
        Sw become shots.

  (v)   Each shot has a 35% chance of being off-target. If a side has scored
        2 goals this rises to 40%, then by a further 5% after each goal scored,
        to a maximum of 75%. This is to curb ridiculous scorelines (with luck!)

  (vi)  Finally, on-target shots come up against the  Gk. This is similar to 
        the Sw test, but the percentage is:
        40 + (Gk level x 2.25) % 

  Notes: If the defense is playing offside trap then the offensive team has
         their Fw attacks cut in half and theor Mf attacks doubled.

         A team choosing to PFD has 7 extra levels to split between Sw, 
         Df and Mf areas, but their attacks for each area will be halved 
         (round up fractions).

*******  CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Chippenham Town FC       13  10  36  37  42
  Evesham United FC        15  13  43  20  54

Chippenham Town FC Fw Attacks = 0 (42 - 43)
Chippenham Town FC Mf Attacks = 9 ((37 - 20) / 2) ; result rounded up
Chippenham Town FC Df Attacks = 0 ((36 - 54) / 3;  rounded up)
Chippenham Town FC Total Attacks = 9

1: Attack for Mf Ian Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 59 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 29.41 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 21 (Sw stopped attack) 
3: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 86 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 81 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 9.29 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
4: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 4 (Sw stopped attack) 
5: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 77 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 75 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 73.75% | Random number = 22.94 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
6: Attack for Mf David Kirk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 36 (Sw stopped attack) 
7: Attack for Mf Evan Jones
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 52 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Mf David Kirk
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 62 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 16 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Mf Ian Hanny
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 56% | Random number = 69 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 4 (Shot Off Target) 

*******  EVESHAM UNITED FC ATTACKING CHANCES AND SHOTS *******
  AREA TOTALS             GK  Sw  Df  Mf  Fw
  -------------------------------------------
  Evesham United FC        15  13  43  20  54
  Chippenham Town FC       13  10  36  37  42

Evesham United FC Fw Attacks = 18 (54 - 36); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Mf Attacks = 0 ((20 - 37) / 2;  rounded up)
Evesham United FC Df Attacks = 1 ((43 - 42) / 3); result rounded up
Evesham United FC Total Attacks = 19

1: Attack for Df Lorenzo Ibañez
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 2.86 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
2: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 81 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 35% | Random number = 78 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 73.02 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
3: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 13 (Sw stopped attack) 
4: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 45 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 54.13 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
5: Attack for Fw Logan Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 37 (Sw stopped attack) 
6: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 94 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 1 (Shot Off Target) 
7: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 23 (Sw stopped attack) 
8: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 64 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 36 (Shot Off Target) 
9: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 26 (Sw stopped attack) 
10: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 53 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 18 (Shot Off Target) 
11: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 68 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 52 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.48 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
12: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 92 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 72 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 12.58 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
13: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 30 (Sw stopped attack) 
14: Attack for Fw Afonso Alves
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 66 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 22 (Shot Off Target) 
15: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 6 (Sw stopped attack) 
16: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 45 (Sw stopped attack) 
17: Attack for Fw Logan Ferdinand
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 60 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 40% | Random number = 87 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 83.55 (GOOOOOAAAAALLLLL!!!!!) 
18: Attack for Fw Gregg Foster
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 87 (Sw did not stop attack!!) 
     Chance of Shot Off Target = 45% | Random number = 58 (Shot On Target) 
      Chance of Gk Save = 69.25% | Random number = 43.32 (Shot Saved by Gk) 
19: Attack for Fw Thomas Clarke
    Chance of Sw stopping attack = 50% | Random number = 42 (Sw stopped attack) 
===============================================
     F  I  N  A  L         S  C  O  R  E
CHIPPENHAM TOWN FC 0  -  EVESHAM UNITED FC 3
 
Match Notes
Could be close!
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/20 - 11:16 AM
Must Win for us again - trying to get promotoed
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/23 - 4:06 AM
No Room for Error
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/23 - 4:06 AM
Good win, well played
Mike (Chippenham Town FC) 07/26 - 10:25 PM
That's promotion sorted then
John (AFC Rushden & Diamonds) 07/26 - 10:51 PM
Big Win
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/30 - 11:07 AM
this put us back in D2 very excited for the future
Aires (Evesham United FC) 07/30 - 11:08 AM
 
 
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